520 Main Ave · Alice, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$82,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- In floor heat
- Manufactured home
- Concrete driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Gravel parking; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Private sewer; Propane
- Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One story; Entry level: main
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Above grade finished area 864 (living area 864)
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; Corner lot; Irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Fuel tank (rented)
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Bathrooms: Main floor 3/4 bath (1)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Has fireplace (1); Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($227/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $74k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $72k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#278 in ND) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Enderlin Area 24 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #99 of 169 in ND (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.99%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $11,093
- Equity at exit
- $36,871
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $37,831
- Equity at exit
- $56,822
Cash invested: $22,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58031
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $741 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$430
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$102 /mo · $1,230/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$156
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $76 | -5% $47 | +0% $19 | +5% $-9 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-40 | -5% $-10 | +0% $19 | +5% $48 | +10% $77 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $60 | -0.5pp $40 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-2 | +1.0pp $-24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,500
- Closing costs
- $2,460
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $82,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $82,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $82,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $82,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $82,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $82,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $82,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $82,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $82,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-05-27status Active
-
2026-05-14historical
-
2025-11-08$82,000 Active
-
2025-08-08historical
-
2025-06-12price $92,000
-
2025-05-20$94,900 Active
-
2023-08-31historical
-
2022-06-21$87,000
-
2021-09-14historical
-
2021-08-12$84,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,593
- − Property taxes
- −$1,230
- − Insurance
- −$410
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$712
- − Management
- −$712
- − Depreciation
- −$2,385
- Taxable loss
- −$1,147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enderlin Area 24
- NCES district ID
- 3800061
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,999
- Composite
- 37.02/100
- National rank
- #9082
- State rank
- #99 of 169 in ND
Livability — Alice
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #19932
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alice, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 327
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,771 people
- By 2030
- 251,835 · +12.5%
- By 2040
- 311,816 · +39.3%
- By 2050
- 378,694 · +69.2%
- By 2075
- 571,386 · +155.3%
- By 2100
- 769,727 · +244.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Native American 19%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 45% Lithuanian 2% Danish 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 44.9% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+2.7 2016: R+10.7 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
-3.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Listed $82,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $92,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-20 Listed $94,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-21 Listed $87,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-12 Listed $84,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $119 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…