CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4119 Nantucket Dr
D Composite 41.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

4119 Nantucket Dr · Enola, PA 17050
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,420 sqft · Townhouse public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1989 2,614 sqft lot Est $261k · at est. $92/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.

Key facts

  • $92 HOA
  • Built 1989
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee $275 paid quarterly

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating fuel
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,420; Below-grade unfinished area reported as 614
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area reported by assessor
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (7.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Enola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#243 in PA, #2,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute D+, amenities F.
  • Cumberland Valley SD (suburban): math 54% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #52 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Cumberland Valley Hs (math 66% / reading 24%, grade D-, #191 of 437 statewide, top 44%, 3,035 students, 25% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cumberland Valley SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $250k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,383 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4226 Nantucket Dr 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,466 (+3%) 8mo $260,000 $177 85
4186 Nantucket Dr 0.13mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,496 (+5%) 7mo $305,000 $204 74
4261 Nantucket Dr 0.11mi 2/2.5 1,336 (-6%) 17mo $247,900 $186 71
1450 Timber Chase Dr 0.55mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+1%) 7mo $236,500 $164 64
1486 Timber Chase Dr 0.58mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,364 (-4%) 3mo $257,000 $188 59
1510 Timber Chase Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,415 (-0%) 12mo $239,900 $170 58
1260 Timber View Dr 0.61mi 2/2.5 1,320 (-7%) 10mo $251,000 $190 52
1286 Timber View Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,496 (+5%) 11mo $274,900 $184 48
1462 Timber Brook Dr 0.63mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,496 (+5%) 10mo $286,000 $191 48
1451 Olde Oak Ct 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,338 (-6%) 11mo $237,000 $177 46
1526 Tussey Ct 0.53mi 2/1.5 1,620 (+14%) 10mo $247,500 $153 39
4165 Kittatinny Dr 0.54mi 2/1.5 1,620 (+14%) 18mo $225,000 $139 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-49,125
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-59,408
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17050

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,034 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,436/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$92
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$427
Net cashflow
$-103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,165
Max offer price $231,727
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5050 Mendenhall Dr Mechanicsburg, PA 3.0 4.0 1829 $2,475 $1.35 44d 1 0.97mi
99 Lee Ann Ct Enola, PA 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,995 $1.30 14d 1 1.09mi
2208 Gleim Ct Enola, PA 3.0 3.0 1418 $2,050 $1.45 44d 1 1.10mi
2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 405 Enola, PA 1.0 1.0 991 $1,703 $1.72 14d 1 1.45mi
2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 208 Enola, PA 2.0 2.0 1128 $1,750 $1.55 14d 1 1.45mi
2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 307 Enola, PA 3.0 2.0 1372 $2,076 $1.51 14d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$92 · $1,104/yr
Likely covers
trash

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    price $250,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-05-12
    listed $269,000 Active 373-char remark
  8. 2004-12-30
    soldstatus $124,900 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.

  9. 2004-11-02
    listed $124,900 371-char remark
    Show marketing remark (371 chars)

    Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.

  10. 1995-12-26
    soldstatus $91,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,436 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,193 · $266/mo
Expected delta
+$757/yr (+$63/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,406
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$2,436
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,952
− Management
−$1,952
− HOA
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$5,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,336
After-tax cash flow
$94/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland Valley SD
NCES district ID
4207110
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$78,135
Composite
55.77/100
National rank
#1218
State rank
#52 of 539 in PA

Livability — Enola

Score
79/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#2077

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cumberland County · 257,673 people
City population
17,648
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
43,571
Household income
$113,720
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
535.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Asian 16% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.84%
Current HPI
241.7363
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-12-30 Sold (MLS) $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-11-02 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,436 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…