6047 Declaration Circle Site #132 · Citrus Heights, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.32%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 36 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautiful 3 bedroom with 2 bathroom home is centrally located in Citrus Heights just of the I-80 between Roseville and downtown Sacramento. There are two exciting 18-hole golf courses nearby, Haggin Oaks and Foothill golf course. Lake Tahoe is just a two hour drive to both South or North Lake Tahoe with lots of outdoor activities.
Key facts
- 18-hole golf courses
- Outdoor activities
- Built 2026
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $199,900
Exterior
- Home design: Single-level residence (spec home); Address: 6047 Declaration Circle Site #132, Citrus Heights, CA
- Construction: Built as new construction (spec)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
- Interior features: Open living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in Citrus Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#614 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- San Juan Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #138 of 517 in CA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.19%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6625 Galaxy Ct | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (+2%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $135 | 68 |
| 6036 Declaration Cir | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+13%) | 12mo | $142,995 | $113 | 67 |
| 6213 Plymouth Rock Ln #100 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 13mo | $119,000 | $99 | 66 |
| 6230 Calgary | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 9mo | $64,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 6105 Mame Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+11%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $68 | 55 |
| 6212 Gettysburg Ln #90 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+13%) | 13mo | $139,000 | $109 | 55 |
| 6621 Grosse Point Ct | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 6223 Lurline Ave | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $60 | 53 |
| 6625 Shamus Ct | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+11%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 5740 Clearwater Dr #28 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 10mo | $74,900 | $60 | 52 |
| 6222 Manitoba Ave #66 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $139,900 | $146 | 49 |
| 6728 Kate Ln | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $108 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-13,391
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $6,413
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95621
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,173 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$456
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6219 Oak Valley Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1304 | $2,295 | $1.76 | 18d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6219 Oak Valley Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,295 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6011 Shadow Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $2,348 | $3.01 | 2d | 15 | 0.22mi |
| 6203 Ackland Ct Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1322 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6104 Rockport Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,295 | $2.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5979 Devecchi Ave Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,871 | $2.41 | 2d | 15 | 0.41mi |
| 6245 Longford Dr #3 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,395 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6228 Longford Dr #3 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,595 | $1.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5844 Garden Park Ct Unit RV 5853-D Carmichael, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,525 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5844 Garden Park Ct Unit RV 5877-B Carmichael, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,575 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6430 Verner Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 705 | $2,295 | $3.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6544 Auburn Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,850 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6533 Greenback Ln #3 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5718 Manzanita Ave Carmichael, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6558 Meadowcreek Way Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5922 Petaluma Ct Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $2,075 | $1.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6333 Aslin Way Carmichael, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $2,750 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6546 Auburn Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,853 | $2.97 | 4d | 10 | 0.76mi |
| 6687 Greenback Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,495 | $1.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6000 Coyle Ave Carmichael, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,295 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5840 Garfield Ave Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,545 | $1.82 | 2d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 5587 Keoncrest Cir Unit 2 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5417 Olympic Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,795 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5501 Keoncrest Cir Unit 1 Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6319 Misty Wood Way Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6225 Wildomar Way Carmichael, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $3,000 | $2.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5233 Calistoga Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,495 | $2.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5402 Mona Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $1,750 | $2.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6004 Rutland Dr Unit 128 Carmichael, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7024 San Altos Cir Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,800 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5308 Winfield Way #2 Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5300 Winfield Way #2 Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $2,100 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6913 Gold Run Ave Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,800 | $1.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5109 Andrea Blvd Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,769 | $2.14 | 2d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 5244 Hackberry Ln Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,712 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7120 Van Maren Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,495 | $1.93 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6841 Concert Way Sacramento, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,995 | $2.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5425 Garfield Ave Sacramento, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $1,650 | $2.10 | 20d | 5 | 1.34mi |
| 6172 Peoria Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 917 | $1,695 | $1.85 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5233 Columbine Way Carmichael, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,375 | $2.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 32% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,086
- − Management
- −$2,086
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $893
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Citrus Heights is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. A fresh coat of paint and new carpet would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Juan Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634620
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,655
- Composite
- 44.07/100
- National rank
- #2878
- State rank
- #138 of 517 in CA
Livability — Citrus Heights
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #614
- US rank
- #19580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Heights, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 89,370
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,442
- Household income
- $80,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1854.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.14%
- Current HPI
- 351.9333
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…