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521 N Dwight St
B- Composite 65.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$102,000

521 N Dwight St · Pampa, TX 79065
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1941 6,098 sqft lot Est $95k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Packed with potential, this charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers plenty of space at an affordable price! The inviting living room provides a comfortable gathering space, while the kitchen features double ovens for added convenience. Outside, you'll find a large approximately 15' x 25' workshop/garage complete with electricity and gas heat--perfect for hobbies, storage, or projects. Currently tenant occupied, this property offers immediate income potential for investors. While the home could use a little TLC, its character, size, and versatile shop space make it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their own touch.

Key facts

  • Gas heat
  • Large workshop
  • Double ovens

Tags

DOUBLE OVENSLARGE WORKSHOPGAS HEAT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Exterior features: Residential single-family property

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Workshop on the property

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#128 in TX, #3,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
  • Pampa ISD (town): math 38% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #482 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Gray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $705 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gray County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
11.73%
Cash-on-cash
19.41%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,304
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
732 Naida St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-0%) 15mo $94,900 $66 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$12,901
Equity at exit
$15,209
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$49,136
Equity at exit
$8,819

Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79065

Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,438 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$535
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,158/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$462

Break-even live

Break-even rent $853
Max offer price $102,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,500
Closing costs
$3,060
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
828 N Nelson St Pampa, TX 4.0 2.5 1778 $2,000 $1.12 44d 1 0.32mi
1404 Coronado Dr Pampa, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,200 $0.80 44d 1 0.41mi
1601 W Somerville St Unit 1201 Pampa, TX 3.0 2.0 1053 $865 $0.82 44d 1 0.49mi
1132 S Hobart St Pampa, TX 4.0 1.5 1627 $5,000 $3.07 44d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on marketlisting id $102,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $102,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $102,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    remarks 645-char remark
  6. 2026-06-16
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,158 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,867 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$709/yr (+$59/mo · 61.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,254
− Mortgage interest
−$5,714
− Property taxes
−$1,158
− Insurance
−$510
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,380
− Management
−$1,380
− Depreciation
−$2,967
Taxable income
$4,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$995
After-tax cash flow
$4,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pampa ISD
NCES district ID
4834170
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,741
Composite
31.43/100
National rank
#5986
State rank
#482 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pampa

Score
75/100
State rank
#128
US rank
#3885

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pampa, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,569

Population outlook (Gray County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,965 people
By 2030
26,105 · +4.6%
By 2040
28,752 · +15.2%
By 2050
31,859 · +27.6%
By 2075
39,812 · +59.5%
By 2100
43,284 · +73.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Gray

2024 margin
Solid R (+77.1) · D 11.2% · R 88.3%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: -71.0pp · 2024: -77.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+77.1 2020: R+77.2 2016: R+78.8 2012: R+75.2 2008: R+71.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.67%
Current HPI
128.8525
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $115,000 PBOR
  • 2013-10-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,158 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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