4159 Jacksonville Rd · Crisfield, MD 21817

$62,400

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,038 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1968 0.46 ac lot $31/sqft · 62% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks

Property is located nice location in Crisfield. Home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 baths, and large living room and family room. Home has a nice detached garage. Buyers should do their own due diligence to measure property and confirm all information to their satisfaction including but not limited to schools, sizes, tax information. Property being sold AS IS.

Key facts

• 0.46 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1968

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached front-entry garage with 2 spaces; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public septic
• Home design: Detached property; Ownership: Fee simple
• Construction: Vinyl siding with frame and block construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
• Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: No

Interior

• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
• Interior features: No basement; Living area reported by assessor

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
• Recommended offer: $61k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 1.5% in Crisfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#199 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Somerset County Public Schools (town): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #22 of 24 in MD (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($431 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Somerset County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,464 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 36.76%
• DSCR: 2.64
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $165,236
• List price: $62,400
• Delta: -62.24%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4159 Jacksonville Rd	0.00mi	3/1.5	2,038 (0%)	1mo	$76,680	$38	99
23 Hall Hwy	0.39mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,855 (-9%)	5mo	$100,000	$54	58
12 Hall Hwy	0.34mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,819 (-11%)	5mo	$144,500	$79	55
34 Maryland Ave	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,840 (-10%)	4mo	$220,000	$120	53
4438 Beechwood Pl	0.70mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,816 (-11%)	7mo	$255,000	$140	36
26590 Mariners Rd	0.70mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,824 (-10%)	9mo	$70,000	$38	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 29.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.36×
• Total profit: $41,240
• Equity at exit: $56,215

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.1%
• Equity multiple: 7.68×
• Total profit: $116,664
• Equity at exit: $121,229

Cash invested: $17,472 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21817

• Home prices YoY: 7.3%
• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,328 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$327
• Tax from tax record: −$161 /mo · $1,928/yr
• Insurance: −$26
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$279
• Net cashflow: $109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,190

Max offer price $62,400

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,600
• Closing costs: $1,872
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 356-char remark
2. 2026-05-13
   status Active 356-char remark
3. 2026-05-09
   status Pending 356-char remark
4. 2026-04-24
   listed $62,400 Active 356-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,928 · $161/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,928 · $161/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,936
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,495
• − Property taxes: −$1,928
• − Insurance: −$5,430
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,275
• − Management: −$1,275
• − Depreciation: −$1,815
• Taxable income: $717
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$172
• After-tax cash flow: $1,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Somerset County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400570
• Math proficiency: 12% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 23% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $38,810
• Composite: 14.73/100
• National rank: #9396
• State rank: #22 of 24 in MD

Livability — Crisfield

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #199
• US rank: #9181

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 4,102

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 24,474 people
• By 2030: 23,547 · -3.8%
• By 2040: 21,498 · -12.2%
• By 2050: 20,427 · -16.5%
• By 2075: 16,594 · -32.2%
• By 2100: 12,132 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

• 2024 margin: R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.5% · Other 2.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: -17.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+17.9 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 19.92%
• Current HPI: 292.866
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

+22.9% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $76,680 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-04-24 Listed $62,400 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,928 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.