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17 S Oregon St
D+ Composite 46.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

17 S Oregon St · Johnstown, OH 43031
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,659 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1910 9,583 sqft lot $175/sqft · 11% below area Est $325k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated home in the desirable Johnstown School District with major mechanical and exterior improvements already done for you. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a flexible layout featuring a convenient first-floor bedroom and full bath. Currently residential with potential to go commercial. The main level flows comfortably for everyday living, while upstairs you'll find three additional bedrooms and a second full bath, providing space and separation for family or guests. Enjoy peace of mind with big-ticket updates already completed, including newer HVAC (approx. 4 years old) and water heater, roof, siding, windows, doors, and appliances all replaced within the last 6 years. This

Key facts

  • First-floor bedroom
  • Roof
  • Water heater

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR BEDROOMFULL BATHNEWER HVACWATER HEATERROOFSIDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1910
  • Construction: No shared/common walls
  • Exterior features: Poured foundation

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Crawl space and partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-605/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (3.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#186 in OH, #2,873 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Johnstown-Monroe Local (town): math 70% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #85 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $97k; list at $290k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $229,244 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.75%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$324,738
List price
$290,000
Delta
-10.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 Edwards Rd 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,732 (+4%) 1mo $410,000 $237 76
256 S Kasson St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,764 (+6%) 9mo $295,000 $167 60
416 Sunset Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,675 (+1%) 16mo $280,000 $167 57
65 Benedict Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,488 (-10%) 6mo $289,500 $195 56
304 Central Station Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,695 (+2%) 14mo $415,000 $245 50
57 Northview Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,557 (-6%) 14mo $335,000 $215 48
25 Lewis Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,525 (-8%) 15mo $317,000 $208 45
562 Cannondale Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-12%) 2mo $494,900 $341 42
199 Sunset Dr S 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,591 (-4%) 15mo $208,000 $131 40
144 Payne St 0.37mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,880 (+13%) 18mo $369,900 $197 35
221 De Rosa Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,437 (-13%) 15mo $490,000 $341 26
559 Cannondale Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,414 (-15%) 17mo $421,000 $298 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-50,257
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-48,114
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43031

Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,292 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$220 /mo · $2,638/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$481
Net cashflow
$-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,356
Max offer price $281,092
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
137 S Williams St Johnstown, OH 2.0 1.0 1312 $1,100 $0.84 16d 1 0.26mi
291 S Main St Johnstown, OH 4.0 2.0 1712 $2,700 $1.58 10d 1 0.41mi
291 S Main St Johnstown, OH 4.0 2.0 1712 $2,700 $1.58 43d 1 0.41mi
304 Gray Fox Ct Johnstown, OH 3.0 2.5 1710 $2,599 $1.52 4d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $290,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $309,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $309,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $309,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,900 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $309,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $309,900 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $309,900 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,900 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricestatusdays on market $309,900 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-10
    historical
  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $299,900 Active
  17. 2020-07-17
    historical
  18. 2020-06-27
    price $229,900
  19. 2020-06-05
    listed $239,900 Active
  20. 2015-12-03
    historical
  21. 2015-05-14
    listed $135,900 Active
  22. 2013-12-13
    historical
  23. 2013-07-30
    listed $135,900
  24. 2004-10-25
    soldstatus $97,000
  25. 2004-10-21
    soldstatus $97,000
  26. 2004-06-04
    historical
  27. 2004-03-31
    listed $109,889
  28. 1993-11-02
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,638 · $220/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,581 · $298/mo
Expected delta
+$943/yr (+$79/mo · 35.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,509
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$2,638
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,201
− Management
−$2,201
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$5,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnstown-Monroe Local
NCES district ID
3904798
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$69,411
Composite
64.92/100
National rank
#510
State rank
#85 of 656 in OH

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#2873

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, OH
County
Licking County · 109,194 people
City population
13,876
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
13,876
Household income
$110,930
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
216.0

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -310.19%
Current HPI
280.5337
Rent YoY
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+437.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $290,000 CBRMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Relisted CBRMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $309,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $299,900 CBRMLS
  • 2020-07-17 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2020-06-27 Price Changed $229,900 CBRMLS
  • 2020-06-05 Listed $239,900 CBRMLS
  • 2015-12-03 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2015-05-14 Listed $135,900 CBRMLS
  • 2013-12-13 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2013-07-30 Listed $135,900 CBRMLS
  • 2004-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-21 Sold (MLS) $97,000 CBRMLS
  • 2004-06-04 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2004-03-31 Listed $109,889 CBRMLS
  • 1993-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,638 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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