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2918 S 4th St Triplex
B- Composite 69.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

2918 S 4th St · Louisville, KY 40208
9 bd · 5.1 ba · 3,450 sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1925 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Sold in ''as is'', ''where is'' condition. Minimum deposit of $1000. Proof of funds close or lender letter with offer. Please indicate an on or before closing date on contract.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • 6 parking spots

Tags

STEPS FROM CHURCHILL DOWNSSTEPS FROM L N STADIUMAMPLE OFF STREET PARKINGNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 3,000 (source: Other); living area reported as 3,450
  • Financial info: Multi-unit property with separate meters; Unit rents (as listed): 1st level unit $595, 2nd level unit $665, 3rd level unit $700, Basement unit $250
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 6 parking spaces; No covered parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas; Owner pays water; tenants pay electric, gas, and cable
  • Home design: Wood frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Main structure not in a flood plain; Built in 1925
  • Construction: Wood frame and brick construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1925; Basement present
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Traditional architectural style

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the 1st level; Kitchen on the 2nd level; Kitchen on the 3rd level; Kitchen in the basement; Ranges present on all levels; Refrigerators present on all levels; No dishwashers listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 10 bedrooms; 3 bedrooms on the 1st level; 3 bedrooms on the 2nd level; 3 bedrooms on the 3rd level; 1 bedroom in the basement
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath on the 1st level; 2 full baths on the 2nd level; 1 full bath on the 3rd level; 1 full bath in the basement; No partial baths listed
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; 3 furnaces; Central air and wall/window units for cooling; 4 HVAC units
  • Interior features: Basement present; Balcony
  • Laundry & utility: No in-unit laundry listed on any level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $614/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,055/mo this rent would consume 123% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $210k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
16.81%
Cash-on-cash
37.58%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$96,116
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
5.95×
Total profit
$290,955
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40208

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,055 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,081/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$852
Net cashflow
$1,841

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,724
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,960 -5% $1,901 +0% $1,841 +5% $1,782 +10% $1,722
Rent -10% $1,521 -5% $1,681 +0% $1,841 +5% $2,001 +10% $2,162
Rate -1.0pp $1,947 -0.5pp $1,895 base $1,841 +0.5pp $1,787 +1.0pp $1,732

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,055

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 695-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $210,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,081 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,081 · $173/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,660
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,081
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,893
− Management
−$3,893
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$19,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,769
After-tax cash flow
$17,326/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
15,605
Household income
$39,560
Rent vs Own
73.8% rent · 26.2% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 22% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.97%
Current HPI
240.6261
Rent YoY
▲ 6.06%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $210,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-04-26 Sold (MLS) $114,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $114,900 Public Records
  • 2007-03-13 Listed $114,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-03-05 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-01-22 Listed $119,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2007-01-06 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2006-10-09 Listed $129,900 Metro Search MLS
  • 2006-01-07 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2005-07-07 Listed $150,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,081 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…