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155 Hickory Hill Rd
C- Composite 54.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,000

155 Hickory Hill Rd · Starrucca, PA 18462
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 897 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1875 2.17 ac lot $278/sqft · 49% above area Est $307k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.

Key facts

  • Heated interior
  • 2.17 acre lot
  • 5 garage spots

Tags

DETACHED TWO CAR GARAGEHEATED INTERIORDEDICATED LAUNDRY AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($249/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,635 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wayne Highlands SD (town): math 48% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #115 of 539 in PA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Preston Sch (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 160 students, 54% FRL); Wayne Highlands Ms (math 37% / reading 65%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 376 students, 46% FRL); Honesdale Hs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 697 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $249k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $211,877 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$307,435
List price
$249,000
Delta
-19.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$11,408
Equity at exit
$90,789
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$65,180
Equity at exit
$125,258

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18462

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,119 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$244 /mo · $2,922/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,092
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $91 +0% $21 +5% $-50 +10% $-120
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-63 +0% $21 +5% $104 +10% $188
Rate -1.0pp $146 -0.5pp $84 base $21 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 1090-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1090 chars)

    This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.

  2. 2026-02-27
    listed $249,000 Active 1090-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1090 chars)

    This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home has been thoughtfully updated to create a warm and inviting atmosphere -- the perfect place to start homeownership. A standout feature is the detached two-car garage with a heated interior and dedicated laundry area, plus a separate studio-style apartment above. This flexible space is ideal for guests, extended family, or rental income potential. For those who need extra storage or hobby space, the additional three-car pole building offers exceptional room for vehicles, UTVs, snowmobiles, and recreational equipment. Outdoor enthusiasts will love the location -- with direct access to the ''G'' snowmobile trail just steps from the property and Elk Mountain Ski Resort only a short drive away, offering year-round enjoyment from winter skiing to summer events and scenic beauty. With its combination of charm, versatility, and proximity to year-round recreation, this property offers excellent potential as a primary residence, vacation getaway, or income-producing Airbnb investment. All information is approximate not warranted or guaranteed.

  3. 2021-12-21
    soldstatus $155,000
  4. 1987-01-29
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,922 · $244/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,428 · $286/mo
Expected delta
+$506/yr (+$42/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,425
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$2,922
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,034
− Management
−$2,034
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$4,001
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$960
After-tax cash flow
$1,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne Highlands SD
NCES district ID
4224970
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,476
Composite
47.36/100
National rank
#2292
State rank
#115 of 539 in PA

Livability — Starrucca

Score
56/100
State rank
#1635
US rank
#22529

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
545
Population (ZIP)
545

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 12% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.44%
Current HPI
166.7787
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1031.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $249,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 1987-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,922 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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