124 Teal Ter · East Hempfield, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate East Hempfield condo with private rear deck overlooking an amazing wooded setting! Finished daylight basement with a bar, electric fireplace, and additional storage room. First floor laundry (washer & dryer stay). Spacious rooms throughout. Maintenance free living in a great location!
Key facts
- $294 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1997
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Condo fee $294 monthly; Condo fee includes exterior building maintenance, lawn maintenance, snow removal, and common area maintenance; One-time other fee of $26.48
Exterior
- Parking: Front-entry attached garage (1-car); Driveway parking (1 space); Off-street parking; total of 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium ownership; Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Excellent condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composite roof; Active radon mitigation; Full basement, partially finished; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Porch(es); Front yard; Private, level lot that backs to trees; Trees/wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven/range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water; 200+ amp electric service
- Interior features: Attic; Bar; Breakfast area; Kitchen with eat-in and table space; Ceiling fans; Carpet; Wood floors; Sliding glass and storm doors
- Laundry & utility: Front-loading washer; Electric dryer; Main-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $289k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hempfield SD (suburban): math 50% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #81 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Landisville Pri Ctr (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #249 of 1,518 statewide, top 19%, 591 students, 28% FRL); Landisville Ms (math 38% / reading 64%, grade C, #116 of 512 statewide, top 24%, 511 students, 35% FRL); Hempfield Shs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 2,268 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask is 70% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $289k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $479,700
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Landon Way | 0.13mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,364 (+1%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $205 | 76 |
| 121 Pentail Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,442 (+4%) | 13mo | $326,000 | $133 | 76 |
| 145 Mallard Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 2,008 (-14%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $134 | 74 |
| 1459 Hammock Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,168 (-7%) | 1mo | $480,000 | $221 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-30,418
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $4,193
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17601
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$294
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$649
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $369 | -5% $288 | +0% $206 | +5% $124 | +10% $42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $84 | +0% $206 | +5% $328 | +10% $450 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $351 | -0.5pp $279 | base $206 | +0.5pp $131 | +1.0pp $55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1325 Rohrerstown Rd Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,700 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 923 Rohrerstown Rd Lancaster, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2128 | $2,195 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 590 Candlewyck Rd Lancaster, PA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.5 | 1475 | $2,158 | $1.46 | 14d | 8 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $294 · $3,528/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-19$289,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,664 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,115 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- +$451/yr (+$38/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$3,664
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,966
- − Management
- −$2,966
- − HOA
- −$3,528
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$2,085
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hempfield SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211790
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,908
- Composite
- 50.66/100
- National rank
- #1829
- State rank
- #81 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Hempfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,382
- Household income
- $102,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -383.04%
- Current HPI
- 257.0336
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.99%
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+193.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Coming Soon $289,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2018-12-07 Sold (MLS) $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-14 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-22 Sold (MLS) $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-11-01 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $135,500 Public Records
- 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $135,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-08-19 Listed $144,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-22 Sold (MLS) $154,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-06-24 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $98,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $3,664 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…