155 Hickory Hill Rd · Starrucca, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.
Key facts
- Heated interior
- 2.17 acre lot
- 5 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($249/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,635 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wayne Highlands SD (town): math 48% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #115 of 539 in PA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Preston Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 160 students, 54% FRL); Wayne Highlands Ms (math 37% / reading 65%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 376 students, 46% FRL); Honesdale Hs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 697 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $249k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $307,435
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- -19.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $11,408
- Equity at exit
- $90,789
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $65,180
- Equity at exit
- $125,258
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18462
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,922/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $91 | +0% $21 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-147 | -5% $-63 | +0% $21 | +5% $104 | +10% $188 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $84 | base $21 | +0.5pp $-44 | +1.0pp $-109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2026-02-27$249,000 Active 1090-char remark
Show marketing remark (1090 chars)
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.
-
2021-12-21soldstatus $155,000
-
1987-01-29soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,922 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,428 · $286/mo
- Expected delta
- +$506/yr (+$42/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,425
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$2,922
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,034
- − Management
- −$2,034
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$4,001
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$960
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224970
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,476
- Composite
- 47.36/100
- National rank
- #2292
- State rank
- #115 of 539 in PA
Livability — Starrucca
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1635
- US rank
- #22529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 545
- Population (ZIP)
- 545
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 12% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.44%
- Current HPI
- 166.7787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1031.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-27 Listed $249,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 1987-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,922 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…