5610 Janet Ave · Jennings, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 748 sq ft of efficient living space. Updates include luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the living room, kitchen, and bedrooms, providing a modern, cohesive look. Functional layout with comfortable room sizes. Ideal for a first-time buyer or as an addition to an investment portfolio. Convenient location with easy access to major routes, shopping, and amenities.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Convenient location
- 4,225 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $80k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.15%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,271
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- 80.71%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5526 Jennings Station Rd | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+3%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $91 | 84 |
| 5502 Helen Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+5%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $101 | 77 |
| 5471 Janet Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-7%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $43 | 72 |
| 5515 Hodiamont Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (+9%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $73 | 71 |
| 7121 Lamont Dr | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (-4%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 8339 Eton Pl | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+0%) | 3mo | $22,500 | $30 | 70 |
| 6342 Lena Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 678 (-9%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $59 | 69 |
| 5411 Hamilton Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+5%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $111 | 68 |
| 8340 Eton Pl | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+0%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $67 | 66 |
| 5239 Hamilton Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-3%) | 2mo | $8,750 | $12 | 65 |
| 5811 Helen Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 806 (+8%) | 0mo | $29,900 | $37 | 63 |
| 7439 Embury Ct | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+6%) | 2mo | $69,000 | $87 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $35,474
- Equity at exit
- $39,583
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.33×
- Total profit
- $96,902
- Equity at exit
- $63,973
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,025 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $441/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,095 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8893 Maya Ln Jennings, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $930 | $1.55 | 23d | 6 | 1.40mi |
| 1131 Canaan Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $900 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-04-16price $80,000 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 748 sq ft of efficient living space. Updates include luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the living room, kitchen, and bedrooms, providing a modern, cohesive look. Functional layout with comfortable room sizes. Ideal for a first-time buyer or as an addition to an investment portfolio. Convenient location with easy access to major routes, shopping, and amenities.
-
2026-01-09$85,000 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 748 sq ft of efficient living space. Updates include luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the living room, kitchen, and bedrooms, providing a modern, cohesive look. Functional layout with comfortable room sizes. Ideal for a first-time buyer or as an addition to an investment portfolio. Convenient location with easy access to major routes, shopping, and amenities.
-
2023-07-26historical
-
2023-03-27status Pending
-
2023-03-14$90,000 Active
-
2004-05-10soldstatus $21,000
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1989-02-01soldstatus
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1988-11-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $441 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$335/yr (+$28/mo · 76.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$441
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$984
- − Management
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$644
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings
- NCES district ID
- 2916290
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,595
- Composite
- 11.04/100
- National rank
- #9739
- State rank
- #315 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jennings
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jennings, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+281.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-26 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-27 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-14 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-5.0%/yrLatest (2022): $441 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…