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206 Springvale Cir
B- Composite 65.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

206 Springvale Cir · Madison, AL 35758
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,534 sqft · Townhouse public records · 254 Days on market
Built 1974 3,572 sqft lot $114/sqft · 21% below area Est $212k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.

Key facts

  • Great location
  • Swimming pool
  • Quick access

Tags

GREAT LOCATIONQUICK ACCESSWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEPRIVATE FRONT AND BACK PATIOSCLUB HOUSE ACCESSSWIMMING POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11969% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.45%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,469
List price
$175,000
Delta
-17.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Summerview Dr 0.08mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,525 (-1%) 2mo $180,000 $118 85
207 Summerview Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-1%) 13mo $185,000 $122 78
203 Springvale Cir 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,350 (-12%) 2mo $179,900 $133 75
377 Oakland Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,522 (-1%) 12mo $190,000 $125 72
434 Summerview Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,317 (-14%) 5mo $177,000 $134 65
365 Oakland Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (-8%) 7mo $199,900 $141 65
301 Autumn Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (-5%) 21mo $200,000 $137 64
302 Winterhaven Trl 0.06mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,450 (-6%) 19mo $197,710 $136 63
403 Summerview Dr 0.03mi 2/1.5 1,342 (-12%) 23mo $175,000 $130 59
325 Autumn Ln 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,448 (-6%) 23mo $199,000 $137 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$99,412
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
22.1%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$283,403
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,611 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,484
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $199 -5% $150 +0% $100 +5% $50 +10% $1
Rent -10% $-27 -5% $36 +0% $100 +5% $164 +10% $227
Rate -1.0pp $188 -0.5pp $145 base $100 +0.5pp $55 +1.0pp $9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
403 Oakland Rd Madison, AL 2.0 2.5 1165 $1,295 $1.11 44d 1 0.20mi
2002 Flagstone Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $1,247 $1.28 14d 77 0.23mi
245 Pineridge Rd Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1812 $2,000 $1.10 44d 1 0.38mi
102 Acacia Trail Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2005 $2,000 $1.00 22d 1 0.52mi
101 Springfield Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,350 $1.43 44d 1 0.59mi
240 Stadium Way Madison, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,690 $1.70 14d 29 0.65mi
104 Kathy Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,995 $1.13 44d 1 0.73mi
200 Town Madison Blvd Madison, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,558 $1.56 14d 22 0.74mi
286 Slaughter Rd NW Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1385 $1,699 $1.23 14d 31 0.80mi
2300 Colonial Lake Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1083 $1,186 $1.09 14d 39 0.81mi
7900 Old Madison Pike Madison, AL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1313 $1,164 $0.89 14d 11 0.85mi
118 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2031 $2,300 $1.13 44d 1 0.89mi
1 Madison Park Dr Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1149 $1,678 $1.46 14d 18 0.90mi
1105 Woodbine Rd Madison, AL 3.0 1.5 1254 $1,500 $1.20 24d 1 0.90mi
510 Clift Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,600 $1.34 44d 1 0.92mi
153 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1730 $1,950 $1.13 22d 1 0.98mi
416 Walton Rd Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,795 $1.37 14d 1 1.02mi
100 Arch St Pl Madison, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 838 $1,706 $2.03 14d 20 1.03mi
1006 Wood Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2173 $1,899 $0.87 44d 1 1.08mi
712 Marion Dr Madison, AL 3.0 1.0 1253 $1,450 $1.16 44d 1 1.10mi
709 Marion Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2050 $1,795 $0.88 22d 1 1.11mi
124 Iberville St Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,049 $1.52 44d 1 1.12mi
202 High Rd Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1759 $2,375 $1.35 24d 1 1.17mi
1016 Seina Vista Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1981 $2,100 $1.06 14d 1 1.21mi
349 Waters Edge Ln Unit n/a Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,050 $1.00 44d 1 1.24mi
262 Waters Edge Ln Unit 262 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,175 $1.11 44d 1 1.26mi
210 Waters Edge Ln #6 Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,075 $1.01 44d 1 1.26mi
200 Millstone Ln Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $2,000 $1.40 44d 1 1.27mi
722 Highland Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 1938 $1,750 $0.90 14d 1 1.29mi
180 Hughes Rd Madison, AL 1.0–4.0 1.0–3.5 1373 $1,824 $1.33 14d 45 1.35mi
234 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1976 $1,695 $0.86 44d 1 1.37mi
248 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1764 $1,625 $0.92 24d 1 1.41mi
122 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1881 $1,695 $0.90 44d 1 1.44mi
102 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2150 $1,700 $0.79 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 254 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 253 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 252 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 251 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 246 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 245 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 244 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 243 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 239 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 238 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 237 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 236 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 235 DOM
  15. 2026-02-14
    historical $1,450
  16. 2026-01-07
    listed $1,450
  17. 2026-01-05
    listed $180,000 Active
  18. 2025-10-22
    price $175,000 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.

  19. 2025-10-07
    listed $180,000 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.

  20. 2025-10-01
    historical $1,500
  21. 2025-07-19
    price $184,750
  22. 2025-06-14
    listed $1,500
  23. 2025-06-12
    price $184,900
  24. 2025-05-19
    price $194,450
  25. 2025-05-09
    listed $194,500 Active
  26. 2025-03-20
    price $189,991
  27. 2025-02-17
    price $199,931
  28. 2025-01-17
    listed $204,931 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,180 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,180 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,326
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,180
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,546
− Management
−$1,546
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$411
After-tax cash flow
$1,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-14 Rental Removed $1,450 VMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,450 VMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $180,000 VMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $175,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $180,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-10-01 Rental Removed $1,500 VMLS
  • 2025-07-19 Price Changed $184,750 VMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Listed for Rent $1,500 VMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $184,900 VMLS
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $194,450 VMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Listed $194,500 VMLS
  • 2025-03-20 Price Changed $189,991 VMLS
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $199,931 VMLS
  • 2025-01-17 Listed $204,931 VMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,180 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…