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2822 SE Briar Hill Ln SE
B- Composite 67.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

2822 SE Briar Hill Ln SE · Conyers, GA 30013
None bd · None ba · — sqft · Other · 143 Days on market
Built 1984 0.39 ac lot ↓ 53% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very clean building! Ready for your design and special touch. Can easily be converted into 1-3 bedrooms. One-car garage. Spacious upstairs loft. Level, wooded backyard.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1984

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a other listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 4.4% in Conyers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#167 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities D.
  • Rockdale County (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #136 of 174 in GA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 377 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 483 units permitted in Rockdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockdale County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
18.52%
Cash-on-cash
43.65%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$300,161
List price
$69,000
Delta
-77.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$29,132
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
4.41×
Total profit
$65,823
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30013

Home prices YoY
-29.5%
Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
377
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,532 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $642
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $742 -5% $722 +0% $703 +5% $683 +10% $664
Rent -10% $582 -5% $642 +0% $703 +5% $763 +10% $824
Rate -1.0pp $738 -0.5pp $720 base $703 +0.5pp $685 +1.0pp $667

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2206 Country Club Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1723 $1,950 $1.13 25d 1 0.18mi
2644 Fieldstone View Ln SE Unit B Conyers, GA 2.0 2.0 1296 $1,350 $1.04 20d 1 0.23mi
2644 Fieldstone View Ln SE Unit C Conyers, GA 2.0 1.5 1296 $1,350 $1.04 45d 1 0.23mi
2644 Fieldstone View Ln SE Apt A Conyers, GA 2.0 2.0 1296 $1,450 $1.12 45d 1 0.23mi
2638 Fieldstone View Ln SE Unit D Conyers, GA 2.0 2.0 $1,195 25d 1 0.27mi
2784 Coventry Grn SE Unit c Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1305 $1,595 $1.22 0d 1 0.28mi
2783 Coventry Grn SE Unit b Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,575 $1.19 0d 1 0.28mi
2782 Country Ct SE Unit B Conyers, GA 2.0 2.5 1218 $1,340 $1.10 0d 1 0.28mi
2782 Country Ct SE Unit B Conyers, GA 2.0 2.5 1218 $1,340 $1.10 25d 1 0.28mi
2785 Country Ct SE Unit c Conyers, GA 1.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 6d 1 0.29mi
2120 Fieldstone View Ct SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,700 $1.06 25d 1 0.34mi
2130 Fieldstone View Ct SE Unit B Conyers, GA 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,325 $1.00 45d 1 0.34mi
2136 Golfview Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 45d 1 0.42mi
2611 Golfview Ter SE Unit 2611 Conyers, GA 3.0 1.5 $1,250 23d 1 0.43mi
219 Beam Dr Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1879 $2,212 $1.18 45d 1 0.47mi
267 Limestone Cir Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1770 $1,295 $0.73 25d 1 0.47mi
267 Limestone Cir Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1770 $1,500 $0.85 23d 1 0.47mi
2591 Golfview Ter SE Conyers, GA 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,700 $1.14 45d 1 0.51mi
2387 Country Club Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,545 $0.91 0d 1 0.52mi
2112 Fairway Ct SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,725 $1.50 6d 1 0.60mi
30 Gross Lake Pkwy Covington, GA 2.0 2.0 1119 $1,599 $1.43 45d 1 0.60mi
30 Gross Lake Pkwy Covington, GA 2.0 2.0 1119 $1,619 $1.45 25d 1 0.60mi
50 Salem Chase Way Conyers, GA 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1019 $1,362 $1.34 6d 2 0.60mi
50 Greenleaf Rd Conyers, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 970 $1,482 $1.53 3d 29 0.62mi
125 Lakeview Trl Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1548 $1,495 $0.97 45d 1 0.67mi
15 Lakeside Cir Covington, GA 2.0 2.5 1222 $1,575 $1.29 45d 1 0.70mi
3080 Lakeside Cir Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1508 $1,681 $1.11 0d 1 0.74mi
130 Avondale Blvd SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1770 $2,049 $1.16 45d 1 0.77mi
145 Meadowridge Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1708 $1,790 $1.05 3d 1 0.80mi
155 Meadowridge Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.5 1300 $1,615 $1.24 6d 1 0.81mi
175 Meadowridge Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1508 $1,719 $1.14 4d 1 0.82mi
50 Loch Haven Dr SE Conyers, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1146 $1,578 $1.38 3d 88 0.83mi
215 Colser Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.5 1549 $2,175 $1.40 5d 1 0.87mi
269 Limestone Cir Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,100 $0.73 18d 1 0.88mi
2876 Fieldstone Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 2205 $1,706 $0.77 25d 1 0.89mi
345 Lakeside Cir Covington, GA 3.0 2.5 1410 $1,526 $1.08 0d 1 0.91mi
127 Avondale Blvd Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 2277 $2,150 $0.94 6d 1 0.92mi
100 Salem Glen Way Conyers, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1101 $1,350 $1.23 3d 7 0.94mi
305 Barshay Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.5 1660 $1,785 $1.08 0d 1 0.95mi
625 Lakeside Cir Covington, GA 3.0 2.5 $1,850 45d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $69,000 Under Contract 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 143 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 142 DOM
  4. 2026-05-14
    price $69,000 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Very clean building! Ready for your design and special touch. Can easily be converted into 1-3 bedrooms. One-car garage. Spacious upstairs loft. Level, wooded backyard.

