16511 Garfield Ave Unit B65 · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated and furnished manufactured home with an open layout and interior and exterior improvements. Features include an updated bathroom, kitchen with granite countertops, tankless water heater, new flooring, and LED lighting throughout. Features a ramp access entry and includes a driveway, covered patio, storage shed. Located in a 55+ pet friendly community with a swimming pool and community room. Located near shopping centers.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rent includes gas, electric, trash, water and sewer
- Financial info: Land lease (amount listed separately)
- HOA & community: Senior community; Urban community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2-car garage spaces (total 2 garage spaces); Parking space available
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer
- Home design: Mobile home (12 x 55); Mobile home remains on site; One story; Front entrance
- Construction: Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Porch; Deck; Community pool; Located near a main street; 0-1 Unit/Acre lot character
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Gas water heater
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall or window cooling
- Interior features: Furnished; Front entry; Single-story (one level)
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.79%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,486
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- 13.44%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16601 S Garfield Ave #204 | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (-2%) | 21mo | $153,000 | $191 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,038
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $23,592
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,436 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $611
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $742 | -5% $677 | +0% $611 | +5% $546 | +10% $480 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $419 | -5% $515 | +0% $611 | +5% $707 | +10% $804 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $707 | -0.5pp $660 | base $611 | +0.5pp $562 | +1.0pp $512 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7029 Orange Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,519 | $3.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,600 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6663 Gundry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,195 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6576 Falcon Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $2,195 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15351 Orange Ave #26 Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $2,550 | $3.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,874 | $2.05 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit B Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,250 | $2.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit A Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,250 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2921 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2890 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,595 | $3.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6673 Hammond Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $2,295 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6667 Hammond Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,700 | $3.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6315 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,691 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3101 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,950 | $3.48 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,175 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2051 E Harding St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $2,300 | $4.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15142 Georgia Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $3,200 | $3.70 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2352 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 800 | $3,395 | $4.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2354 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 800 | $3,395 | $4.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,234 | $3.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3301 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,595 | $2.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6479 Atlantic Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $1,838 | $3.49 | 3d | 5 | 1.22mi |
| 6546 Indiana Ave Unit 6546-O Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $1,695 | $3.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,200 | $3.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16825 Passage Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 860 | $2,950 | $3.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 16825 Passage Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 860 | $2,899 | $3.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,850 | $2.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 17045 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,175 | $2.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,495 | $3.01 | 21d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 500 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 551 | $1,875 | $3.40 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 17114 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,275 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 8633 Park St Unit 1/2 Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $2,299 | $4.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5948 John Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,495 | $2.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5948 John Ave Unit 5948 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,495 | $2.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 454 E 63rd St Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $2,300 | $3.65 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5933 Gaviota Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,800 | $3.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4623 E Compton Blvd Compton, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,595 | $2.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$190,000 Active 432-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,338
- − Management
- −$2,338
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $4,582
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,100
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This updated and furnished manufactured home offers a good condition with cosmetic improvements, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
- Both upgrading to LED lighting in all areas — increases energy efficiency and ambiance
- Both installing a smart thermostat — improves energy efficiency and comfort
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both upgrading to LED lighting in all areas — increases energy efficiency and ambiance ↑
- Both installing a smart thermostat — improves energy efficiency and comfort ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $190,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…