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51 Edson Ave Triplex
D+ Composite 45.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$450,000

51 Edson Ave · Waterbury, CT 06705
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,908 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1915 $155/sqft · 11% above area Est $404k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS AND ONE UNIT VACANT. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $475 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY. .

Key facts

  • 4 garage spots
  • Built 1915
  • Listed 149 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $161/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).
  • Recommended offer: $396k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: H. S. Chase School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #456 of 553 statewide, top 83%, 629 students, 73% FRL); Michael F. Wallace Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #160 of 175 statewide, top 91%, 1,062 students, 86% FRL); Crosby High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #187 of 194 statewide, top 96%, 1,400 students, 84% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,040/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1690% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $450k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $396,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$404,280
List price
$450,000
Delta
11.31%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31 Eastwood Ave 0.11mi 6/3.0 2,952 (+2%) 3mo $465,000 $158 90
37 Eastwood Ave 0.10mi 6/3.0 3,057 (+5%) 9mo $350,000 $114 79
68 Englewood Ave 0.21mi 6/3.0 3,024 (+4%) 7mo $420,000 $139 77
68 Meriden Rd 0.16mi 6/3.0 3,150 (+8%) 13mo $310,000 $98 68
22 Knoll St 0.21mi 6/3.0 3,241 (+12%) 4mo $515,000 $159 67
225 Meriden Rd 0.28mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,686 (-8%) 2mo $380,000 $141 64
18 Eastwood Ave 0.13mi 6/3.0 2,616 (-10%) 18mo $415,000 $159 62
14 Niagara St 0.38mi 6/3.0 3,156 (+8%) 18mo $390,000 $124 53
91 Alma St 0.17mi 7/— (+1) 3,198 (+10%) 23mo $415,000 $130 51
24 Cedar Ave 0.72mi 6/3.5 3,060 (+5%) 20mo $420,000 $137 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-39,974
Equity at exit
$67,096
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$13,848
Equity at exit
$38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06705

Home prices YoY
-11.0%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
22.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,040 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$952 /mo · $11,418/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,058
Net cashflow
$483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,429
Max offer price $450,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $737 -5% $610 +0% $483 +5% $355 +10% $228
Rent -10% $85 -5% $284 +0% $483 +5% $682 +10% $881
Rate -1.0pp $709 -0.5pp $597 base $483 +0.5pp $366 +1.0pp $248

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,040

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Niagara St Waterbury, CT 6.0 3.0 3156 $1,700 $0.54 5d 1 0.38mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $450,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $450,000 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $450,000 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $450,000 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $450,000 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $450,000 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $450,000 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $450,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $450,000 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $450,000 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $450,000 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $450,000 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $450,000 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $450,000 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $450,000 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $450,000 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-01-19
    listed $450,000 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS AND ONE UNIT VACANT. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $475 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY. .

  18. 2023-02-01
    soldstatus $250,000
  19. 2023-01-30
    soldstatus $250,000 Closed 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $400 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY..

  20. 2023-01-10
    status Under Contract 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $400 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY..

  21. 2022-08-23
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $400 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY..

  22. 2022-08-10
    listed $250,000 Active 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    3 FAMILY IN THE EAST END OF WATREBURY. FULLY RENTED WITH LONG TERM TENANTS. ALL SEPERATE UTILITIES. 4 CAR GARAGE FULLY RENTED AT $400 PER MONTH. GENEROUS SIZED ROOMS OFFER ABUNDANT LIVING SPACE. TENANTS ARE VERY HAPPY THERE. CLOSE TO SHOPPING. RESTAURANTS AND A PARK. ALSO CLOSE TO HIGHWAYS. HOUSE WAS TOTALY RENOVATERD WITHIN THE LAST 10 YEARS. FAIRLY NEW ROOF AND NEW WINDOWS. EXCELLENT INVESTMENT PROPERTY..

  23. 2022-01-04
    historical
  24. 2021-12-13
    price $250,000
  25. 2021-11-24
    status Active
  26. 2021-11-18
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  27. 2021-11-16
    listed $260,000 Active
  28. 2021-11-10
    historical
  29. 2021-10-25
    price $199,000
  30. 2021-10-07
    listed $220,000 Active
  31. 2021-06-08
    historical
  32. 2021-04-27
    price $199,000
  33. 2021-03-17
    listed $219,900 Active
  34. 2020-09-16
    historical
  35. 2020-07-31
    historical
  36. 2020-06-14
    price $179,900
  37. 2020-06-05
    status Active
  38. 2020-05-30
    listed $189,000 Active
  39. 2020-05-28
    historical
  40. 2020-05-22
    listed $379,000 Active
  41. 1988-05-23
    soldstatus $165,900
  42. 1987-05-26
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$11,418 · $952/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,418 · $952/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,480
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$11,418
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,838
− Management
−$4,838
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$1,163
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$279
After-tax cash flow
$6,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterbury School District
NCES district ID
0904830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,040
Composite
14.85/100
National rank
#9380
State rank
#148 of 153 in CT

Livability — Waterbury

Score
79/100
State rank
#32
US rank
#2205

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterbury, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
115,012
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
25,266
Household income
$53,954
Rent vs Own
48.8% rent · 51.2% own
Severe rent burden
1690.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 34% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 22% Two or more races 14% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Hispanic 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.50%
Current HPI
304.4948
Rent YoY
▲ 3.37%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.3% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $450,000 Fizber.com
  • 2023-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2023-01-30 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2023-01-10 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-23 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2022-08-10 Listed $250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2022-01-04 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2021-12-13 Price Changed $250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-11-24 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2021-11-18 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2021-11-16 Listed $260,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-11-10 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2021-10-25 Price Changed $199,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-10-07 Listed $220,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-06-08 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2021-04-27 Price Changed $199,000 Smart MLS
  • 2021-03-17 Listed $219,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-09-16 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2020-07-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2020-06-14 Price Changed $179,900 Smart MLS
  • 2020-06-05 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2020-05-30 Listed $189,000 Smart MLS
  • 2020-05-28 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2020-05-22 Listed $379,000 Smart MLS
  • 1988-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $165,900 Public Records
  • 1987-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $11,418 · +87.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…