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128 Pontiac Dr
C Composite 59.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

128 Pontiac Dr · Irondequoit, NY 14617
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,299 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1932 5,227 sqft lot Est $270k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the heart of Irondequoit! This home offers a warm and inviting atmosphere from the moment you step inside. Gas fireplace, and gumwood trim. The formal dining room sits just off the bright eat-in kitchen, which boasts white cabinets, plenty of counter space. Furnace and Hot water Tank are 1 yr old. Upstairs, you’ll find 3 comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished attic. Home has vintage touches such as original doors, glass door knobs, and leaded glass details. Outside, relax or entertain in the private, fully fenced backyard.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • White cabinets
  • Gumwood trim

Tags

GAS FIREPLACEGUMWOOD TRIMFORMAL DINING ROOMBRIGHT EAT-IN KITCHENWHITE CABINETSPLENTY OF COUNTER SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • West Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 73% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #126 of 590 in NY (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $113k; list at $190k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.36%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,192
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Pontiac Dr 0.04mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,172 (-10%) 1mo $260,000 $222 74
109 Chimayo Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,335 (+3%) 0mo $350,000 $262 65
146 Burwell Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,320 (+2%) 2mo $245,000 $186 63
112 Curtice Rd 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,264 (-3%) 3mo $250,000 $198 63
166 Thorncliffe Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,436 (+10%) 3mo $240,000 $167 56
48 Chelsea Rd 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,152 (-11%) 1mo $275,000 $239 55
151 Seville Dr 0.36mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,428 (+10%) 6mo $275,000 $193 54
234 Briarwood Dr 0.43mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,151 (-11%) 1mo $224,334 $195 53
112 Maplehurst Rd 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,386 (+7%) 1mo $255,000 $184 52
53 Hedgegarth Dr 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,392 (+7%) 2mo $411,000 $295 50
556 Wimbledon Rd 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,420 (+9%) 1mo $325,000 $229 44
205 Thorncliffe Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,107 (-15%) 2mo $230,000 $208 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-21,071
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-5,275
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14617

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$524 /mo · $6,282/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,023
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38 Elgrove Rd Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1600 $2,295 $1.43 21d 1 0.10mi
148 Chestnut Hill Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1659 $2,250 $1.36 2d 1 0.35mi
39 Chelsea Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1108 $2,350 $2.12 23d 1 0.49mi
60 Cheltenham Rd Unit Down Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,300 $1.28 14d 1 0.98mi
83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1322 $2,250 $1.70 2d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    historical
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical
  3. 2026-04-22
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $189,900 Active
  5. 2026-03-24
    listed $209,900 Active
  6. 2025-11-21
    status Pending
  7. 2025-11-19
    historical
  8. 2025-11-18
    price $194,900
  9. 2025-11-04
    listed $199,900 Active
  10. 2016-10-12
    soldstatus $113,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  11. 2016-10-12
    soldstatus $113,000
  12. 2016-08-06
    status Pending Sale
  13. 2016-07-25
    listed $110,000 Active
  14. 2016-07-25
    historical
  15. 2016-07-05
    price $111,900
  16. 2016-06-15
    price $115,000
  17. 2016-06-09
    listed $119,900 Active
  18. 1999-03-31
    soldstatus $78,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,282 · $524/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,282 · $524/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,545
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$6,282
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,124
− Management
−$2,124
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$1,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$263
After-tax cash flow
$2,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Irondequoit Central School District
NCES district ID
3615390
Math proficiency
73% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$60,218
Composite
61.61/100
National rank
#748
State rank
#126 of 590 in NY

Livability — Irondequoit

Score
81/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#1414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irondequoit, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
74,252
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,788
Household income
$90,192
Rent vs Own
14.7% rent · 85.3% own
Severe rent burden
426.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.22%
Current HPI
263.9973
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $209,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-21 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-19 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $194,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-12 Sold (MLS) $113,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-08-06 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-25 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-25 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-05 Price Changed $111,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-06-15 Price Changed $115,000 UNYREIS
  • 2016-06-09 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,282 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…