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278 West Main Street St
B+ Composite 78.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$59,900

278 West Main Street St · Malone, NY 12953
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 296 Days on market
Built 1880 9,147 sqft lot $48/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-Bedroom Home is in Good shape has a Den on the main floor with french doors off the Dinning Room that can be and is being used as the 3rd Bedroom-has a large Pantry/Laundry Room off the Kitchen-2-Bedrooms and a full Bath on the second floor-front and side enclosed porches-2-Car detached Garage with a nice size back yard. 278-280-and 274 West Main can be drastically reduced if purchased as a Package deal

Key facts

  • Enclosed porches
  • Laundry room
  • French doors

Tags

DEN ON MAIN FLOORFRENCH DOORSLARGE PANTRYLAUNDRY ROOMENCLOSED PORCHESDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($994 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.2% in Malone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#437 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Malone Central School District (town): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #581 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,004 of 2,108 statewide, top 95%, 563 students, 50% FRL); Malone Middle School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #678 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 500 students, 52% FRL); Franklin Academy High School (math 82% / reading 70%, grade A-, #623 of 1,100 statewide, top 57%, 719 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 296 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 296 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
11.16%
Cash-on-cash
17.38%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,244
List price
$59,900
Delta
-53.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
48 Frankln St 0.27mi 2/1.0 1,200 (-4%) 2mo $97,850 $82 79
72 Wellington St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (-5%) 15mo $118,453 $100 64
27 Front st St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,208 (-3%) 12mo $38,000 $31 58
139 Franklin St 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,284 (+3%) 18mo $160,000 $125 53
11 Grove St. St 0.26mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,350 (+8%) 19mo $125,500 $93 52
15 Jones St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,063 (-15%) 8mo $165,000 $155 48
117 Duane Street St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,158 (-7%) 12mo $82,000 $71 48
47 Amsden St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,068 (-15%) 4mo $75,000 $70 48
6 Woodward St St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,160 (-7%) 3mo $130,000 $112 45
31 Factory Street St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,156 (-8%) 22mo $14,000 $12 43
14 South St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,133 (-9%) 6mo $91,000 $80 41
57 West Street St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+12%) 16mo $73,500 $53 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.2%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$48,192
Equity at exit
$53,963
10-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
8.75×
Total profit
$129,934
Equity at exit
$116,373

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12953

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$994 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$203 /mo · $2,434/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $260 +0% $243 +5% $226 +10% $209
Rent -10% $164 -5% $204 +0% $243 +5% $282 +10% $321
Rate -1.0pp $273 -0.5pp $258 base $243 +0.5pp $227 +1.0pp $212

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $59,900 Pending 296 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 294 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 293 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 292 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 291 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 289 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 288 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 285 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 284 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 283 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 282 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 279 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 278 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 277 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 276 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    price $59,900 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This 2-Bedroom Home is in Good shape has a Den on the main floor with french doors off the Dinning Room that can be and is being used as the 3rd Bedroom-has a large Pantry/Laundry Room off the Kitchen-2-Bedrooms and a full Bath on the second floor-front and side enclosed porches-2-Car detached Garage with a nice size back yard. 278-280-and 274 West Main can be drastically reduced if purchased as a Package deal

  17. 2026-01-19
    price $69,900 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This 2-Bedroom Home is in Good shape has a Den on the main floor with french doors off the Dinning Room that can be and is being used as the 3rd Bedroom-has a large Pantry/Laundry Room off the Kitchen-2-Bedrooms and a full Bath on the second floor-front and side enclosed porches-2-Car detached Garage with a nice size back yard. 278-280-and 274 West Main can be drastically reduced if purchased as a Package deal

  18. 2025-08-28
    listed $79,900 Active 413-char remark
    Show marketing remark (413 chars)

    This 2-Bedroom Home is in Good shape has a Den on the main floor with french doors off the Dinning Room that can be and is being used as the 3rd Bedroom-has a large Pantry/Laundry Room off the Kitchen-2-Bedrooms and a full Bath on the second floor-front and side enclosed porches-2-Car detached Garage with a nice size back yard. 278-280-and 274 West Main can be drastically reduced if purchased as a Package deal

  19. 1999-02-03
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,434 · $203/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,434 · $203/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,923
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$2,434
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$954
− Management
−$954
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$2,183
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$524
After-tax cash flow
$2,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Malone Central School District
NCES district ID
3618180
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,681
Composite
24.23/100
National rank
#7725
State rank
#581 of 590 in NY

Livability — Malone

Score
70/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#7656

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Malone, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,842

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,098 people
By 2030
46,790 · -2.7%
By 2040
44,400 · -7.7%
By 2050
41,256 · -14.2%
By 2075
32,190 · -33.1%
By 2100
23,407 · -51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Slovak 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.73%
Current HPI
263.2406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $59,900 ACVMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $69,900 ACVMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $79,900 ACVMLS
  • 1999-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,434 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…