206 Springvale Cir · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.
Key facts
- Great location
- Swimming pool
- Quick access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11969% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.45%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,469
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -17.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 Summerview Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,525 (-1%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $118 | 85 |
| 207 Summerview Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-1%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $122 | 78 |
| 203 Springvale Cir | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (-12%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $133 | 75 |
| 377 Oakland Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,522 (-1%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 434 Summerview Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,317 (-14%) | 5mo | $177,000 | $134 | 65 |
| 365 Oakland Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (-8%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $141 | 65 |
| 301 Autumn Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-5%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $137 | 64 |
| 302 Winterhaven Trl | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,450 (-6%) | 19mo | $197,710 | $136 | 63 |
| 403 Summerview Dr | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 1,342 (-12%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $130 | 59 |
| 325 Autumn Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,448 (-6%) | 23mo | $199,000 | $137 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $99,412
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.78×
- Total profit
- $283,403
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35758
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,611 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $199 | -5% $150 | +0% $100 | +5% $50 | +10% $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-27 | -5% $36 | +0% $100 | +5% $164 | +10% $227 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $145 | base $100 | +0.5pp $55 | +1.0pp $9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 Oakland Rd Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1165 | $1,295 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2002 Flagstone Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $1,247 | $1.28 | 14d | 77 | 0.23mi |
| 245 Pineridge Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 102 Acacia Trail Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2005 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 101 Springfield Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,350 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 240 Stadium Way Madison, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,690 | $1.70 | 14d | 29 | 0.65mi |
| 104 Kathy Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,995 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 200 Town Madison Blvd Madison, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,558 | $1.56 | 14d | 22 | 0.74mi |
| 286 Slaughter Rd NW Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1385 | $1,699 | $1.23 | 14d | 31 | 0.80mi |
| 2300 Colonial Lake Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $1,186 | $1.09 | 14d | 39 | 0.81mi |
| 7900 Old Madison Pike Madison, AL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1313 | $1,164 | $0.89 | 14d | 11 | 0.85mi |
| 118 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1 Madison Park Dr Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $1,678 | $1.46 | 14d | 18 | 0.90mi |
| 1105 Woodbine Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1254 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 510 Clift Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 153 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,950 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 416 Walton Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,795 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 100 Arch St Pl Madison, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,706 | $2.03 | 14d | 20 | 1.03mi |
| 1006 Wood Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $1,899 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 712 Marion Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 709 Marion Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $1,795 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 124 Iberville St Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,049 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 202 High Rd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,375 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1016 Seina Vista Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1981 | $2,100 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 349 Waters Edge Ln Unit n/a Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 262 Waters Edge Ln Unit 262 Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 210 Waters Edge Ln #6 Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,075 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 200 Millstone Ln Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 722 Highland Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1938 | $1,750 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 180 Hughes Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1373 | $1,824 | $1.33 | 14d | 45 | 1.35mi |
| 234 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $1,695 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 248 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,625 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 122 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1881 | $1,695 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 102 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-02-14historical $1,450
-
2026-01-07$1,450
-
2026-01-05$180,000 Active
-
2025-10-22price $175,000 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.
-
2025-10-07$180,000 Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE!! Great location! Near Redstone Arsenal, Toyota Field, Madison City schools. Quick access to I-565 and Bridge Street Town center shopping. Living room with wood burning fireplace, 2 car garage, private front and back patios. Association is responsible for all exterior maintenance except glass. Enjoy club house access and swimming pool. HOA $350.00 per month.
-
2025-10-01historical $1,500
-
2025-07-19price $184,750
-
2025-06-14$1,500
-
2025-06-12price $184,900
-
2025-05-19price $194,450
-
2025-05-09$194,500 Active
-
2025-03-20price $189,991
-
2025-02-17price $199,931
-
2025-01-17$204,931 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,180
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,546
- − Management
- −$1,546
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,715
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$411
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,266
- Household income
- $117,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.46%
- Current HPI
- 355.2784
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-99.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Rental Removed $1,450 VMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,450 VMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $180,000 VMLS
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $175,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-10-07 Listed $180,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-10-01 Rental Removed $1,500 VMLS
- 2025-07-19 Price Changed $184,750 VMLS
- 2025-06-14 Listed for Rent $1,500 VMLS
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $184,900 VMLS
- 2025-05-19 Price Changed $194,450 VMLS
- 2025-05-09 Listed $194,500 VMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $189,991 VMLS
- 2025-02-17 Price Changed $199,931 VMLS
- 2025-01-17 Listed $204,931 VMLS
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,180 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…