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HPK 99 Boardwalk Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 52.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,400

HPK 99 Boardwalk Plan · Elkhart, IN 46514
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 139 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss this beautifully maintained home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a brand-new walk-in shower. Enjoy the convenience of a mud room, mewer HVAC for yer-round comfort, and a covered carport. Additional storge is available in the included shed. This move-in ready property combines modern updates with functional features. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Included shed
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

WALK-IN SHOWERMUD ROOMCOVERED CARPORTINCLUDED SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $90,400 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $151,449.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Recommended offer $79,552 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.37%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,449
List price
$90,400
Delta
-40.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25025 Dunny St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,568 (0%) 7mo $192,500 $123 66
54085 Independence St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,652 (+5%) 8mo $150,000 $91 65
1909 Grover St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,349 (-14%) 10mo $137,000 $102 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,819
Equity at exit
$22,582
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$40,052
Equity at exit
$13,095

Cash invested: $42,406 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46514

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$794
Tax est. 1.5%
$189 /mo · $2,272/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,325
Max offer price $151,449
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,862
Closing costs
$4,543
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1875 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,000 $1.05 20d 1 0.18mi
1626 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN 4.0 2.0 2190 $2,595 $1.18 20d 1 0.46mi
2304 Grant St Elkhart, IN 4.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 43d 1 0.89mi
1023 Cone St Elkhart, IN 2.0 1.0 1112 $1,200 $1.08 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,400 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,400 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,400 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,400 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,400 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,400 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,400 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,400 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,400 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,400 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,400 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $90,400 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,400 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,400 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,400 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,400 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,400 Active 119 DOM
  18. 2026-01-31
    listed $90,400 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Don't miss this beautifully maintained home featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, including a brand-new walk-in shower. Enjoy the convenience of a mud room, mewer HVAC for yer-round comfort, and a covered carport. Additional storge is available in the included shed. This move-in ready property combines modern updates with functional features. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,783
− Mortgage interest
−$8,483
− Property taxes
−$2,272
− Insurance
−$757
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$4,406
Taxable loss
−$141
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$34
After-tax cash flow
$2,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home features modern updates and functional features, with good exterior and interior conditions.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures year-round comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures year-round comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elkhart Community Schools
NCES district ID
1803270
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8928
State rank
#271 of 301 in IN

Livability — Elkhart

Score
68/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#9852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkhart, IN
County
Elkhart County · 107,928 people
City population
74,260
Metro
Elkhart-Goshen, IN
Population (ZIP)
42,389
Household income
$65,833
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
1061.0

Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
213,761 people
By 2030
218,103 · +2.0%
By 2040
225,381 · +5.4%
By 2050
229,447 · +7.3%
By 2075
232,856 · +8.9%
By 2100
214,088 · +0.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -246.78%
Current HPI
225.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.03%
Metro
Elkhart-Goshen, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $90,400 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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