4119 Nantucket Dr · Enola, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.
Key facts
- $92 HOA
- Built 1989
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee $275 paid quarterly
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,420; Below-grade unfinished area reported as 614
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area reported by assessor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (7.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Enola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#243 in PA, #2,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, commute D+, amenities F.
- Cumberland Valley SD (suburban): math 54% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #52 of 539 in PA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Cumberland Valley Hs (math 66% / reading 24%, grade D-, #191 of 437 statewide, top 44%, 3,035 students, 25% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cumberland Valley SD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $250k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.77%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4226 Nantucket Dr | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 | 1,466 (+3%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $177 | 85 |
| 4186 Nantucket Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,496 (+5%) | 7mo | $305,000 | $204 | 74 |
| 4261 Nantucket Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 | 1,336 (-6%) | 17mo | $247,900 | $186 | 71 |
| 1450 Timber Chase Dr | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+1%) | 7mo | $236,500 | $164 | 64 |
| 1486 Timber Chase Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,364 (-4%) | 3mo | $257,000 | $188 | 59 |
| 1510 Timber Chase Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,415 (-0%) | 12mo | $239,900 | $170 | 58 |
| 1260 Timber View Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.5 | 1,320 (-7%) | 10mo | $251,000 | $190 | 52 |
| 1286 Timber View Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,496 (+5%) | 11mo | $274,900 | $184 | 48 |
| 1462 Timber Brook Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,496 (+5%) | 10mo | $286,000 | $191 | 48 |
| 1451 Olde Oak Ct | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,338 (-6%) | 11mo | $237,000 | $177 | 46 |
| 1526 Tussey Ct | 0.53mi | 2/1.5 | 1,620 (+14%) | 10mo | $247,500 | $153 | 39 |
| 4165 Kittatinny Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 | 1,620 (+14%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $139 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-49,125
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-59,408
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17050
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,034 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,436/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$92
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5050 Mendenhall Dr Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1829 | $2,475 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 99 Lee Ann Ct Enola, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,995 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2208 Gleim Ct Enola, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1418 | $2,050 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 405 Enola, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,703 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 208 Enola, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,750 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2340 Hadley Blvd Unit 307 Enola, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $2,076 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $92 · $1,104/yr
- Likely covers
- trash
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $250,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-12$269,000 Active 373-char remark
-
2004-12-30soldstatus $124,900 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.
-
2004-11-02$124,900 371-char remark
Show marketing remark (371 chars)
Beautifully kept brick ext townhome in Beaumont Square. 2nd fl incl: sitting rm w/ skylight & 2 BR ea w/ own bath. 1st fl open design offers gracious foyer, pdr rm, bright eat-in kitchen, dining/living rm combo, marble FP, glass doors to rear deck. Fullly equipped appliance pkg incl: ref, trash comp, washer & dryer. Full bsmt offers possibilities. AHS warr.
-
1995-12-26soldstatus $91,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,436 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,193 · $266/mo
- Expected delta
- +$757/yr (+$63/mo · 31.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,406
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$2,436
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,952
- − Management
- −$1,952
- − HOA
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$5,565
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,336
- After-tax cash flow
- $94/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207110
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,135
- Composite
- 55.77/100
- National rank
- #1218
- State rank
- #52 of 539 in PA
Livability — Enola
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #2077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- City population
- 17,648
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,571
- Household income
- $113,720
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 535.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Asian 16% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.84%
- Current HPI
- 241.7363
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.99%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+173.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Coming Soon $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-12-30 Sold (MLS) $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-02 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,436 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…