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8670 W Lynchburg Salem
A- Composite 81.24
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$75,000

8670 W Lynchburg Salem · Montvale, VA 24174
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily · 229 Days on market
Built 1940 Fair condition 1.22 ac lot ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover several incredible opportunities with this charming property—whether you're a first-time homeowner, a fixer-upper enthusiast, or looking to build or add a trailer while still living onsite. Enjoy breathtaking mountain views and a prime location just off 460 for convenient access. While it just needs some TLC to personalize, it already features hardwood floors throughout, electricity connected, and internet available. Don't miss this fantastic chance to make it your own!

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • Internet available
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSPRIME LOCATIONHARDWOOD FLOORSELECTRICITY CONNECTEDINTERNET AVAILABLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing price shown separately (financial details excluded)

Exterior

  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1940
  • Construction: Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; 1.22-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Wood furnace heating
  • Interior features: Wood doors; Vinyl and wood flooring; Crawl space basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#225 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Otter River Elementary (math 64% / reading 74%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 198 students, 39% FRL); Liberty Middle (math 49% / reading 67%, grade B, #174 of 342 statewide, top 51%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 30% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.74%
Cap rate
23.97%
Cash-on-cash
63.13%
DSCR
3.81
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.9%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$111,242
Equity at exit
$67,566
10-year hold
IRR
68.9%
Equity multiple
13.97×
Total profit
$272,318
Equity at exit
$145,709

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24174

Home prices YoY
24.9%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,055 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$1,105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $75,000 Active 229 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 228 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 227 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 226 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 225 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 223 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 222 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 220 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 219 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    price $75,000 Active 218 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 218 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 214 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    remarks 483-char remark
  15. 2026-06-03
    listed $80,000 Active 213 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,655
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,972
− Management
−$1,972
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$12,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,078
After-tax cash flow
$10,179/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and exterior painting, to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant wear and potential leaks.
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling paint and discoloration.
  • Major flooring — Visible wear and tear.
  • Major interior walls — Signs of wear and potential water damage.
  • Major HVAC system — Old and may need replacement or repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition.
  • Resale Exterior painting — Fresh paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant wear and potential leaks. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling paint and discoloration. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Visible wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Signs of wear and potential water damage. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · Old and may need replacement or repair. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New roof — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and overall condition.
  • Resale Exterior painting — Fresh paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its resale value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100360
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,288
Composite
54.92/100
National rank
#1310
State rank
#41 of 131 in VA

Livability — Montvale

Score
70/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#7450

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,335

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,194 people
By 2030
85,499 · +2.8%
By 2040
88,834 · +6.8%
By 2050
90,060 · +8.3%
By 2075
94,131 · +13.1%
By 2100
89,832 · +8.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% German 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Vietnamese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 61.56%
Current HPI
308.8944
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted MLSRV
  • 2026-05-02 Pending MLSRV
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $80,000 MLSRV
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $85,000 MLSRV
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $95,000 MLSRV
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $100,000 MLSRV

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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