102 John St · Loogootee, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attic space 1456 sq ft.
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 23 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.7% vs local median 2.8% in Loogootee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#74 in IN, #4,663 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Loogootee Community School Corporation (rural): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #97 of 301 in IN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $905 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Martin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 115.79%
- DSCR
- 6.15
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,560
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 Dogwood Hl | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,908 (+9%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $120 | 35 |
| 201 S Oak St | 0.58mi | 5/2.5 | 2,356 (-12%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $45 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.58×
- Total profit
- $55,281
- Equity at exit
- $13,516
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.82×
- Total profit
- $124,447
- Equity at exit
- $20,851
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47553
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $811
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $831 | -5% $821 | +0% $811 | +5% $800 | +10% $790 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $709 | -5% $760 | +0% $811 | +5% $861 | +10% $912 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $826 | -0.5pp $818 | base $811 | +0.5pp $803 | +1.0pp $795 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $30,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $30,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$30,000 Active
-
2024-03-04historical
-
2024-02-21price $54,500
-
2024-02-04status Active
-
2024-01-18$59,900 Active
-
2024-01-18historical
-
2014-04-16soldstatus $32,000
-
2014-04-16soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $9,834
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,360
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Loogootee Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1806060
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,513
- Composite
- 38.38/100
- National rank
- #4209
- State rank
- #97 of 301 in IN
Livability — Loogootee
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #4663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Loogootee, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,613
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,585 people
- By 2030
- 9,198 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 8,365 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 7,518 · -21.6%
- By 2075
- 5,674 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 3,916 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.7) · D 18.7% · R 79.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -60.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.7 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.02%
- Current HPI
- 217.7385
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-6.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
- 2024-03-04 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-21 Price Changed $54,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-04 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-18 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-18 Listed $59,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2024): $3,034 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…