1464 N Ontario St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
House with many updates just a few finishing touches and it could be a perfect budget friendly home for first time owners or any one looking for just a simple home with a smaller yard. House offers other possibilities if looking for rental income the basement has a side door and a shower sink and toilet down there which is considered a half bath. House is being (SOLD AS IS) upstairs bathroom needs remodeled and drywall is needed in two rooms.
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1910
- Construction: Historic construction (originally built in 1910)
- Exterior features: Located in the Vistula Historic District
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,348/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($21k/yr) (locally 693% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.74%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,544
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 N Ontario | 0.05mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,403 (+8%) | 12mo | $36,000 | $26 | 67 |
| 1970 N Ontario St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,271 (-2%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $28 | 62 |
| 1431 Moore St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,275 (-2%) | 6mo | $38,500 | $30 | 58 |
| 1990 N Erie St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,289 (-0%) | 11mo | $119,900 | $93 | 55 |
| 718 Buffalo St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-15%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $41 | 54 |
| 1960 N Erie St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,367 (+6%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $22 | 53 |
| 331 Buckeye St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,424 (+10%) | 4mo | $118,500 | $83 | 53 |
| 1333 Peck St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,398 (+8%) | 8mo | $54,000 | $39 | 50 |
| 1964 Chase St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+6%) | 2mo | $14,900 | $11 | 49 |
| 1351 Moore St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,261 (-3%) | 9mo | $50,500 | $40 | 47 |
| 907 Lagrange St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $39 | 42 |
| 1221 Peck St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,159 (-11%) | 10mo | $29,000 | $25 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $39,877
- Equity at exit
- $35,154
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.20×
- Total profit
- $100,078
- Equity at exit
- $51,903
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43604
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $877/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $535 | +0% $511 | +5% $487 | +10% $462 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $457 | +0% $511 | +5% $564 | +10% $617 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $553 | -0.5pp $532 | base $511 | +0.5pp $489 | +1.0pp $466 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1536 N Erie St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1449 N Huron St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,045 | $0.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 724 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1530 | $995 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1031 N Michigan St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 15d | 2 | 0.48mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,890 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1119 N Summit St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1337 Moore St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $995 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 626 Walnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $995 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 128 Carbon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 625 Riverside Dr Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,767 | $2.05 | 15d | 37 | 0.96mi |
| 1305 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 426 Beacon St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 809 | $882 | $1.09 | 15d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 1306 Mott Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1282 | $1,149 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 221 Licking St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,099 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1964 Burr St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1159 | $1,250 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 420 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 225 Palmer St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $895 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 329 Mettler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $975 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,300 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1848 Genesee St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 513 Adams St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,424 | $1.21 | 15d | 11 | 1.12mi |
| 227 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $850 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 152 Austin St Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 319 Dexter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,005 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 413 Sandusky St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 200 N St Clair St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,550 | $3.05 | 15d | 15 | 1.26mi |
| 470 2nd St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $799 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2131 Franklin Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $900 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 332 14th St Unit 303 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 322 14th St Apt 203 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 414 Platt St Unit ST-3 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 420 Platt St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1499 | $685 | $0.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 245 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,125 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 223 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 830 Homer Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $895 | $0.74 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $895 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $85,000 446-char remark
-
2026-05-12$90,000 Active 446-char remark
-
2014-04-04historical
-
2013-11-22$19,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $877 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,102 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$224/yr (+$19/mo · 25.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$877
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,051
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,915/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,594
- Household income
- $20,734
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 693.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 34% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Current HPI
- 111.6154
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+335.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $85,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $90,000 FSBO.com
- 2014-04-04 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2013-11-22 Listed $19,500 NORIS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $877 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…