125 SW 8th Pl · Cape Coral, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +0.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$227,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BANK FORECLOSURE !! 3 bedroom 2 bath, 2 car garage. Formal dining room and formal living room. . Attractive floor plan, under truss lanai. Great location.
Key facts
- Built 2005
- Listed 36 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 2005; Single-family residence (2006 living area reported)
- Construction: Built in 2005
- Exterior features: Located in the Mariner subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $227k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $227k).
- Recommended offer: $220k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.1% in Cape Coral — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#208 in FL, #3,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-8.6%/yr); 686 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $163k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.84%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $397,188
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 SW 10th Pl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,993 (-1%) | 12mo | $268,000 | $134 | 77 |
| 813 NW 1st Ter | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,020 (+1%) | 5mo | $399,999 | $198 | 66 |
| 927 SW Embers Ter | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,809 (-10%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $152 | 63 |
| 6 NW 13th Pl | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,009 (+0%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $189 | 62 |
| 1402 SW 4th Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (+0%) | 10mo | $445,000 | $221 | 57 |
| 1214 Embers W | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 | 1,868 (-7%) | 8mo | $565,000 | $302 | 51 |
| 506 NW 1st Ter | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 2,210 (+10%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $113 | 51 |
| 1200 SW 1st St | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,197 (+10%) | 2mo | $670,000 | $305 | 50 |
| 1035 Embers Pkwy W | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,249 (+12%) | 5mo | $718,000 | $319 | 48 |
| 805 NW 2nd St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,829 (-9%) | 11mo | $369,990 | $202 | 48 |
| 916 NW 1st St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,246 (+12%) | 18mo | $349,900 | $156 | 43 |
| 1110 SW 1st St | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,192 (+9%) | 16mo | $429,000 | $196 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-27,403
- Equity at exit
- $33,846
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-29,638
- Equity at exit
- $19,627
Cash invested: $63,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33991
- Home prices YoY
- -27.8%
- Rents YoY
- -8.6%
- Active inventory
- 686
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $385 | -5% $320 | +0% $256 | +5% $192 | +10% $128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $162 | +0% $256 | +5% $351 | +10% $445 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $314 | base $256 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,750
- Closing costs
- $6,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526 NW 1st Ln Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 749 SW 5th Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,065 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 713 SW 4th Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $2,085 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1214 SW Embers Ter Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 114 NW 13th Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1400 SW 1st Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 433 SW 6th St Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2437 | $2,225 | $0.91 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 221 NW 3rd Pl Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2204 | $2,600 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 417 Coral Reef Pl Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $2,200 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 421 Coral Reef Pl Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2794 | $3,000 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 633 SW 9th Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1720 | $2,191 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 376 Penley Lake Cir Cape Coral, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $2,874 | $2.40 | 2d | 87 | 0.87mi |
| 509 SW 11th Ave Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,075 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 818 SW 8th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,399 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 701 SW 9th Ave Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $2,150 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 224 NW 2nd Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,750 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 204 NW 1st St Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1826 | $2,300 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 227 NW 3rd Ter Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,300 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 118 NW 2nd Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1932 | $3,600 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 409 SW 8th St Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2108 | $3,500 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 503 SW 11th Ct Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2211 | $2,800 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 817 SW 9th Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,880 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 806 SW 9th Ct Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2364 | $2,450 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 222 NW 4th Ter Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $2,450 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 810 SW 10th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 159 SE Santa Barbara Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,250 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 815 SW 11th Ct Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $3,450 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 815 SW 11th Ct Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2010 | $3,450 | $1.72 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 623 Parkshore Lake Ave Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 623 Parkshore Lake Ave Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1501 NW 4th St Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $3,800 | $2.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 213 NW 5th St Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $2,195 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 142 SE 1st Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 134 SE 1st Ave Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,331 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 114 SE 3rd St Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1747 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 30 SE 1st Pl Unit 3013 Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2020 | $2,300 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 305 NW 16th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1446 | $2,095 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 507 NW 1st Ave Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1695 | $2,395 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1201 SW 8th Pl Cape Coral, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $3,000 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 710 SW 12th St Cape Coral, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $1,716 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $227,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $227,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $227,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $227,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $227,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $227,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $227,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $227,000
-
2026-05-12$127,000 Active
-
2016-03-01price $122,500 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
BANK FORECLOSURE !! 3 bedroom 2 bath, 2 car garage. Formal dining room and formal living room. . Attractive floor plan, under truss lanai. Great location.
-
2014-01-29soldstatus $163,000
-
2014-01-24soldstatus $163,000 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Great Location. .. 3/2/2 home is close to Pine Island Corridor. It has been well cared for with nice curb appeal. You will find it has an inviting entry way w/ den & formal dining room. There is an open kitchen w/ large pantry and room for a breakfast nook. You'll love the size of the family room. Outstanding master & guest bedroom sizes. The master has a walk in shower & garden tub. There is tile throughout & carpet in bedrooms. This home is perfect for a growing family. Take a look today. Buyers are responsible for assuming any future assessments.
-
2014-01-24price $167,900 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Great Location. .. 3/2/2 home is close to Pine Island Corridor. It has been well cared for with nice curb appeal. You will find it has an inviting entry way w/ den & formal dining room. There is an open kitchen w/ large pantry and room for a breakfast nook. You'll love the size of the family room. Outstanding master & guest bedroom sizes. The master has a walk in shower & garden tub. There is tile throughout & carpet in bedrooms. This home is perfect for a growing family. Take a look today. Buyers are responsible for assuming any future assessments.
-
2008-04-07soldstatus $125,000 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
BANK FORECLOSURE !! 3 bedroom 2 bath, 2 car garage. Formal dining room and formal living room. . Attractive floor plan, under truss lanai. Great location.
-
2005-10-18soldstatus $249,000
-
2004-04-08soldstatus $22,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,185 · $349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,185 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,716
- − Property taxes
- −$4,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,135
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,297
- − Management
- −$2,297
- − Depreciation
- −$6,604
- Taxable loss
- −$525
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$126
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Cape Coral
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #3098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cape Coral, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 217,388
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,725
- Household income
- $84,470
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 760.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 281.0735
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -8.55%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+908.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $227,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $127,000 FSBO.com
- 2016-03-01 Price Changed $122,500 FORTMLS
- 2014-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-24 Price Changed $167,900 FORTMLS
- 2014-01-24 Sold (MLS) $163,000 FORTMLS
- 2008-04-07 Sold (MLS) $125,000 FORTMLS
- 2005-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,185 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…