610 Tarver St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A few minutes from downtown this two bed one bath home sits on a double lot on a quiet street. Metal roof, Hardwood floors, and extra building in the back are some of the features you love. Call today for your private showing.
Key facts
- Extra building
- Metal roof
- Double lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($572/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (4.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.51%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,663
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 4.12%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616 Koberlin St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-9%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $133 | 70 |
| 709 E Harris Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 1,118 (+13%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $139 | 66 |
| 219 Bird St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-2%) | 11mo | $43,500 | $45 | 66 |
| 419 N Pope St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (-6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $70 | 65 |
| 618 Pulliam St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+7%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $93 | 65 |
| 121 N Buchanan St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+2%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $55 | 64 |
| 424 N Pope St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-6%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 62 |
| 812 E Harris Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (-14%) | 6mo | $127,500 | $150 | 61 |
| 1214 Preusser St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+6%) | 2mo | $66,000 | $63 | 59 |
| 621 & 625 Powell St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,060 (+7%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $42 | 48 |
| 522 Ellis St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-3%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $120 | 47 |
| 1402 Spaulding St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (-12%) | 8mo | $39,900 | $46 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-12,017
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $24,476
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,423/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $86 | +0% $48 | +5% $9 | +10% $-29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $-3 | +0% $48 | +5% $98 | +10% $149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $82 | base $48 | +0.5pp $13 | +1.0pp $-23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Allen St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 302 Allen St #18 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $2,000 | $2.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 212 Koberlin St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $945 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,213 | $1.40 | 22d | 10 | 0.67mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 134 E 11th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,025 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-26 San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 619 | $875 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-02 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 837 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-04 San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 694 | $1,000 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 504 E 17th St San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $875 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-04-27price $135,000 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
A few minutes from downtown this two bed one bath home sits on a double lot on a quiet street. Metal roof, Hardwood floors, and extra building in the back are some of the features you love. Call today for your private showing.
-
2026-03-30$145,000 Active 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
A few minutes from downtown this two bed one bath home sits on a double lot on a quiet street. Metal roof, Hardwood floors, and extra building in the back are some of the features you love. Call today for your private showing.
-
2026-02-13soldstatus
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2025-04-16$15,000,000 Active
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2025-04-16$150,000 Active
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2022-12-09soldstatus
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2022-11-21soldstatus Closed
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2022-10-05status Pending
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2022-09-28price $90,000
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2022-06-21status Active
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2022-05-18status Pending
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2022-04-28$120,000 Active
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2017-09-01soldstatus
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2015-07-14soldstatus
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2015-07-14soldstatus
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2014-09-25soldstatus
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2014-09-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,423 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,423
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,652
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$396
- After-tax cash flow
- $969/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+12.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $135,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-03-30 Listed $145,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-02-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-04-16 Listed $15,000,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-04-16 Listed $150,000 SAAR TX
- 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-11-21 Sold (MLS) — SAAR TX
- 2022-10-05 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2022-09-28 Price Changed $90,000 SAAR TX
- 2022-06-21 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2022-05-18 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2022-04-28 Listed $120,000 SAAR TX
- 2017-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-09-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,423 · +23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…