  5. 2026-01-08
    listed $74,990 New 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    Very clean building! Ready for your design and special touch. Can easily be converted into 1-3 bedrooms. One-car garage. Spacious upstairs loft. Level, wooded backyard.

  6. 2025-03-18
    soldstatus $52,000 Closed 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  7. 2025-03-18
    soldstatus $52,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  8. 2025-03-04
    status Under Contract
  9. 2025-03-03
    status Pending 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  10. 2025-03-01
    status Back On Market
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  11. 2025-03-01
    status Active 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  12. 2025-02-28
    status Pending 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  13. 2025-02-27
    status Under Contract
  14. 2025-02-20
    listed $49,999 Active 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  15. 2025-02-20
    listed $49,999 New
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    **Perfect for Investor to use as storage unit or could easily be turned into 1-2 bedroom unit** Building has one car garage with tons of space and an upstairs loft.

  16. 1997-10-30
    soldstatus $4,232,500
  17. 1997-08-22
    soldstatus $3,274,200
  18. 1987-05-16
    soldstatus $148,000
  19. 1986-05-16
    soldstatus $148,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,385
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,403
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,471
− Management
−$1,471
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$7,822
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,877
After-tax cash flow
$6,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockdale County
NCES district ID
1304410
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,325
Composite
19.42/100
National rank
#8776
State rank
#136 of 174 in GA

Livability — Conyers

Score
67/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#10533

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rockdale County · 96,534 people
City population
96,534
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
28,297
Household income
$74,691
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1197.0

Population outlook (Rockdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,145 people
By 2030
104,558 · +5.5%
By 2040
116,100 · +17.1%
By 2050
127,827 · +28.9%
By 2075
159,113 · +60.5%
By 2100
181,178 · +82.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockdale

2024 margin
Solid D (+47.5) · D 73.4% · R 25.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 47.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+47.5 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.27%
Current HPI
192.1705
Rent YoY
▼ -1.33%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-53.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $69,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $74,990 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Sold (MLS) $52,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Sold (MLS) $52,000 FMLS
  • 2025-03-04 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-03-03 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-02-27 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-02-20 Listed $49,999 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-20 Listed $49,999 FMLS
  • 1997-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $4,232,500 Public Records
  • 1997-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $3,274,200 Public Records
  • 1987-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
  • 1986-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,403 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…