502 S Broad St · Harrison, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
Key facts
- Kitchen
- Private bath
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-433/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Harrison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#471 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Harrison Community Schools (town): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #457 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robert M Larson Elementary School (606 students, 85% FRL); Harrison Middle School (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 282 students, 81% FRL); Harrison Community High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 341 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Clare County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clare County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $145k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.07%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,737
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -25.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 S 4th St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (0%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $160 | 70 |
| 185 N Lake St | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 | 1,324 (+6%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 287 E Oak St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-5%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $177 | 64 |
| 125 W Oak St | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,365 (+9%) | 3mo | $207,896 | $152 | 60 |
| 526 E Park St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,254 (+0%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 832 Oaklawn St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 246 W Maple St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 | 1,354 (+8%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $148 | 47 |
| 727 Old County Farm Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (+10%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $120 | 46 |
| 433 N Lake St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $54 | 44 |
| 375 WESTLAWN St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,328 (+6%) | 16mo | $185,000 | $139 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-25,774
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-25,329
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48625
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Active inventory
- 247
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $-36
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $46 | -5% $5 | +0% $-36 | +5% $-77 | +10% $-118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-132 | -5% $-84 | +0% $-36 | +5% $12 | +10% $60 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $37 | -0.5pp $1 | base $-36 | +0.5pp $-74 | +1.0pp $-112 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $145,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-17price $145,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $149,000 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $149,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-05-20price $149,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
-
2026-04-13price $155,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
-
2026-03-11price $160,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
-
2026-01-23price $165,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
-
2025-12-23price $172,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
-
2025-11-19$177,000 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Welcome to this inviting home offering a comfortable and functional layout. The main level features ample sized living room, kitchen and dining area, a spacious primary bedroom with its own private bath, along with two additional bedrooms and a second full bathroom. The lower level expands your possibilities with a fourth bedroom and generous unfinished areas ideal for creating additional living space - whether you envision a family room, home office, fitness area, or hobby space. Enjoy the convenience of an attached 1-car garage and a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, play, or outdoor gatherings. A great opportunity with plenty of room to grow!
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2025-02-12soldstatus $90,000
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2022-06-30status Pending 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Very nice family home right in the city! Walk to school, track/football field, church, shopping. 4 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with full basement including a 1 car garage. Well maintained home many upgrades including roof, siding, furnace w/ central air and windows. Large fenced in yard.
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2022-06-30soldstatus $135,000 Closed 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Very nice family home right in the city! Walk to school, track/football field, church, shopping. 4 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with full basement including a 1 car garage. Well maintained home many upgrades including roof, siding, furnace w/ central air and windows. Large fenced in yard.
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2022-06-30soldstatus $135,000
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Very nice family home right in the city! Walk to school, track/football field, church, shopping. 4 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with full basement including a 1 car garage. Well maintained home many upgrades including roof, siding, furnace w/ central air and windows. Large fenced in yard.
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2022-05-11historical Accepting Backup Offers 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Very nice family home right in the city! Walk to school, track/football field, church, shopping. 4 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with full basement including a 1 car garage. Well maintained home many upgrades including roof, siding, furnace w/ central air and windows. Large fenced in yard.
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2022-04-21$142,500 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Very nice family home right in the city! Walk to school, track/football field, church, shopping. 4 bedroom, 2 bath ranch with full basement including a 1 car garage. Well maintained home many upgrades including roof, siding, furnace w/ central air and windows. Large fenced in yard.
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2020-06-25soldstatus $50,000
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2008-09-27historical
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2006-09-27$84,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,156 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,195 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,156
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$2,916
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$700
- After-tax cash flow
- $267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617820
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,377
- Composite
- 18.07/100
- National rank
- #8977
- State rank
- #457 of 540 in MI
Livability — Harrison
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #13368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrison, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,939
Population outlook (Clare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,283 people
- By 2030
- 28,199 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 25,722 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 23,372 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 18,569 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 14,320 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clare
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.5% · R 68.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+4.8 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.38%
- Current HPI
- 234.9586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+75.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $149,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $165,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $172,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-19 Listed $177,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-11 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-21 Listed $142,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-27 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,156 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…