1321 Cr 130 · Appleby, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$102,375
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on a spacious 2.36-acre lot, this double-wide mobile home offers a prime opportunity for investors or those looking to customize their dream home. With three bedrooms and two bathrooms, this home is ready for a fresh start. Situated in a quiet area, it provides plenty of room for outdoor activities or expansion. Don't miss this foreclosure opportunity to create value—schedule a viewing today!
Key facts
- 2.36 acre lot
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on 2.36 acres
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($851/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $102k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#882 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Garrison ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #233 of 826 in TX (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Nacogdoches County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($708 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.97%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $28,529
- Equity at exit
- $58,408
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $82,269
- Equity at exit
- $101,132
Cash invested: $28,665 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75946
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$537
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,089/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,594
- Closing costs
- $3,071
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 403-char remark
-
2026-06-17$102,375 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,089 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,089 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,735
- − Property taxes
- −$2,089
- − Insurance
- −$512
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$2,978
- Taxable loss
- −$793
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garrison ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820400
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,414
- Composite
- 40.09/100
- National rank
- #3808
- State rank
- #233 of 826 in TX
Livability — Appleby
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #882
- US rank
- #15908
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,536
Population outlook (Nacogdoches County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,553 people
- By 2030
- 66,920 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 66,833 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 66,462 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 65,710 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 62,321 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Nacogdoches
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.2% · R 69.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -38.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.8 2020: R+31.3 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+36.2 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Current HPI
- 169.019
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — Deep East Texas MLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $102,375 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2022-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,089 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…