1200 Canoe Brook Dr M3 19 i · Seal Beach, CA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
(M3-19F)(Carport 44-Space 12) Adorable 2-bedroom 1-bathroom corner unit with handy drive-up street parking. This charming and bright home is ready to move in and has a spacious living room that features double pane windows with blinds, a heat pump with air conditioning, and vinyl plank flooring. The kitchen has built-in appliances including a stove, oven, refrigerator, dishwasher, microwave, ceiling fan, skylight and vinyl plank flooring. The main bedroom has a wardrobe closet, double pane sliding glass doors to the patio. The bathroom with a washer/dryer, a cut-down shower for walk-in convenience, an added linen closet, an operable skylight. The second bedroom has a wardrobe closet and double pane window with blind. The lovely private patio has indoor/outdoor carpeting and a walk-in storage closet. The patio is a perfect place to entertain, read a book or simply relax and enjoy. SENIOR COMMUNITY OFFERS THE FOLLOWING AMENITIES: 9 Hole Golf Course, Swimming Pool, Jacuzzi, Gym, Table Tennis, Shuffleboard, Billiards, Pickle Ball and Bocce Ball courts. Amphitheater, 6 Club houses featuring: Exercise Gym, Art Room, Sewing, Crafts, Woodshops, Lapidary, Pool tables; Over 200 Clubs, LWSB is a Security-Guard-Gated Community. Also, Library, Friends of Library Bookstore, Credit Union, Health Care Center, Pharmacy), Post Office and Café.
Key facts
- Gated community
- More storage
- Heat pump
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building is one of 12 units in the parcel; Community comprises many units (community-wide count listed)
- HOA & community: Part of Golden Rain association (monthly fee); Association amenities include: maintenance of grounds, sewer, security, clubhouse, billiard room, golf, pool, paddle tennis, outdoor cooking area, sport court, picnic area, barbecue, spa, water, gym/exercise room, pickleball, meeting room, bocce ball court, banquet facilities, onsite property management, pet rules, weight limit; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
- Security: Gated community with attendant; 24-hour security; Controlled access
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Multi-family structure; Attached property; One story; Entry at level 1; Part of a stock cooperative; Located in Leisure World community
- Construction: Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Enclosed wrap-around patio; In-ground community pool (heated); In-ground community spa (heated); Sprinklers in front; Community sprinklers; Community has views
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric oven; Electric stove; Water heater unit
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level; All bedrooms located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower; Main level bathroom(s) present
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: High ceilings (9 feet+); Open floor plan; Sliding glass door(s); One-level living
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (8.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $329k).
- Recommended offer: $302k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Seal Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#695 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Los Alamitos Unified (suburban): math 57% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #52 of 517 in CA (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Los Alamitos High (math 60% / reading 84%, grade B+, #92 of 1,170 statewide, top 8%, 3,055 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,513/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) (locally 730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.53%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-57,919
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-35,360
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90740
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,513 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$619
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$738
- Net cashflow
- $-184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $44 | -5% $-70 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-297 | +10% $-411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-323 | +0% $-184 | +5% $-45 | +10% $94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-18 | -0.5pp $-100 | base $-184 | +0.5pp $-269 | +1.0pp $-356 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6300 E Colorado St Unit A Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $4,000 | $4.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1833 Flagstaff Ct Seal Beach, CA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1420 | $3,348 | $2.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 333 1st St Seal Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 717 | $3,735 | $5.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5980 Bixby Village Dr Long Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 798 | $3,627 | $4.55 | 0d | 18 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $619 · $7,428/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $329,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$329,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,935
- − Insurance
- −$2,442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,373
- − Management
- −$3,373
- − HOA
- −$7,428
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$7,394
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,774
- After-tax cash flow
- $-431/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Alamitos Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622590
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,819
- Composite
- 60.84/100
- National rank
- #817
- State rank
- #52 of 517 in CA
Livability — Seal Beach
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #695
- US rank
- #21100
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seal Beach, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 24,254
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,254
- Household income
- $85,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Asian 14% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · South Korea, Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 6% Korean 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -804.31%
- Current HPI
- 367.662
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+48.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $329,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Sold (MLS) $375,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $375,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $385,000 CRMLS
- 2024-10-29 Sold (MLS) $345,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-01 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-08-15 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-08-10 Coming Soon $349,900 CRMLS
- 2022-08-04 Sold (MLS) $277,000 CRMLS
- 2022-06-22 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2022-06-08 Listed $269,000 CRMLS
- 2021-01-22 Sold (MLS) $220,000 CRMLS
- 2020-12-17 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-11-30 Listed $222,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…