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1209 Phats Way
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0

$320,900

1209 Phats Way · Hahira, GA 31632
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,043 sqft · SingleFamily · 102 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 0.34 ac lot $157/sqft · 6% above area Est $303k · 6% over $47/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1209 Phats Way in Reynolda Place, our newest community in Hahira, GA. The Creekside is a spacious plan that offers 5 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms in 2,043 square feet – all on one level with a two-car garage. As you enter the home, the first two bedrooms and full bathroom are off the foyer. Both bedrooms have windows that let in plenty of natural light, they are great spaces to for children, guest rooms or offices. Down the hall you find the chef-inspired kitchen with large island, shaker-style cabinetry, granite counters and an oversized corner pantry. This opens into the living space and dining area, making it the perfect space for your entire family and entertaining your loved ones. You also have a back patio off of the living room to enjoy the lovely Florida outdoors. Two more bedrooms and a full bath are off of the dining room. These also both have great natural light and are great spaces to utilize for your needs. The living area is finished off by the large laundry room. Your primary bedroom provides a private escape in the back of the home. The bedroom has two windows creating an inviting space that is large enough for a king bed. The en suite bathroom has a double vanity, large shower, and private water closet. The primary suite is complete with an oversized, walk-in closet. Beyond the interior features and details, every home is equipped with Smart Home Technology. This thoughtful integration of technology ensures that your new home is perfectly designed to meet the demands of modern life. Enjoy quality materials and workmanship throughout, with superior attention to detail, plus a one-year builder's warranty.

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Private escape
  • Walk in closet

Tags

CHEF INSPIRED KITCHENOVERSIZED CORNER PANTRYBACK PATIOPRIVATE ESCAPEDOUBLE VANITYWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $321k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-411 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (18.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (26.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in Hahira — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hahira Elementary School (math 72% / reading 55%, grade B, #99 of 1,228 statewide, top 8%, 807 students, 40% FRL); Hahira Middle School (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B+, #30 of 470 statewide, top 6%, 859 students, 32% FRL); Lowndes High School (math 69% / reading 51%, grade C+, #14 of 424 statewide, top 3%, 3,201 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($292k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,667 (26.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
4.76%
Cash-on-cash
-5.49%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$303,000
List price
$320,900
Delta
5.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
535 Cottonwood Cv 0.33mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,074 (+2%) 1mo $335,000 $162 74
769 Carriage Xing 0.18mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,930 (-6%) 1mo $319,900 $166 72
629 Barnside Ln 0.27mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,110 (+3%) 1mo $291,900 $138 72
1151 Hannah Dr 0.08mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,259 (+11%) 2mo $339,000 $150 70
1205 Phats Way 0.02mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-12%) 2mo $303,000 $168 69
1213 Phats Way 0.02mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-12%) 2mo $303,000 $168 69
1105 Hannah Dr 0.15mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,259 (+11%) 3mo $335,900 $149 66
1138 Hannah Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-12%) 3mo $299,900 $167 66
1155 Hannah Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-12%) 3mo $309,000 $172 66
1147 Hannah Dr 0.09mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,799 (-12%) 3mo $299,900 $167 65
751 Fry Rd 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,839 (-10%) 2mo $349,900 $190 59
302 E Coleman Dr 0.44mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,328 (+14%) 2mo $484,000 $208 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$148,671
Equity at exit
$289,092
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$458,516
Equity at exit
$623,438

Cash invested: $89,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31632

Home prices YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,347 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,683
Tax est. 1.5%
$401 /mo · $4,814/yr
Insurance
$134
HOA
$47
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,867
Max offer price $261,458
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-189 -5% $-300 +0% $-411 +5% $-522 +10% $-633
Rent -10% $-596 -5% $-503 +0% $-411 +5% $-318 +10% $-225
Rate -1.0pp $-249 -0.5pp $-329 base $-411 +0.5pp $-494 +1.0pp $-579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,225
Closing costs
$9,627
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$47 · $564/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $320,900 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $320,900 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $320,900 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,900 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,900 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,900 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,900 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $325,900 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,900 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $325,900 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,900 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $325,900 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,900 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $325,900 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,900 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,900 Active 83 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,900 Active 82 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,900 Active 81 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $325,900 Active 80 DOM
  20. 2026-03-11
    listed $337,400 Active 1660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1660 chars)

    Welcome to 1209 Phats Way in Reynolda Place, our newest community in Hahira, GA. The Creekside is a spacious plan that offers 5 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms in 2,043 square feet – all on one level with a two-car garage. As you enter the home, the first two bedrooms and full bathroom are off the foyer. Both bedrooms have windows that let in plenty of natural light, they are great spaces to for children, guest rooms or offices. Down the hall you find the chef-inspired kitchen with large island, shaker-style cabinetry, granite counters and an oversized corner pantry. This opens into the living space and dining area, making it the perfect space for your entire family and entertaining your loved ones. You also have a back patio off of the living room to enjoy the lovely Florida outdoors. Two more bedrooms and a full bath are off of the dining room. These also both have great natural light and are great spaces to utilize for your needs. The living area is finished off by the large laundry room. Your primary bedroom provides a private escape in the back of the home. The bedroom has two windows creating an inviting space that is large enough for a king bed. The en suite bathroom has a double vanity, large shower, and private water closet. The primary suite is complete with an oversized, walk-in closet. Beyond the interior features and details, every home is equipped with Smart Home Technology. This thoughtful integration of technology ensures that your new home is perfectly designed to meet the demands of modern life. Enjoy quality materials and workmanship throughout, with superior attention to detail, plus a one-year builder's warranty.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,160
− Mortgage interest
−$17,975
− Property taxes
−$4,814
− Insurance
−$1,604
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,253
− Management
−$2,253
− HOA
−$564
− Depreciation
−$9,335
Taxable loss
−$10,638
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,553
After-tax cash flow
$-2,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a spacious layout. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and modernize it.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Add smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lowndes County
NCES district ID
1303390
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,221
Composite
47.21/100
National rank
#2317
State rank
#8 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hahira

Score
67/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#10280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lowndes County · 107,801 people
Metro
Valdosta, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,942
Household income
$83,946
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
73.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,348 people
By 2030
123,469 · +2.6%
By 2040
128,482 · +6.8%
By 2050
131,907 · +9.6%
By 2075
139,080 · +15.6%
By 2100
133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.44%
Current HPI
259.01
Rent YoY
Metro
Valdosta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $337,400 SGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…