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195 N Mattie Ave
B Composite 73.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$99,900

195 N Mattie Ave · Sycamore, GA 31790
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1932 0.45 ac lot $78/sqft · 19% below area Est $123k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is a great home for a first-time home buyer or and investor looking to expand their portfolio. This 2 bedroom/2 bath home is just what you are looking for. Most of the yard is fenced in, your children and pets will love it. The owner of this home has done a lot of work on the yard and home making it move in ready. If what you are looking for is a quite community, yet not too far away from a town with restaurants and shopping this home is for you. Its only 5 minutes from Ashburn and 20 minutes from Tifton. It has a nice enclosed front porch so you can enjoy the outdoors with the pesky South Georgia insects and bugs bothering you. This home is a must see!!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Move in ready
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

FENCED YARDMOVE IN READYENCLOSED FRONT PORCHQUIET COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Zoned R-3
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Ice maker
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#193 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Turner County (town): math 14% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #158 of 174 in GA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Turner County Elementary School (math 27% / reading 23%, grade F, #745 of 1,228 statewide, top 61%, 591 students, 100% FRL); Turner County Middle School (math 6% / reading 12%, grade F, #438 of 470 statewide, top 93%, 242 students, 100% FRL); Turner County High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 356 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Turner County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Turner County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $100k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,046
List price
$99,900
Delta
-18.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$22,699
Equity at exit
$37,143
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$65,227
Equity at exit
$51,802

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31790

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $826/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $803
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $339 -5% $311 +0% $282 +5% $254 +10% $226
Rent -10% $191 -5% $237 +0% $282 +5% $328 +10% $374
Rate -1.0pp $333 -0.5pp $308 base $282 +0.5pp $257 +1.0pp $230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $99,900 Active
  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $99,900 Active
  20. 2026-05-15
    listed $99,900 Active
  21. 2025-09-02
    price $95,000
  22. 2025-08-06
    price $110,000
  23. 2025-07-31
    status Active
  24. 2025-03-06
    listed $115,000 Active
  25. 2024-10-29
    price $118,000
  26. 2024-10-01
    status Active
  27. 2024-04-24
    price $120,000
  28. 2024-01-23
    listed $125,000 Active
  29. 2023-06-30
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$826 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$919 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 11.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,926
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$826
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$449
After-tax cash flow
$2,941/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Turner County
NCES district ID
1305190
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,714
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9578
State rank
#158 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sycamore

Score
66/100
State rank
#193
US rank
#11925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sycamore, GA
Population (ZIP)
2,648

Population outlook (Turner County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,561 people
By 2030
5,905 · -10.0%
By 2040
4,899 · -25.3%
By 2050
4,246 · -35.3%
By 2075
3,606 · -45.0%
By 2100
3,471 · -47.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Turner

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.5) · D 35.6% · R 64.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -28.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.5 2020: R+24.8 2016: R+25.1 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.58%
Current HPI
151.1607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $99,900 TBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $99,900 TBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $99,900 TBOR
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $95,000 TBOR
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $110,000 TBOR
  • 2025-07-31 Relisted TBOR
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $115,000 TBOR
  • 2024-10-29 Price Changed $118,000 TBOR
  • 2024-10-01 Relisted TBOR
  • 2024-04-24 Price Changed $120,000 TBOR
  • 2024-01-23 Listed $125,000 TBOR
  • 2023-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $826 · +17.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…