1011 W 45th St · Savannah, GA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$177,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This solid brick 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for its next owner. It needs a little TLC, making it a perfect fit for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to build sweat equity. Solid brick construction 3 Bedrooms / 1 Bathroom Great opportunity to add value Ideal for owner-occupants or investors Convenient Savannah location With the right vision, this property could really shine. A great chance to buy, improve, and build equity in today’s market.
Key facts
- 3,136 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 154 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $178k).
- Recommended offer: $156k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 268 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($156k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $178k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.02%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,991
- List price
- $177,500
- Delta
- -0.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 W 44th St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-2%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $83 | 85 |
| 814 W 48th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-10%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $109 | 74 |
| 905 W 41st St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+8%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 808 W 53rd St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (0%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $222 | 72 |
| 2411 Harden St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (-11%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $89 | 68 |
| 821 W 42nd St | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-14%) | 4mo | $227,000 | $225 | 56 |
| 2114 Bulloch St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,036 (-12%) | 4mo | $236,000 | $228 | 54 |
| 601 W 45th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+13%) | 7mo | $344,900 | $261 | 53 |
| 627 W 35th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,301 (+11%) | 7mo | $189,000 | $145 | 46 |
| 1706 Ogeechee Rd | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,293 (+10%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $39 | 45 |
| 106 W 52nd St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+13%) | 8mo | $385,000 | $291 | 37 |
| 316 W 38th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 6mo | $555,000 | $555 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-19,855
- Equity at exit
- $26,466
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-19,657
- Equity at exit
- $15,347
Cash invested: $49,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31405
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$931
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,934/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $274 | +0% $224 | +5% $174 | +10% $124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $151 | +0% $224 | +5% $297 | +10% $370 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $314 | -0.5pp $269 | base $224 | +0.5pp $178 | +1.0pp $131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,375
- Closing costs
- $5,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1003 W 46th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2705 Stevens St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,585 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1005 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 906 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1109 W 41st St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,620 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1026 W 41st St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1011 W 40th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,995 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3302 Bulloch St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 628 W 48th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,699 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 607 W 44th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2221 Harden St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2203 Harden St Unit A Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3212 Burroughs St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2123 Harden St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1024 W 39th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,399 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 714 W 38th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1014 W 53rd St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,600 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit B303 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 879 | $3,472 | $3.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 620 W 38th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 909 W 36th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 310 W 42nd St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 601 W 37th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2604 Jefferson St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 316 W 40th St Unit D Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 316 W 40th St Unit E Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 620 W 36th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,650 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1019 W 35th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,199 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 211 W 40th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 315 W 38th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 119 W 52nd St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 601 W 54th St Savannah, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,633 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 213 W 39th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3708 Montgomery St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,400 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 513 W 35th St Unit A LOWER Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 513 W 35th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,450 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3211 Bull St Unit A Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,975 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 12 W 51st St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $2,500 | $2.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 201 W 37th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,595 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $177,500 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $177,500 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $177,500 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $177,500 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $177,500 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $177,500 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $177,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $177,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $177,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $177,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $177,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $177,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $177,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $177,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $177,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $177,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-02-16price $177,500 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
This solid brick 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for its next owner. It needs a little TLC, making it a perfect fit for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to build sweat equity. Solid brick construction 3 Bedrooms / 1 Bathroom Great opportunity to add value Ideal for owner-occupants or investors Convenient Savannah location With the right vision, this property could really shine. A great chance to buy, improve, and build equity in today’s market.
-
2026-02-06price $179,000 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
This solid brick 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for its next owner. It needs a little TLC, making it a perfect fit for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to build sweat equity. Solid brick construction 3 Bedrooms / 1 Bathroom Great opportunity to add value Ideal for owner-occupants or investors Convenient Savannah location With the right vision, this property could really shine. A great chance to buy, improve, and build equity in today’s market.
-
2026-01-15$185,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
This solid brick 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for its next owner. It needs a little TLC, making it a perfect fit for a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking to build sweat equity. Solid brick construction 3 Bedrooms / 1 Bathroom Great opportunity to add value Ideal for owner-occupants or investors Convenient Savannah location With the right vision, this property could really shine. A great chance to buy, improve, and build equity in today’s market.
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-03-09$214,000
-
2024-12-31historical
-
2024-06-12$219,000
-
2006-07-03soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,934 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,934 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,126
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,943
- − Property taxes
- −$1,934
- − Insurance
- −$1,685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$5,164
- Taxable loss
- −$140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,724/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Chatham County · 271,602 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,764
- Household income
- $65,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.33%
- Current HPI
- 307.4442
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+153.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $177,500 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $179,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $185,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-03-09 Listed $214,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-06-12 Listed $219,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,934 · +46.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…