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1070 Villa Dr Unit D201
C Composite 57.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

1070 Villa Dr Unit D201 · Port LaBelle, FL 33935
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 758 sqft · Condo public records · 710 Days on market
Built 1981 $165/sqft · 16% below area Est $149k · 16% under $305/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1/1 condo with nice porch, sold "as is", great lay-out but needs some TLC. Quiet neighborhood with river nearby

Key facts

  • Quiet neighborhood
  • River nearby
  • $305 HOA

Tags

QUIET NEIGHBORHOODRIVER NEARBY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-425/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (5.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Glades (town): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #63 of 73 in FL (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 942 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Glades County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Glades County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 710 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $125k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 710 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.21%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,007
List price
$125,000
Delta
-16.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$66,032
Equity at exit
$112,610
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
6.62×
Total profit
$196,640
Equity at exit
$242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33935

Home prices YoY
16.3%
Active inventory
942
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,432 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,851/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$305
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477
Max offer price $118,749
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $35 -5% $0 +0% $-35 +5% $-71 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-92 +0% $-35 +5% $21 +10% $78
Rate -1.0pp $28 -0.5pp $-4 base $-35 +0.5pp $-68 +1.0pp $-101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$305 · $3,660/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 710 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 709 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 708 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 707 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 706 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 704 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 703 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 700 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 699 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 698 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 697 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 694 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 693 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 692 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 691 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 690 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $125,000 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    1/1 condo with nice porch, sold "as is", great lay-out but needs some TLC. Quiet neighborhood with river nearby

  18. 2025-12-15
    price $135,900 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    1/1 condo with nice porch, sold "as is", great lay-out but needs some TLC. Quiet neighborhood with river nearby

  19. 2025-07-21
    price $137,500 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    1/1 condo with nice porch, sold "as is", great lay-out but needs some TLC. Quiet neighborhood with river nearby

  20. 2024-07-09
    listed $145,000 Active 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    1/1 condo with nice porch, sold "as is", great lay-out but needs some TLC. Quiet neighborhood with river nearby

  21. 2004-02-19
    soldstatus $59,000
  22. 2000-04-19
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,851 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,851 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,186
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,851
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,375
− Management
−$1,375
− HOA
−$3,660
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,337
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$561
After-tax cash flow
$136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glades
NCES district ID
1200660
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,758
Composite
32.81/100
National rank
#5622
State rank
#63 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port LaBelle

Score
62/100
State rank
#750
US rank
#16264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port LaBelle, FL
County
Hendry County · 23,186 people
Metro
Clewiston, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,186
Household income
$57,009
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
498.0

Population outlook (Glades County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,901 people
By 2030
15,463 · +3.8%
By 2040
16,341 · +9.7%
By 2050
17,158 · +15.1%
By 2075
18,881 · +26.7%
By 2100
19,164 · +28.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 39% Two or more races 21% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Glades

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.3) · D 23.1% · R 76.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -53.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.3 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+16.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 75.20%
Current HPI
537.4928
Rent YoY
Metro
Clewiston, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $125,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $135,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Price Changed $137,500 FORTMLS
  • 2024-07-09 Listed $145,000 FORTMLS
  • 2004-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2000-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,851 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…