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315 Vandalia St
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$211,000

315 Vandalia St · Elgin, IL 60123
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 393 Days on market
Built 1920 $176/sqft · 9% below area Est $232k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don't miss out opportunity to make this your home. 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. House has tons of potential bring your ideas. Upstirs 2 bedrooms with 1 bathroom and 1 bedroom located on main level. Unfinished basement has planty of room for storage. Nice size back yard. Great and convenient location.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 393 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $211k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-304/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.4% in Elgin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in IL, #975 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-.
  • SD U-46 (suburban): math 19% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #386 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Harriet Gifford Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 461 students, 0% FRL); Abbott Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #612 of 665 statewide, top 93%, 551 students, 0% FRL); Larkin High School (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #520 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 2,264 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the SD U-46 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 393 days — a 12% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $211k implies a 559% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $185,680 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 393 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,461
List price
$211,000
Delta
-9.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Sheridan St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,200 (0%) 2mo $250,000 $208 78
375 S Edison Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,125 (-6%) 0mo $300,000 $267 71
63 S Union St 0.34mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,264 (+5%) 1mo $330,000 $261 67
800 Morgan St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-6%) 3mo $275,000 $244 66
353 Wilcox Ave 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (+13%) 3mo $229,000 $169 66
121 Wilcox Ave 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,060 (-12%) 1mo $290,000 $274 64
30 S Commonwealth Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-9%) 2mo $250,000 $230 62
25 N Worth Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+5%) 1mo $306,000 $242 59
490 S Alfred Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+10%) 4mo $280,000 $212 50
12 N Du Bois Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,047 (-13%) 3mo $300,000 $287 48
231 S Aldine St 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,079 (-10%) 6mo $259,900 $241 45
78 S Edison Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,368 (+14%) 3mo $270,000 $197 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-34,227
Equity at exit
$31,461
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-25,326
Equity at exit
$18,243

Cash invested: $59,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60123

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,051 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,107
Tax from tax record
$451 /mo · $5,411/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$-25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,083
Max offer price $206,520
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $34 +0% $-25 +5% $-85 +10% $-145
Rent -10% $-187 -5% $-106 +0% $-25 +5% $56 +10% $137
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $28 base $-25 +0.5pp $-80 +1.0pp $-136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,750
Closing costs
$6,330
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
261 Orchard St Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,750 $2.29 45d 1 0.26mi
202 Perry St Unit 1 Elgin, IL 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,000 $1.82 45d 1 0.41mi
276 Morgan St Unit 1 Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 12d 1 0.59mi
719 W Highland Ave Elgin, IL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,485 $1.65 3d 1 0.61mi
52 N Crystal St Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,895 $1.58 26d 1 0.71mi
50 S Grove Ave Elgin, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1563 $3,100 $1.98 45d 3 0.84mi
3 Times Square Rd Unit 102 Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 775 $1,450 $1.87 20d 1 1.06mi
203 Symphony Way Unit B Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,425 $1.90 45d 1 1.10mi
292 Villa St Apt 4 Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 45d 1 1.16mi
92 Pauline Dr Unit 2 Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 22d 1 1.24mi
418 Saint Charles St Unit B Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 19d 1 1.26mi
1716 Maple Ln Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 791 $1,850 $2.34 5d 1 1.38mi
406 Prospect Blvd Unit 2 Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,525 $1.69 6d 1 1.43mi
420 Prospect Blvd Unit 1-N Elgin, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,700 $2.12 9d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $211,000 Active 393 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $211,000 Active 390 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $211,000 Active 389 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $211,000 Active 388 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $211,000 Active 387 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $211,000 Active 385 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $211,000 Active 381 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $211,000 Active 380 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $211,000 Active 379 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $211,000 Active 376 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $211,000 Active 375 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $211,000 Active 374 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $211,000 Active 373 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $211,000 Active 372 DOM
  15. 2025-10-15
    price $211,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Don't miss out opportunity to make this your home. 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. House has tons of potential bring your ideas. Upstirs 2 bedrooms with 1 bathroom and 1 bedroom located on main level. Unfinished basement has planty of room for storage. Nice size back yard. Great and convenient location.

  16. 2025-08-28
    price $215,000 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Don't miss out opportunity to make this your home. 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. House has tons of potential bring your ideas. Upstirs 2 bedrooms with 1 bathroom and 1 bedroom located on main level. Unfinished basement has planty of room for storage. Nice size back yard. Great and convenient location.

  17. 2025-05-24
    listed $239,500 Active 304-char remark
    Show marketing remark (304 chars)

    Don't miss out opportunity to make this your home. 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. House has tons of potential bring your ideas. Upstirs 2 bedrooms with 1 bathroom and 1 bedroom located on main level. Unfinished basement has planty of room for storage. Nice size back yard. Great and convenient location.

  18. 2014-04-30
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed Sale 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  19. 2014-04-18
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  20. 2014-03-28
    historical 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  21. 2014-02-28
    status Pending 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  22. 2014-02-12
    historical
  23. 2014-02-07
    listed $38,500 New 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  24. 2013-10-10
    status Pending
  25. 2013-06-04
    historical Contingent
  26. 2013-05-22
    price Price Change
  27. 2013-03-14
    status Reactivated
  28. 2013-02-08
    historical Contingent
  29. 2013-01-07
    price Price Change
  30. 2012-12-07
    price Price Change
  31. 2012-10-26
    listed New
  32. 2003-12-16
    soldstatus $141,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,411 · $451/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,411 · $451/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,607
− Mortgage interest
−$11,819
− Property taxes
−$5,411
− Insurance
−$1,055
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,969
− Management
−$1,969
− Depreciation
−$6,138
Taxable loss
−$3,753
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$901
After-tax cash flow
$596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
SD U-46
NCES district ID
1713710
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$69,757
Composite
19.39/100
National rank
#8783
State rank
#386 of 620 in IL

Livability — Elgin

Score
83/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#975

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elgin, IL
County
Kane County · 361,735 people
City population
124,091
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
48,379
Household income
$87,693
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
1119.0

Population outlook (Kane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
559,449 people
By 2030
568,757 · +1.7%
By 2040
575,969 · +3.0%
By 2050
563,477 · +0.7%
By 2075
492,321 · -12.0%
By 2100
380,943 · -31.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 38% Two or more races 17% Black 6% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
57% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kane

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.4) · D 54.0% · R 44.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 9.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.4 2020: D+14.4 2016: D+8.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.80%
Current HPI
226.0713
Rent YoY
▲ 3.69%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $211,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $215,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-24 Listed $239,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-18 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-28 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-07 Listed $38,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-10 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-06-04 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-22 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-14 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-02-08 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,411 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…