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4403 Tucker Sq
B Composite 70.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

4403 Tucker Sq · Beacon Square, FL 34652
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 133 Days on market
Built 1980 4,583 sqft lot $175/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in the 55+ community of Place in the Sun with this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home offering 960 square feet of living space in New Port Richey. This home requires remediation, but features a functional layout and good bones, making it a great option for those looking to customize and add value. This is a great opportunity to purchase a home at an extreme discount and customize every finished detail while preserving long term equity. The home offers carport parking along with an additional storage closet for convenience. Inside, you’ll find an open floor plan that provides a comfortable flow between the living and dining areas. The spacious primary bedroom includes

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Paved patio
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCARPORT PARKINGADDITIONAL STORAGE CLOSETOPEN FLOOR PLANWALK-IN CLOSETPAVED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Third-party listing
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $175; total annual fees $2,100; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Place in the Sun HOA with required approval; Monthly HOA $175 (includes cable TV, internet, pool); Community pool; Shuffleboard court; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Has carport; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry level: One; Homesteaded
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof type; Crawlspace foundation; Built on lot of about 0.11 acres
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; East-facing
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#600 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mittye P. Locke Elementary School (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 491 students, 89% FRL); Anclote High School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,205 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 48% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 635 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $55k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
23.01%
Cash-on-cash
59.69%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,480
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4135 Pecan Dr 0.73mi 2/2.0 864 (-10%) 13mo $141,000 $163 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$9,433
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$23,265
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34652

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
635
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,627 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $392/yr
Insurance
$23
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$175
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,197
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4408 Rustic Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.18mi
4411 Rustic Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,450 $1.38 13d 1 0.21mi
4211 Hampton Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,795 $1.71 5d 1 0.25mi
4221 Touchton Pl New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 888 $1,300 $1.46 24d 1 0.27mi
4209 Touchton Pl New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 624 $1,300 $2.08 17d 1 0.29mi
4540 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,550 $2.02 24d 1 0.36mi
4721 Naftis Ln New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,700 $1.54 13d 1 0.36mi
4616 Irene Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 898 $1,600 $1.78 20d 1 0.40mi
4852 Pompano Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $2,900 $2.63 24d 1 0.44mi
4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,500 $2.02 4d 1 0.54mi
4124 Flamingo Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 744 $1,500 $2.02 15d 1 0.54mi
4133 Grayton Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 1068 $1,727 $1.62 5d 1 0.65mi
5020 Vickers Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 863 $1,550 $1.80 5d 1 0.68mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 2d 2 0.68mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 24d 2 0.68mi
4939 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,648 $1.57 17d 3 0.68mi
4436 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 890 $2,295 $2.58 5d 1 0.69mi
4430 Floramar Ter New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 1094 $2,500 $2.29 3d 1 0.70mi
4548 Belfast Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,575 $1.47 18d 1 0.71mi
4754 Marine Pkwy Unit 102-I New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 24d 1 0.80mi
5197 Silent Loop New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $2,200 $2.30 4d 1 0.81mi
5197 Silent Loop #124 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $2,200 $2.30 24d 1 0.81mi
4854 Marine Pkwy #103 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 2.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 24d 1 0.81mi
5132 Amulet Dr #107 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 928 $1,395 $1.50 13d 1 0.82mi
4518 Audrey Ln Unit 4551 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 22d 1 0.83mi
4529 Audrey Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 22d 1 0.83mi
4753 Marine Pkwy Unit 4753 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 24d 1 0.84mi
4540 Audrey Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 24d 1 0.85mi
4551 Audrey Ln NEW PRT RCHY, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 22d 1 0.85mi
5154 Turquoise Ln #102 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 708 $1,250 $1.77 5d 1 0.88mi
4533 Marine Pkwy #101 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 20d 1 0.89mi
4533 Marine Pkwy #101 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,795 $1.68 18d 1 0.89mi
4901 Onyx Ln #102 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 672 $1,295 $1.93 24d 1 0.90mi
4744 Azalea Dr #204 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 736 $1,100 $1.49 20d 1 0.95mi
5227 Tangerine Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 996 $1,500 $1.51 13d 1 0.98mi
5333 Pasadena Dr Unit 5333 New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 576 $1,200 $2.08 18d 1 0.98mi
4746 Azalea Dr Apt 103C Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,220 $1.21 24d 1 0.98mi
4938 Azalea Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 870 $2,000 $2.30 24d 1 1.01mi
4922 Filner St New Port Richey, FL 1.0 1.0 540 $1,000 $1.85 22d 1 1.02mi
4944 Elkner St New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 722 $1,350 $1.87 22d 1 1.02mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$175 · $2,100/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 130 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-02-05
    listed $55,000 Active
  15. 2008-01-01
    listed $40,000
  16. 2000-05-01
    soldstatus $27,000
  17. 1989-12-01
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$392 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$456 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$65/yr (+$5/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,519
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$392
− Insurance
−$5,394
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,562
− Management
−$1,562
− HOA
−$2,100
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$3,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$919
After-tax cash flow
$3,155/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Beacon Square

Score
66/100
State rank
#600
US rank
#11494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beacon Square, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,444
Household income
$56,931
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
1190.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.49%
Current HPI
310.8347
Rent YoY
▲ 0.72%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+358.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-01 Listed $40,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $392 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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