6001 Penni Ln · Gulf Hills, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$412,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully designed Camden Plan located in the desirable Talla Point community of Ocean Springs. If you're looking for a muti generational layout, workspace or studio, THIS IS IT! The Camden plan doesn't come around often, and finding one is a rare opportunity!! Offering over 2,700 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space, this exceptional 4-bedroom 3 and a half bath home combines comfort, functionality and privacy. A standout feature of this home is the private mother-in-law suite, complete with its own en-suite bathroom and pre-plumbing for a kitchenette-making it an ideal setup for extended family, guests, or even a semi-independent living space. Inside, you'll find spacious living areas enhanced by elegant tray ceilings that add architectural interest and sophistication. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the chef-inspired kitchen featuring beautiful granite countertops, a farmhouse sink a new stove, and a spacious pantry. With abundant cabinetry and expansive counter space, the kitchen offers both style and functionality while opening seamlessly to the main living area-perfect for entertaining or everyday living. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard that backs up to serene wooded surroundings offering added privacy with no rear neighbors-an ideal setting for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Situated in the highly sought-after community, this home offers the charm and convenience of coastal living, all within close proximity to top rated schools, shopping and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to own this versatile and beautifully appointed home. Sellers ARE MOTIVATED, call your favorite REALTOR today for your personal tour!
Key facts
- Spacious pantry
- Farmhouse sink
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $412k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-228 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $372k (9.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $303k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.5% in Gulf Hills — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Jackson County School District (rural): math 53% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #10 of 130 in MS (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,033/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.38%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $424,813
- List price
- $412,000
- Delta
- -3.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6033 Salt Bush Dr | 0.23mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,720 (-3%) | 2mo | $407,909 | $150 | 72 |
| 6028 Cardona Dr | 0.24mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,720 (-3%) | 2mo | $410,200 | $151 | 72 |
| 6004 Penni Ln | 0.04mi | 4/3.0 | 2,519 (-11%) | 6mo | $395,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 11705 Wakeland Ct | 0.10mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,076 (+9%) | 12mo | $425,190 | $138 | 61 |
| 6021 Penni Ln | 0.07mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,141 (+12%) | 11mo | $425,000 | $135 | 59 |
| 6108 Penni Ln | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 | 2,495 (-11%) | 12mo | $385,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 5813 Moreton Pl | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,729 (-3%) | 2mo | $549,900 | $202 | 55 |
| 6153 Penni Ln | 0.27mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,100 (+10%) | 12mo | $420,900 | $136 | 51 |
| 11521 Osage Loop | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,409 (-14%) | 12mo | $376,900 | $156 | 50 |
| 6893 Osprey Dr | 0.30mi | 4/3.5 | 2,409 (-14%) | 12mo | $419,295 | $174 | 50 |
| 6253 Sandhill Cv | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,409 (-14%) | 11mo | $374,900 | $156 | 45 |
| 11408 Harrison Court Dr | 0.30mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,409 (-14%) | 12mo | $380,900 | $158 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-86,467
- Equity at exit
- $61,431
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-114,505
- Equity at exit
- $35,622
Cash invested: $115,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39564
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 714
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,033 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,161
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$172
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$637
- Net cashflow
- $-228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $5 | -5% $-112 | +0% $-228 | +5% $-345 | +10% $-462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-468 | -5% $-348 | +0% $-228 | +5% $-109 | +10% $11 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-124 | base $-228 | +0.5pp $-335 | +1.0pp $-444 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,000
- Closing costs
- $12,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11404 Harrison Ct Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2091 | $2,950 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 107 Surgeres Pl Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2830 | $3,400 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1220 Sunset Dr Ocean Springs, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3485 | $3,950 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $412,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $412,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $412,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $412,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $412,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $412,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-03-30$412,000 Active 1788-char remark
