91436 Kellogg Ln · Coos Bay, OR 97420

$90,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,051 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1946 7,840 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this fixer-upper ready for your vision and renovation expertise. Home is in poor condition and will require extensive repairs and updates. Cash only sale due to condition. Property being sold as-is with seller to make no repairs. Great potential for investors, flippers, or contractors looking for their next project. Bring your tools and imagination!

Key facts

• 7,840 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1946

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property condition listed as fixer; Property subtype: Single family residence; Lot roughly 0.18 acre (7,000–9,999 sq ft range)

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking; Detached 1-car garage; Total parking for 1 vehicle
• Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer; Internet service available (other)
• Home design: Single-family residence (detached); Built in 1946; Main-level living; No notable view
• Construction: Block foundation
• Exterior features: Wood siding; Other exterior finishes; Composition roof; Unimproved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level; Third bedroom on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
• Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central air conditioning
• Interior features: One-level accessibility; Aluminum-framed windows; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.22%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.74%
• DSCR: 3.21
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $252,240
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
64335 Roy Rd	0.15mi	2/1.0 (-1)	980 (-7%)	23mo	$135,000	$138	58
64313 Welch Rd	0.18mi	3/2.0	1,188 (+13%)	19mo	$285,000	$240	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 53.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.51×
• Total profit: $63,227
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 60.2%
• Equity multiple: 8.62×
• Total profit: $192,052
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Oregon: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 97420

• Rents YoY: 8.7%
• Active inventory: 342
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,127 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$126 /mo · $1,517/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$447
• Net cashflow: $1,045

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,096	-5% $1,070	+0% $1,045	+5% $1,019	+10% $994
Rent	-10% $877	-5% $961	+0% $1,045	+5% $1,129	+10% $1,213
Rate	-1.0pp $1,090	-0.5pp $1,067	base $1,045	+0.5pp $1,021	+1.0pp $998

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
949 Blanco Ave Coos Bay, OR	3.0	2.0	1100	$2,500	$2.27	44d	1	1.16mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   remarks 375-char remark
4. 2026-06-17
   listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,517 · $126/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,517 · $126/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,526
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$1,517
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,042
• − Management: −$2,042
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $11,815
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,836
• After-tax cash flow: $9,699/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Coos Bay SD 9
• NCES district ID: 4103660
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $38,630
• Composite: 25.46/100
• National rank: #7450
• State rank: #45 of 58 in OR

Livability — Coos Bay

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #257
• US rank: #17474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Coos County · 27,621 people
• City population: 27,621
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• Population (ZIP): 27,621
• Household income: $61,574
• Rent vs Own: 32.7% rent · 67.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 799.0

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 62,222 people
• By 2030: 61,120 · -1.8%
• By 2040: 58,478 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 56,819 · -8.7%
• By 2075: 54,915 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

• 2024 margin: R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -315.58%
• Current HPI: 198.3249
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.65%
• Metro: Coos Bay, OR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	1	$51B

Price history

+130.8% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $90,000 RMLS
• 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,425 Public Records
• 1981-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,517 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.