203 Taylor Ave · Sterlington, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Public Remarks: This is a great opportunity for building or for mobile home. Slab and Utility access are already available. Call today.
Key facts
- 0.25-acre lot
- Large backyard
- Dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 106.0% vs local median 5.2% in Sterlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($104 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 379 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 379 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 106.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 356.23%
- DSCR
- 16.85
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,639
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -89.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 Taylor Ave | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 2,062 (+11%) | 16mo | $145,000 | $70 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 21.86×
- Total profit
- $87,606
- Equity at exit
- $13,513
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 47.57×
- Total profit
- $195,590
- Equity at exit
- $29,142
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71280
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $232/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $1,247
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $15,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $15,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $15,000 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $15,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $15,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $15,000 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $15,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $15,000 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $15,000 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $15,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $15,000 Active 359 DOM
-
2025-10-19price $15,000 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Public Remarks: This is a great opportunity for building or for mobile home. Slab and Utility access are already available. Call today.
-
2025-09-08price $19,500 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Public Remarks: This is a great opportunity for building or for mobile home. Slab and Utility access are already available. Call today.
-
2025-09-08price $19,999
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Public Remarks: This is a great opportunity for building or for mobile home. Slab and Utility access are already available. Call today.
-
2025-06-05$23,500 Active 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Public Remarks: This is a great opportunity for building or for mobile home. Slab and Utility access are already available. Call today.
-
2025-04-16$23,500 Active
-
2025-04-15soldstatus Closed
-
2025-03-28status Pending
-
2025-03-02$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $232 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $232 · $19/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$232
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,642
- − Management
- −$1,642
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $15,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,757
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Sterlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #7741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterlington, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,999
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.14%
- Current HPI
- 283.4492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-19 Price Changed $15,000 NELABOR
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $19,500 NELABOR
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $19,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $23,500 NELABOR
- 2025-04-16 Listed $23,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-15 Sold (MLS) — NELABOR
- 2025-03-28 Pending — NELABOR
- 2025-03-02 Listed $20,000 NELABOR
Property tax history
-15.9%/yrLatest (2025): $232 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…