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1315 E St 5-Plex
C- Composite 52.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$625,000

1315 E St · Marysville, CA 95901
6 bd · 5.0 ba · 3,507 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1925 10,019 sqft lot Est $547k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Excellent opportunity to acquire a fully occupied 5-unit multifamily property in Marysville. The property consists of three 2-bedroom, 1-bath units and two 1-bedroom, 1-bath units, providing a desirable mix of unit types for a broad tenant base. Current gross scheduled rental income is $5,275 per month or $63,300 annually. The property features separate gas and electric meters, helping minimize owner-paid utility expenses. Recent capital improvements include a newer composition roof and dual-pane windows, reducing future maintenance concerns and improving overall efficiency. Situated on a generous 0.23-acre lot, the property offers ample outdoor space along with a detached garage/storage bu

Key facts

  • Dual-pane windows
  • 0.23-acre lot
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

NEWER COMPOSITION ROOFDUAL-PANE WINDOWS0.23-ACRE LOTNEAR DOWNTOWN MARYSVILLE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer; Separate meters for common area, electricity, and gas
  • Home design: Residential income property (apartments); Five-or-more unit building; Built in 1925; Two stories
  • Construction: Composition roof; Originally built in 1925
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Regular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Five total units: three 2-bedroom units and two 1-bedroom units; Unit breakdown — Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 1 bedroom; Unit 3: 2 bedrooms; Unit 4: 1 bedroom (other unit included in totals)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each listed unit includes one full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Dual-pane full windows; Balcony/Deck; Varies by unit for some features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry arrangements vary by unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×2bd/1.0ba + 2×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $625k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $311/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $625k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.7% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#293 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Marysville Joint Unified (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #455 of 517 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 750 units permitted in Yuba County in 2024 (41 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,642/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1190% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yuba County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $625,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.28%
Cash-on-cash
10.65%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$547,092
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
804 H St 0.49mi 6/5.0 3,068 (-12%) 2mo $480,000 $156 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-10,095
Equity at exit
$93,190
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$87,494
Equity at exit
$54,039

Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95901

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
38.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,642 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,278
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,870/yr
Insurance
$260
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,395
Net cashflow
$1,553

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,676
Max offer price $625,000
Occupancy floor 72%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $6,642

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$156,250
Closing costs
$18,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $625,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $625,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $625,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $625,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $625,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $625,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $625,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,870 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,750 · $396/mo
Expected delta
+$2,880/yr (+$240/mo · 154.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$79,704
− Mortgage interest
−$35,010
− Property taxes
−$1,870
− Insurance
−$3,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,376
− Management
−$6,376
− Depreciation
−$18,182
Taxable income
$8,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,104
After-tax cash flow
$16,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marysville Joint Unified
NCES district ID
0624090
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,598
Composite
18.18/100
National rank
#8961
State rank
#455 of 517 in CA

Livability — Marysville

Score
68/100
State rank
#293
US rank
#9846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marysville, CA
County
Yuba County · 71,731 people
City population
37,732
Metro
Yuba City, CA
Population (ZIP)
37,732
Household income
$69,776
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
1190.0

Population outlook (Yuba County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,432 people
By 2030
75,358 · -0.1%
By 2040
74,643 · -1.0%
By 2050
72,937 · -3.3%
By 2075
66,368 · -12.0%
By 2100
54,524 · -27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 17% Asian 9% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yuba

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.8) · D 35.7% · R 61.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -25.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.8 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -268.01%
Current HPI
203.7684
Rent YoY
▲ 1.87%
Metro
Yuba City, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,870 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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