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16011 Peairs Rd
C+ Composite 64.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

16011 Peairs Rd · Central, LA 70770
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily · 220 Days on market
Built 1960 2.14 ac lot $106/sqft · 50% below area Est $219k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential -- whether you're looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out -- all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you've been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Room to spread out
  • Plenty of privacy
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

2 ACRE LOTMATURE TREESPLENTY OF PRIVACYROOM TO SPREAD OUTNO HOASPACE FOR WORKSHOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.3% in Central — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#25 in LA, #4,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $110k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.74%
Cash-on-cash
8.73%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,681
List price
$109,900
Delta
-49.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,547
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$15,281
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70770

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$224

Break-even live

Break-even rent $928
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 220 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 219 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 218 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 217 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 215 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 211 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 210 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 209 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $109,900 Active 206 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 205 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 204 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 203 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 202 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 201 DOM
  16. 2026-05-02
    price $109,900 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  17. 2026-05-02
    price $109,900 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  18. 2026-01-26
    price $120,000 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  19. 2026-01-26
    price $120,000 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  20. 2025-11-10
    listed $130,000 Active 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  21. 2025-11-10
    listed $130,000 Active 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    Escape the hustle and bustle and enjoy the peace and quiet of country living on this beautiful 2+ acre lot in Pride, Louisiana. This spacious property offers endless potential — whether you’re looking to build your dream home, place a new manufactured home, or take on a full renovation project. The existing home on the property will require a complete gut and remodel, giving you the opportunity to design and rebuild exactly how you want. Enjoy mature trees, plenty of privacy, and room to spread out — all while being just a short drive to Zachary, Central, and Baton Rouge amenities. No HOA and plenty of space for workshops, gardens, or livestock. If you’ve been searching for land with true potential and a country feel, this is your chance to make it yours!

  22. 2010-03-10
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,536
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$234
After-tax cash flow
$2,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Central

Score
74/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#4761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
10,403
Population (ZIP)
3,279

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.70%
Current HPI
187.8011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+223.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $109,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $109,900 GBRMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $120,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $130,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $130,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2010-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,331 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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