957 Comanche · Quitman, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Updated Home on 4 Lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor living with this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on nearly 0.8 acre in the gated Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Whether you're looking for a peaceful full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this property offers it all. Step inside to find fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, and an updated 2025 HVAC system to keep you comfortable year-round. Enjoy your mornings on the front porch, or take advantage of the handicap-accessible ramp that makes this home welcoming to everyone. Outside, you'll love the spacious 2-car carport and the enclosed 15x22 workshop, perfect for storage, hobbies, or projects. With so much space, there’s plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. Just a short walk from the clubhouse, you’ll have easy access to top-notch community amenities including a swimming pool, playground, and basketball court. For outdoor and fishing enthusiasts, the subdivision also offers a private boat ramp to world-famous Lake Fork.
Key facts
- 2-car carport
- Private boat ramp
- Updated home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($416/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.2% in Quitman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in TX, #3,504 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Quitman ISD (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #381 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 325 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 325 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.96%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,336
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- 6.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 349 Arapaho | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-2%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $182 | 59 |
| 179 Wichita | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+15%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $250 | 56 |
| 445 Comanche | 0.50mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-12%) | 14mo | $104,900 | $123 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-22,958
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-17,345
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75783
- Home prices YoY
- -9.6%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $415/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $122 | -5% $79 | +0% $35 | +5% $-9 | +10% $-53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-65 | -5% $-15 | +0% $35 | +5% $84 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $74 | base $35 | +0.5pp $-6 | +1.0pp $-46 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $155,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-01-21price $165,000 1146-char remark
Show marketing remark (1146 chars)
Charming Updated Home on 4 Lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor living with this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on nearly 0.8 acre in the gated Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Whether you're looking for a peaceful full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this property offers it all. Step inside to find fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, and an updated 2025 HVAC system to keep you comfortable year-round. Enjoy your mornings on the front porch, or take advantage of the handicap-accessible ramp that makes this home welcoming to everyone. Outside, you'll love the spacious 2-car carport and the enclosed 15x22 workshop, perfect for storage, hobbies, or projects. With so much space, there’s plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. Just a short walk from the clubhouse, you’ll have easy access to top-notch community amenities including a swimming pool, playground, and basketball court. For outdoor and fishing enthusiasts, the subdivision also offers a private boat ramp to world-famous Lake Fork.
-
2026-01-21price $165,000 1146-char remark
Show marketing remark (1146 chars)
Charming Updated Home on 4 Lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor living with this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on nearly 0.8 acre in the gated Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Whether you're looking for a peaceful full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this property offers it all. Step inside to find fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, and an updated 2025 HVAC system to keep you comfortable year-round. Enjoy your mornings on the front porch, or take advantage of the handicap-accessible ramp that makes this home welcoming to everyone. Outside, you'll love the spacious 2-car carport and the enclosed 15x22 workshop, perfect for storage, hobbies, or projects. With so much space, there’s plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. Just a short walk from the clubhouse, you’ll have easy access to top-notch community amenities including a swimming pool, playground, and basketball court. For outdoor and fishing enthusiasts, the subdivision also offers a private boat ramp to world-famous Lake Fork.
-
2025-07-30$175,000 Active 1146-char remark
Show marketing remark (1146 chars)
Charming Updated Home on 4 Lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor living with this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on nearly 0.8 acre in the gated Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Whether you're looking for a peaceful full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this property offers it all. Step inside to find fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, and an updated 2025 HVAC system to keep you comfortable year-round. Enjoy your mornings on the front porch, or take advantage of the handicap-accessible ramp that makes this home welcoming to everyone. Outside, you'll love the spacious 2-car carport and the enclosed 15x22 workshop, perfect for storage, hobbies, or projects. With so much space, there’s plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. Just a short walk from the clubhouse, you’ll have easy access to top-notch community amenities including a swimming pool, playground, and basketball court. For outdoor and fishing enthusiasts, the subdivision also offers a private boat ramp to world-famous Lake Fork.
-
2025-07-30$175,000 Active 1146-char remark
Show marketing remark (1146 chars)
Charming Updated Home on 4 Lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Discover the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and outdoor living with this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on nearly 0.8 acre in the gated Holiday Village of Lake Fork. Whether you're looking for a peaceful full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this property offers it all. Step inside to find fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, and an updated 2025 HVAC system to keep you comfortable year-round. Enjoy your mornings on the front porch, or take advantage of the handicap-accessible ramp that makes this home welcoming to everyone. Outside, you'll love the spacious 2-car carport and the enclosed 15x22 workshop, perfect for storage, hobbies, or projects. With so much space, there’s plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. Just a short walk from the clubhouse, you’ll have easy access to top-notch community amenities including a swimming pool, playground, and basketball court. For outdoor and fishing enthusiasts, the subdivision also offers a private boat ramp to world-famous Lake Fork.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $415 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,421/yr (+$202/mo · 582.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$415
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,265
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$544
- After-tax cash flow
- $959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming updated home on 4 lots in Holiday Village of Lake Fork offers a peaceful full-time residence or weekend getaway with fresh paint, new flooring, and an updated HVAC system.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
- Both Painting — Fresh paint improves home's appearance and value
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint improves home's appearance and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quitman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4836300
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,081
- Composite
- 34.94/100
- National rank
- #5063
- State rank
- #381 of 826 in TX
Livability — Quitman
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #3504
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,011
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,480 people
- By 2030
- 47,796 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 50,142 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 52,122 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 57,033 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 56,418 · +21.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.83%
- Current HPI
- 234.4883
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-5.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $165,000 GTAR
- 2025-07-30 Listed $175,000 GTAR
- 2025-07-30 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+24.8%/yrLatest (2025): $415 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…