24203 Landing Way Dr · Spring, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
Key facts
- Newer carpeting
- Two story home
- Versatile game room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.70%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $206,536
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -15.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23710 Prairie Bird Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,789 (-2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 23803 Ironside Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,822 (-1%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 2514 Spring Day Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (-10%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 23918 Spring Mill Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,748 (-5%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 23819 Creek Ridge Dr | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,878 (+2%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $112 | 49 |
| 23510 Treeline Bluff Trl | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,892 (+3%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $145 | 40 |
| 23715 Farm Hill Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,660 (-10%) | 15mo | $189,000 | $114 | 40 |
| 23611 Blodgett Peak Trl | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,750 (-5%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $157 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-17,332
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-17,329
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77373
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$503 /mo · $6,040/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $175,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Pending 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Pending 111 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Pending 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $175,000 Pending 109 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-05-17status Active 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
-
2026-05-16status Pending 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
-
2026-05-06status Pending 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
-
2026-02-17$175,000 Active 652-char remark
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
-
2026-02-17historical
Show marketing remark (652 chars)
Discover this two-story home in the established North Spring neighborhood! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and a versatile game room, this home offers a functional layout with the primary bedroom conveniently located on the first floor with dual closets. Recent updates include newer carpeting and a recently installed outdoor A/C unit. THE HOME DOES NEED SIGNIFICANT UPDATES AND REPAIRS, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate and add value. The open living and dining area provides a solid foundation for future improvements. Priced to sell AS-IS. Bring your vision and unlock this home’s potential!
-
2025-11-03status Active
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2025-11-03price $199,900
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2025-11-03$199,900 Active
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2025-11-03historical
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2025-10-31historical
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2025-03-27$220,000 Active
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2024-12-27historical
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2024-10-22$220,000 Active
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2024-08-22historical $1,650
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2024-08-03price $1,650
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2024-07-31$1,695
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2006-01-27historical
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2005-09-10$97,900
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1989-02-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,040 · $503/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,040 · $503/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$6,040
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,166
- − Management
- −$2,166
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$181
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841220
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,584
- Composite
- 20.12/100
- National rank
- #8643
- State rank
- #730 of 826 in TX
Livability — Spring
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #635
- US rank
- #12101
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spring, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 430,529
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,739
- Household income
- $88,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1050.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.98%
- Current HPI
- 251.7231
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.30%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+78.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
- 2024-12-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-10-22 Listed $220,000 HARMLS
- 2024-08-22 Rental Removed $1,650 HARMLS
- 2024-08-03 Price Changed $1,650 HARMLS
- 2024-07-31 Listed for Rent $1,695 HARMLS
- 2006-01-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2005-09-10 Listed $97,900 HARMLS
- 1989-02-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,040 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…