392 W Bunkerhill Rd · Monrovia, IN 46158

$160,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1976 Est $196k · 18% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This home is 3bdr 2bth slab home that was completely remodeled in 2014-2015. Vaulted ceilings in bdr 1 & amp; 2 . Custom trey ceilings in living room & amp; kitchen. Custom flooring in every room & amp; views from every wall of the living space of the 3acre lot. 25x45 pole building on back edge of the property. Home has new septic system in 2014.

Key facts

• Custom flooring
• Custom trey ceilings
• New septic system

Tags

• VAULTED CEILINGS
• CUSTOM TREY CEILINGS
• CUSTOM FLOORING
• VIEWS FROM EVERY WALL
• 25X45 POLE BUILDING
• NEW SEPTIC SYSTEM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.4% in Monrovia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#304 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Monroe-Gregg School District (rural): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #143 of 301 in IN (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Monrovia Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 702 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 328 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 528 students, 36% FRL).
• Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $42k; list at $160k implies a 276% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.04%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $195,600
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7 Lake Hart	0.14mi	3/2.0	1,257 (+5%)	12mo	$205,000	$163	75
3 Lake Hart	0.11mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,100 (-8%)	10mo	$137,000	$125	63
8 Lake Hart	0.15mi	3/2.0	1,022 (-15%)	12mo	$90,000	$88	58
184 Lake Hart	0.28mi	3/1.0	1,080 (-10%)	13mo	$199,900	$185	55
9791 N Gasburg Rd	0.43mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,300 (+8%)	15mo	$280,000	$215	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-8,685
• Equity at exit: $23,857

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $14,567
• Equity at exit: $13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 46158

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Active inventory: 137
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,638 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $611/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$344
• Net cashflow: $271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,295

Max offer price $160,000

Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $362	-5% $316	+0% $271	+5% $226	+10% $181
Rent	-10% $142	-5% $206	+0% $271	+5% $336	+10% $401
Rate	-1.0pp $352	-0.5pp $312	base $271	+0.5pp $230	+1.0pp $187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $160,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   remarks 348-char remark
4. 2026-06-17
   listed $160,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $611 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $986 · $82/mo
• Expected delta: +$374/yr (+$31/mo · 61.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,659
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$611
• − Insurance: −$1,598
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,573
• − Management: −$1,573
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable income: $688
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$165
• After-tax cash flow: $3,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Monroe-Gregg School District
• NCES district ID: 1804140
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $64,767
• Composite: 34.2/100
• National rank: #5266
• State rank: #143 of 301 in IN

Livability — Monrovia

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #304
• US rank: #12092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 24,622

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 71,081 people
• By 2030: 71,178 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 69,907 · -1.7%
• By 2050: 66,455 · -6.5%
• By 2075: 57,291 · -19.4%
• By 2100: 43,782 · -38.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.0% · R 76.3% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.1pp · 2024: -54.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+27.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -90.62%
• Current HPI: 254.0837
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

+220.6% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $160,000 FSBO.com
• 2017-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
• 2012-09-01 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2010-07-06 Listed $42,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-12-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-06-27 Listed $49,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $611 · -10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.