1500 S Columbus Ave #38 · Goldendale, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated and Move-In Ready! This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a spacious corner lot in a well-maintained park, offering comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living. Inside, you’ll appreciate the brand-new paint, new flooring, and an inviting layout designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy the functionality of a large carport, a detached storage shed, and plenty of outdoor space around the home. Located just minutes from local amenities, shopping, and services, this home is ideal for anyone seeking simple, stress-free homeownership without the burden of traditional property maintenance. Move in and enjoy the convenience—your new home awaits!
Key facts
- Large carport
- Outdoor space
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.4% in Goldendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#295 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Goldendale School District (town): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #213 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Klickitat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klickitat County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.16%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,000
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -72.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1924 Jaxon St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-12%) | 6mo | $254,999 | $215 | 62 |
| 1500 S Columbus Ave #21 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (-13%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $90 | 58 |
| 320 W Nesbitt St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,470 (+9%) | 5mo | $339,900 | $231 | 55 |
| 512 W Railroad Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-4%) | 21mo | $257,000 | $199 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $24,130
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $70,607
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98620
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,464 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $571/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $606
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2025-12-18status Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Updated and Move-In Ready! This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a spacious corner lot in a well-maintained park, offering comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living. Inside, you’ll appreciate the brand-new paint, new flooring, and an inviting layout designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy the functionality of a large carport, a detached storage shed, and plenty of outdoor space around the home. Located just minutes from local amenities, shopping, and services, this home is ideal for anyone seeking simple, stress-free homeownership without the burden of traditional property maintenance. Move in and enjoy the convenience—your new home awaits!
-
2025-12-12status Pending 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Updated and Move-In Ready! This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a spacious corner lot in a well-maintained park, offering comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living. Inside, you’ll appreciate the brand-new paint, new flooring, and an inviting layout designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy the functionality of a large carport, a detached storage shed, and plenty of outdoor space around the home. Located just minutes from local amenities, shopping, and services, this home is ideal for anyone seeking simple, stress-free homeownership without the burden of traditional property maintenance. Move in and enjoy the convenience—your new home awaits!
-
2025-11-20$89,000 Active 701-char remark
Show marketing remark (701 chars)
Updated and Move-In Ready! This beautifully refreshed 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home sits on a spacious corner lot in a well-maintained park, offering comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living. Inside, you’ll appreciate the brand-new paint, new flooring, and an inviting layout designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy the functionality of a large carport, a detached storage shed, and plenty of outdoor space around the home. Located just minutes from local amenities, shopping, and services, this home is ideal for anyone seeking simple, stress-free homeownership without the burden of traditional property maintenance. Move in and enjoy the convenience—your new home awaits!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $571 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$302/yr (+$25/mo · 52.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$571
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $6,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Goldendale School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303090
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,859
- Composite
- 37.31/100
- National rank
- #8952
- State rank
- #213 of 291 in WA
Livability — Goldendale
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #10293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Goldendale, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,617
Population outlook (Klickitat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,337 people
- By 2030
- 22,829 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,382 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 23,654 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 24,266 · +8.6%
- By 2100
- 23,782 · +6.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Klickitat
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 43.7% · R 53.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.36%
- Current HPI
- 210.0159
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-18 Relisted — RMLS
- 2025-12-12 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $89,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2026): $571 · +69.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…