128 Pontiac Dr · Irondequoit, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the heart of Irondequoit! This home offers a warm and inviting atmosphere from the moment you step inside. Gas fireplace, and gumwood trim. The formal dining room sits just off the bright eat-in kitchen, which boasts white cabinets, plenty of counter space. Furnace and Hot water Tank are 1 yr old. Upstairs, you’ll find 3 comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished attic. Home has vintage touches such as original doors, glass door knobs, and leaded glass details. Outside, relax or entertain in the private, fully fenced backyard.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- White cabinets
- Gumwood trim
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
- West Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 73% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #126 of 590 in NY (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $113k; list at $190k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.36%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,192
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Pontiac Dr | 0.04mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,172 (-10%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $222 | 74 |
| 109 Chimayo Rd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,335 (+3%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $262 | 65 |
| 146 Burwell Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (+2%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 112 Curtice Rd | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,264 (-3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $198 | 63 |
| 166 Thorncliffe Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,436 (+10%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 48 Chelsea Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-11%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $239 | 55 |
| 151 Seville Dr | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,428 (+10%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $193 | 54 |
| 234 Briarwood Dr | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,151 (-11%) | 1mo | $224,334 | $195 | 53 |
| 112 Maplehurst Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (+7%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $184 | 52 |
| 53 Hedgegarth Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (+7%) | 2mo | $411,000 | $295 | 50 |
| 556 Wimbledon Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,420 (+9%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $229 | 44 |
| 205 Thorncliffe Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,107 (-15%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $208 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-21,071
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-5,275
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14617
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$524 /mo · $6,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Elgrove Rd Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,295 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 148 Chestnut Hill Dr Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1659 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 39 Chelsea Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $2,350 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 60 Cheltenham Rd Unit Down Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $2,250 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-28historical
-
2026-04-27historical
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-21$189,900 Active
-
2026-03-24$209,900 Active
-
2025-11-21status Pending
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-11-18price $194,900
-
2025-11-04$199,900 Active
-
2016-10-12soldstatus $113,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2016-10-12soldstatus $113,000
-
2016-08-06status Pending Sale
-
2016-07-25$110,000 Active
-
2016-07-25historical
-
2016-07-05price $111,900
-
2016-06-15price $115,000
-
2016-06-09$119,900 Active
-
1999-03-31soldstatus $78,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,282 · $524/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,282 · $524/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,545
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$6,282
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,124
- − Management
- −$2,124
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$1,096
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$263
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Irondequoit Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615390
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,218
- Composite
- 61.61/100
- National rank
- #748
- State rank
- #126 of 590 in NY
Livability — Irondequoit
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #1414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Irondequoit, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 74,252
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,788
- Household income
- $90,192
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 426.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.22%
- Current HPI
- 263.9973
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+140.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $209,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-21 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $194,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-12 Sold (MLS) $113,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-08-06 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2016-07-25 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-07-25 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-07-05 Price Changed $111,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-15 Price Changed $115,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-06-09 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
- 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,282 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…