🏷️ Likely Rental
2145 NW Denver Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The property is being rented out by a tenant for $950.00 a month. The tenants would like to stay. The home has a classic brick exterior that gives it timeless appeal and requires little maintenance. Inside, the home boasts a spacious floor plan with either 3 or 4 bedrooms, depending on how the new owner chooses to use the space. The oversized master bedroom or great room provides ample space for comfortable living and relaxation. The home has 1 3/4 bath, perfect for a growing family or for hosting guests. The living room is the perfect spot for entertaining friends and family. The kitchen comes equipped with extra counter space and a refrigerator and stove. The large laundry room provides convenience and ease for everyday chores. A new water heater was just installed in 2021. 24-hour notice for showing due to tenant occupied. Call listing agent Erin Atkins for private showing at 405-464-6808.
Key facts
- Extra counter space
- Spacious floor plan
- Great room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; One covered parking space; One garage space (detached/attached not specified); Open parking available (total 1 parking space listed)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Crawl space foundation; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fence; Composition roof; Public maintained road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Oven
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Window coverings; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 6.0% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ridgecrest Es (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 453 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $474 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.95%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,260
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 NW 26th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,700 (-2%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $88 | 71 |
| 1639 NW 27th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-2%) | 13mo | $168,300 | $99 | 70 |
| 3301 NW Baltimore Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-2%) | 0mo | $199,900 | $118 | 68 |
| 1525 NW 31st St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+3%) | 12mo | $206,900 | $115 | 65 |
| 1619 NW 26th St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (-2%) | 11mo | $123,700 | $73 | 63 |
| 3319 NW Atlanta Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-3%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $107 | 59 |
| 1406 NW 33rd St | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+3%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $42 | 51 |
| 2429 NW 28th St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-8%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $103 | 48 |
| 1612 NW 26th | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (-14%) | 9mo | $159,000 | $106 | 41 |
| 2809 NW 35th Pl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-14%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $50 | 38 |
| 2708 NW 17th St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-14%) | 13mo | $96,000 | $64 | 32 |
| 1708 NW Pollard Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+15%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $33 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $24,204
- Equity at exit
- $10,214
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $74,862
- Equity at exit
- $5,923
Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73505
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$359
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,096/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $549 | -5% $530 | +0% $511 | +5% $491 | +10% $472 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $412 | -5% $461 | +0% $511 | +5% $560 | +10% $610 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $545 | -0.5pp $528 | base $511 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $475 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,125
- Closing costs
- $2,055
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-09status $68,500 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricestatusdays on market $68,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-02$92,500 Active
-
2026-01-26status Active
-
2025-12-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-01price $115,000
-
2025-10-08price $125,500
-
2025-08-28$130,000 Active
-
2025-03-27historical $1,100
-
2025-03-25$1,100
-
2024-05-01soldstatus $85,000 Closed 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
The property is being rented out by a tenant for $950.00 a month. The tenants would like to stay. The home has a classic brick exterior that gives it timeless appeal and requires little maintenance. Inside, the home boasts a spacious floor plan with either 3 or 4 bedrooms, depending on how the new owner chooses to use the space. The oversized master bedroom or great room provides ample space for comfortable living and relaxation. The home has 1 3/4 bath, perfect for a growing family or for hosting guests. The living room is the perfect spot for entertaining friends and family. The kitchen comes equipped with extra counter space and a refrigerator and stove. The large laundry room provides convenience and ease for everyday chores. A new water heater was just installed in 2021. 24-hour notice for showing due to tenant occupied. Call listing agent Erin Atkins for private showing at 405-464-6808.
-
2024-05-01soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
The property is being rented out by a tenant for $950.00 a month. The tenants would like to stay. The home has a classic brick exterior that gives it timeless appeal and requires little maintenance. Inside, the home boasts a spacious floor plan with either 3 or 4 bedrooms, depending on how the new owner chooses to use the space. The oversized master bedroom or great room provides ample space for comfortable living and relaxation. The home has 1 3/4 bath, perfect for a growing family or for hosting guests. The living room is the perfect spot for entertaining friends and family. The kitchen comes equipped with extra counter space and a refrigerator and stove. The large laundry room provides convenience and ease for everyday chores. A new water heater was just installed in 2021. 24-hour notice for showing due to tenant occupied. Call listing agent Erin Atkins for private showing at 405-464-6808.
-
2024-03-21historical Active Under Contract 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
The property is being rented out by a tenant for $950.00 a month. The tenants would like to stay. The home has a classic brick exterior that gives it timeless appeal and requires little maintenance. Inside, the home boasts a spacious floor plan with either 3 or 4 bedrooms, depending on how the new owner chooses to use the space. The oversized master bedroom or great room provides ample space for comfortable living and relaxation. The home has 1 3/4 bath, perfect for a growing family or for hosting guests. The living room is the perfect spot for entertaining friends and family. The kitchen comes equipped with extra counter space and a refrigerator and stove. The large laundry room provides convenience and ease for everyday chores. A new water heater was just installed in 2021. 24-hour notice for showing due to tenant occupied. Call listing agent Erin Atkins for private showing at 405-464-6808.
-
2024-03-13$95,000 Active 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
The property is being rented out by a tenant for $950.00 a month. The tenants would like to stay. The home has a classic brick exterior that gives it timeless appeal and requires little maintenance. Inside, the home boasts a spacious floor plan with either 3 or 4 bedrooms, depending on how the new owner chooses to use the space. The oversized master bedroom or great room provides ample space for comfortable living and relaxation. The home has 1 3/4 bath, perfect for a growing family or for hosting guests. The living room is the perfect spot for entertaining friends and family. The kitchen comes equipped with extra counter space and a refrigerator and stove. The large laundry room provides convenience and ease for everyday chores. A new water heater was just installed in 2021. 24-hour notice for showing due to tenant occupied. Call listing agent Erin Atkins for private showing at 405-464-6808.
-
2023-11-29historical $900
-
2023-11-16$900
-
2023-06-15soldstatus $60,000
-
2023-06-15soldstatus $65,000
-
2023-03-14$85,000
-
1998-03-20soldstatus $64,500
-
1998-03-18soldstatus $64,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,096 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,096
- − Insurance
- −$342
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,203
- − Management
- −$1,203
- − Depreciation
- −$1,993
- Taxable income
- $5,361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,790
- Household income
- $58,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1986.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.88%
- Current HPI
- 169.4524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+43.4% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — LBRMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listed $92,500 LBRMLS
- 2026-01-26 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $115,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $125,500 LBRMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listed $130,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-03-27 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-25 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2024-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-01 Sold (MLS) $85,000 LBRMLS
- 2024-03-21 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2024-03-13 Listed $95,000 LBRMLS
- 2023-11-29 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-16 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
- 2023-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 LBRMLS
- 2023-03-14 Listed $85,000 LBRMLS
- 1998-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1998-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,096 · +27.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…