Show marketing remark (1788 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully designed Camden Plan located in the desirable Talla Point community of Ocean Springs. If you're looking for a muti generational layout, workspace or studio, THIS IS IT! The Camden plan doesn't come around often, and finding one is a rare opportunity!! Offering over 2,700 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space, this exceptional 4-bedroom 3 and a half bath home combines comfort, functionality and privacy. A standout feature of this home is the private mother-in-law suite, complete with its own en-suite bathroom and pre-plumbing for a kitchenette-making it an ideal setup for extended family, guests, or even a semi-independent living space. Inside, you'll find spacious living areas enhanced by elegant tray ceilings that add architectural interest and sophistication. The open-concept layout creates a seamless flow, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the chef-inspired kitchen featuring beautiful granite countertops, a farmhouse sink a new stove, and a spacious pantry. With abundant cabinetry and expansive counter space, the kitchen offers both style and functionality while opening seamlessly to the main living area-perfect for entertaining or everyday living. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard that backs up to serene wooded surroundings offering added privacy with no rear neighbors-an ideal setting for relaxing or hosting gatherings. Situated in the highly sought-after community, this home offers the charm and convenience of coastal living, all within close proximity to top rated schools, shopping and entertainment. Don't miss this opportunity to own this versatile and beautifully appointed home. Sellers ARE MOTIVATED, call your favorite REALTOR today for your personal tour!
-
2022-01-07soldstatus Closed 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
This brand new ''Camden'' floor plan is perfect for multi-generational families living under one roof. The mother-in-law suite includes a second on-suite private bath, walk-in closet, and separate living room/game room/man cave, and 3 car garage. There are also two other bedrooms that share the Jack & Jill bath. The entire family will not only love the layout but the design details including tray ceilings, crown molding, gourmet kitchen with island bar, soft close cabinets, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, farmhouse sink, and Smart Home technology. Enjoy the nature views from your covered back patio just minutes from the interstate, beach, entertainment, and military bases. *Home is under construction - estimated completion late December. Colors and options may vary.*
-
2021-10-24status Pending 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
This brand new ''Camden'' floor plan is perfect for multi-generational families living under one roof. The mother-in-law suite includes a second on-suite private bath, walk-in closet, and separate living room/game room/man cave, and 3 car garage. There are also two other bedrooms that share the Jack & Jill bath. The entire family will not only love the layout but the design details including tray ceilings, crown molding, gourmet kitchen with island bar, soft close cabinets, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, farmhouse sink, and Smart Home technology. Enjoy the nature views from your covered back patio just minutes from the interstate, beach, entertainment, and military bases. *Home is under construction - estimated completion late December. Colors and options may vary.*
-
2021-10-14$381,900 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
This brand new ''Camden'' floor plan is perfect for multi-generational families living under one roof. The mother-in-law suite includes a second on-suite private bath, walk-in closet, and separate living room/game room/man cave, and 3 car garage. There are also two other bedrooms that share the Jack & Jill bath. The entire family will not only love the layout but the design details including tray ceilings, crown molding, gourmet kitchen with island bar, soft close cabinets, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, farmhouse sink, and Smart Home technology. Enjoy the nature views from your covered back patio just minutes from the interstate, beach, entertainment, and military bases. *Home is under construction - estimated completion late December. Colors and options may vary.*
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,106 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,255 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- +$149/yr (+$12/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,391
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,078
- − Property taxes
- −$3,106
- − Insurance
- −$2,060
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,911
- − Management
- −$2,911
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$11,985
- Taxable loss
- −$10,057
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,414
- After-tax cash flow
- $-326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802160
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,569
- Composite
- 43.57/100
- National rank
- #2980
- State rank
- #10 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulf Hills
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #7310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulf Hills, MS
- County
- Jackson County · 82,196 people
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,240
- Household income
- $78,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 734.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.77%
- Current HPI
- 204.2244
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+7.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $412,000 MLSU
- 2022-01-07 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-10-24 Pending — MLSU
- 2021-10-14 Listed $381,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+95.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,106 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…