4250 Nevada Ave · Trotwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming and spacious ranch in Trotwood offers the perfect opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths across over 1,200 square feet, this home provides an open and inviting floor plan that is ideal for both daily life and entertaining. The interior is highlighted by a large living area and a functional kitchen that serves as the heart of the home. Built on a solid slab foundation, this residence offers true one-floor living with no stairs and no basement or crawl space to maintain. The exterior boasts a generous 7,488-square-foot lot with 70 feet of frontage, providing plenty of curb appeal and room for outdoor activities. Situated in a quiet, established residential neighborhood, this property is conveniently located near local schools, parks, and major shopping corridors, with quick access to highway routes for an easy commute to downtown Dayton. Whether you are looking for a move-in-ready starter home or a solid addition to your rental portfolio, this well-located property is a fantastic value in the 45416 area.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Open floor plan
- Large living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $110k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.66%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $103,857
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 5.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4351 Redonda Ln | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 5mo | $54,500 | $47 | 79 |
| 3925 Haney Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+5%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $107 | 64 |
| 4477 Gatewood Pl | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,032 (-15%) | 1mo | $144,897 | $140 | 62 |
| 2521 Arlene Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-3%) | 4mo | $100,500 | $85 | 60 |
| 4354 Free Pike | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 3mo | $82,500 | $79 | 56 |
| 3462 Arlene Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 4616 Channing Ln | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,343 (+11%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 4534 N Fairgreen Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+13%) | 1mo | $198,900 | $145 | 50 |
| 4856 Shadwell Dr | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,339 (+10%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $116 | 50 |
| 4867 Glencross Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-10%) | 1mo | $172,000 | $158 | 47 |
| 4293 Thompson Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 2mo | $58,850 | $56 | 47 |
| 2413 Archwood Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,377 (+13%) | 1mo | $100,100 | $73 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,646
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $15,107
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45416
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,609/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $284 | -5% $253 | +0% $222 | +5% $191 | +10% $160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $173 | +0% $222 | +5% $271 | +10% $320 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $250 | base $222 | +0.5pp $194 | +1.0pp $165 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4132 Natchez Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 991 | $1,250 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4527 Channing Ln Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,600 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3711 Pittsburg Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3858 Haney Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4425 Thompson Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4003 Whitestone Ct Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4161 Mapleleaf Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5112 W Hillcrest Ave Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $700 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2408 Falmouth Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $950 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2609 Fairport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2002 Val Vista Ct Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4446 Waymire Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2014 Hickorydale Dr Unit 2016 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4629 Queens Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5200 Greencroft Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3031 Garvin Rd Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4303 Drowfield Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18price $109,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $119,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-14price $124,900 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
This charming and spacious ranch in Trotwood offers the perfect opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths across over 1,200 square feet, this home provides an open and inviting floor plan that is ideal for both daily life and entertaining. The interior is highlighted by a large living area and a functional kitchen that serves as the heart of the home. Built on a solid slab foundation, this residence offers true one-floor living with no stairs and no basement or crawl space to maintain. The exterior boasts a generous 7,488-square-foot lot with 70 feet of frontage, providing plenty of curb appeal and room for outdoor activities. Situated in a quiet, established residential neighborhood, this property is conveniently located near local schools, parks, and major shopping corridors, with quick access to highway routes for an easy commute to downtown Dayton. Whether you are looking for a move-in-ready starter home or a solid addition to your rental portfolio, this well-located property is a fantastic value in the 45416 area.
-
2026-05-01price $129,900 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
This charming and spacious ranch in Trotwood offers the perfect opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths across over 1,200 square feet, this home provides an open and inviting floor plan that is ideal for both daily life and entertaining. The interior is highlighted by a large living area and a functional kitchen that serves as the heart of the home. Built on a solid slab foundation, this residence offers true one-floor living with no stairs and no basement or crawl space to maintain. The exterior boasts a generous 7,488-square-foot lot with 70 feet of frontage, providing plenty of curb appeal and room for outdoor activities. Situated in a quiet, established residential neighborhood, this property is conveniently located near local schools, parks, and major shopping corridors, with quick access to highway routes for an easy commute to downtown Dayton. Whether you are looking for a move-in-ready starter home or a solid addition to your rental portfolio, this well-located property is a fantastic value in the 45416 area.
-
2026-04-10$134,900 Active 1080-char remark
Show marketing remark (1080 chars)
This charming and spacious ranch in Trotwood offers the perfect opportunity for comfortable, low-maintenance living. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths across over 1,200 square feet, this home provides an open and inviting floor plan that is ideal for both daily life and entertaining. The interior is highlighted by a large living area and a functional kitchen that serves as the heart of the home. Built on a solid slab foundation, this residence offers true one-floor living with no stairs and no basement or crawl space to maintain. The exterior boasts a generous 7,488-square-foot lot with 70 feet of frontage, providing plenty of curb appeal and room for outdoor activities. Situated in a quiet, established residential neighborhood, this property is conveniently located near local schools, parks, and major shopping corridors, with quick access to highway routes for an easy commute to downtown Dayton. Whether you are looking for a move-in-ready starter home or a solid addition to your rental portfolio, this well-located property is a fantastic value in the 45416 area.
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2019-05-03soldstatus $48,000
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2019-03-15soldstatus $48,000 Sold 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, 2 car attached, Brick Ranch with large eat-in kitchen that opens up to the family/theatre room, many updates and has a ton of potential put your finishing touch on it!
-
2019-03-15soldstatus $48,000 Closed 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, 2 car attached, Brick Ranch with large eat-in kitchen that opens up to the family/theatre room, many updates and has a ton of potential put your finishing touch on it!
-
2019-03-04historical Active/Pending 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, 2 car attached, Brick Ranch with large eat-in kitchen that opens up to the family/theatre room, many updates and has a ton of potential put your finishing touch on it!
-
2019-02-28$54,900 Active 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath, 2 car attached, Brick Ranch with large eat-in kitchen that opens up to the family/theatre room, many updates and has a ton of potential put your finishing touch on it!
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2017-08-31historical
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2017-07-05price $59,900
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2016-12-03price $63,000
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2016-06-28$67,900 Active
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2016-06-27historical
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2016-06-06$68,000 Active
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2006-09-21soldstatus $79,250
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2006-08-29soldstatus $79,900
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2005-01-21soldstatus $75,900
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1995-03-29soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,609 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,662 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 3.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,609
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $971
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Trotwood
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #20073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trotwood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 19,754
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,640
- Household income
- $46,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 18% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.27%
- Current HPI
- 173.5938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+171.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $124,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $129,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $134,900 Dayton MLS
- 2019-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-15 Sold (MLS) $48,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-03-15 Sold (MLS) $48,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-03-04 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2019-02-28 Listed $54,900 Dayton MLS
- 2017-08-31 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2017-07-05 Price Changed $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2016-12-03 Price Changed $63,000 Dayton MLS
- 2016-06-28 Listed $67,900 Dayton MLS
- 2016-06-27 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2016-06-06 Listed $68,000 Dayton MLS
- 2006-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $79,250 Public Records
- 2006-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
- 1995-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,609 · +26.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…