3316 Pine Valley Rd · High Point, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3316 Pine Valley Rd, a standout opportunity in one of High Point’s nice established neighborhood pockets. This property has significant recent mechanical upgrades that provide peace of mind from day one. With a newer roof installed in 2021, a high-efficiency AC unit from 2020, and a gas water heater from 2023, this ensures your renovation budget can stay focused on the fun, high-impact aesthetic transformations inside. This is a chance to secure a solid structure with modern systems in a prime location—simply bring your design vision to life and watch your investment grow.
Key facts
- Gas water heater
- Newer roof
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Carport; Driveway; Gravel parking; 2 garage/carport spaces
- Security: Dead bolt(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas water heater; Natural gas heating
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One level; Built in 1952; Existing structure
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Partially fenced, fenced in areas; City lot in a subdivision; Subdivision: Oak Wood Forest; Public maintained road; Storage structure on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Attic access only; Ceiling fan(s); Dead bolt(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection on the main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oak View Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,190 of 1,410 statewide, top 86%, 534 students, 99% FRL); Welborn Middle (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #429 of 475 statewide, top 91%, 419 students, 99% FRL); T Wingate Andrews High (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #468 of 535 statewide, top 88%, 717 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $98k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.62%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3316 Pine Valley Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+4%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $142 | 94 |
| 214 Moffitt Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (-1%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $121 | 64 |
| 310 Oakview Rd | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-8%) | 19mo | $127,500 | $150 | 63 |
| 3318 Pine Valley Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+14%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $190 | 59 |
| 403 Moffitt Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 12mo | $117,967 | $140 | 56 |
| 116 Welch Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 914 (-1%) | 23mo | $146,500 | $160 | 56 |
| 106 Avery Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 822 (-11%) | 9mo | $187,000 | $227 | 54 |
| 206 Oakview Rd | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 796 (-14%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 304 Oakview Rd | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,011 (+10%) | 21mo | $102,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 209 Snider St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-15%) | 7mo | $174,000 | $222 | 44 |
| 813 Old Winston Rd | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-9%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $149 | 41 |
| 414 E Peachtree Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 785 (-15%) | 12mo | $124,000 | $158 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,504
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $18,014
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27265
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 279
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,488 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $380 | -5% $341 | +0% $303 | +5% $265 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $244 | +0% $303 | +5% $362 | +10% $421 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $338 | base $303 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 Pine Circle Dr High Point, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 856 Lakecrest Ave High Point, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $1,320 | $1.67 | 16d | 11 | 0.55mi |
| 251 Northpoint Ave High Point, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 928 Lakecrest Ave High Point, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 973 | $1,526 | $1.57 | 16d | 4 | 0.68mi |
| 2741 Addlestone CIR High Point, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $2,035 | $1.99 | 16d | 41 | 0.84mi |
| 177 W Hartley Dr High Point, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,218 | $1.49 | 16d | 8 | 0.87mi |
| 2120 Chester Ridge Dr High Point, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $1,443 | $1.44 | 16d | 7 | 0.89mi |
| 3019 Ingleside Dr High Point, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,505 | $1.53 | 16d | 8 | 1.09mi |
| 1910 Whitehall St High Point, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,095 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 122 Northgate Ct High Point, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,199 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3605 Walden Ln High Point, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,099 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1533 Beaucrest Ave Unit B High Point, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-14historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-04-08$135,000 Active
-
2008-12-31soldstatus $97,500
-
2002-05-01soldstatus $71,000
-
1983-05-01soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,302 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,302 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,302
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — High Point
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #3084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- High Point, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 102,450
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,798
- Household income
- $73,981
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1095.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -207.73%
- Current HPI
- 217.0263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.38%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+315.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $135,000 Triad MLS
- 2008-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,302 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…