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1224 Hidden Valley Dr #1224
B+ Composite 75.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$49,900

1224 Hidden Valley Dr #1224 · Bulger, PA 15019
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Manufactured · 170 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2026 Excellent condition 780 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This brand-new 2024 Colony Beacon Prestige manufactured home is now available in Bulger, PA, near Pittsburgh! Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a well-designed 780 sqft floorplan, this single-wide home combines style and functionality. Key highlights include modern appliances such as a Whirlpool deluxe gas stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer, as well as an upgraded kitchen with premium finishes. Designed for comfort and convenience, this home offers a perfect space for contemporary living. Financing options are available-apply today to make this beautiful home yours!

Key facts

  • Modern appliances
  • Upgraded kitchen
  • Premium finishes

Tags

MODERN APPLIANCESUPGRADED KITCHENPREMIUM FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($657 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,695 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Fort Cherry SD (rural): math 34% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #213 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fort Cherry El Ctr (math 41% / reading 63%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 455 students, 46% FRL); Fort Cherry Jshs (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #196 of 437 statewide, top 47%, 450 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.98%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$18,704
Equity at exit
$24,114
10-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$49,137
Equity at exit
$38,523

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15019

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$657 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$138
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $209 -5% $192 +0% $174 +5% $157 +10% $140
Rent -10% $122 -5% $148 +0% $174 +5% $200 +10% $226
Rate -1.0pp $200 -0.5pp $187 base $174 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $49,900 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 166 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 165 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 164 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 161 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 156 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 152 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 148 DOM
  16. 2026-01-04
    listed $49,900 Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    This brand-new 2024 Colony Beacon Prestige manufactured home is now available in Bulger, PA, near Pittsburgh! Featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a well-designed 780 sqft floorplan, this single-wide home combines style and functionality. Key highlights include modern appliances such as a Whirlpool deluxe gas stove, dishwasher, washer, and dryer, as well as an upgraded kitchen with premium finishes. Designed for comfort and convenience, this home offers a perfect space for contemporary living. Financing options are available-apply today to make this beautiful home yours!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,887
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$631
− Management
−$631
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$1,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$331
After-tax cash flow
$1,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new 2024 Colony Beacon Prestige manufactured home is move-in ready with modern appliances and a well-designed floorplan. It offers a perfect space for contemporary living.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing
  • Both Curtains and window treatments — Improves aesthetics and can be sold with the home

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing
  • Both Curtains and window treatments — Improves aesthetics and can be sold with the home

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Cherry SD
NCES district ID
4209960
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$51,129
Composite
41.12/100
National rank
#3564
State rank
#213 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bulger

Score
52/100
State rank
#1695
US rank
#25121

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,236

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
208,060 people
By 2030
207,168 · -0.4%
By 2040
202,738 · -2.6%
By 2050
195,269 · -6.1%
By 2075
175,588 · -15.6%
By 2100
145,827 · -29.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Danish 6% Romanian 5% Serbian 3%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.59%
Current HPI
175.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $49,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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