16011 Hidden Acres Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bear Creek Village OPEN CONCEPT 3-bedroom patio home with GATED COURTYARD entrance & attached 2-car garage! Features HIGH CEILINGS, flexible SPLIT FLOOR PLAN with 2ND LIVING OR DINING area & atrium off the kitchen, fenced yard, current finishes & fixtures - white cabinetry throughout. UPDATED KITCHEN, white cabinets, STAINLESS STEEL dishwasher. FIREPLACE in the living room. DOUBLE VANITIES, walk-in shower & 2nd CLOSET in the primary bedroom. School, post office, Bear Creek Park nearby. LOCATION convenient to Hwy 6 offers commuter access, STUDENTS ATTEND KATY ISD SCHOOLS!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Updated kitchen
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-200 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (14.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bear Creek El (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 668 students, 84% FRL); Cardiff J H (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 863 students, 84% FRL); Katy H S (math 62% / reading 74%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 3,330 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 27% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Katy ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $239k implies a 234% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.58%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,812
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -4.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15834 Sandy Hill Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,706 (+3%) | 2mo | $264,400 | $155 | 82 |
| 16042 Hidden Acres Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,792 (+8%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $137 | 80 |
| 5031 Whispering Falls Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (-4%) | 1mo | $219,990 | $138 | 69 |
| 16426 Moary Firth Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 16530 Moary Firth Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (+4%) | 1mo | $229,990 | $133 | 63 |
| 15615 Four Leaf Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,823 (+10%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 5043 Whispering Falls Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,791 (+8%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $162 | 57 |
| 16523 Kassikay Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,739 (+5%) | 3mo | $254,999 | $147 | 54 |
| 16519 Gaeldom Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-11%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $170 | 52 |
| 16503 Loch Maree Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,814 (+10%) | 3mo | $244,900 | $135 | 50 |
| 16523 Loch Maree Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,814 (+10%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $127 | 48 |
| 4615 Clydesdale Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,901 (+15%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $126 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.4% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-40,603
- Equity at exit
- $53,178
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-58,386
- Equity at exit
- $52,080
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77084
- Home prices YoY
- -0.6%
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 506
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,960 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$53
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $-200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-64 | -5% $-132 | +0% $-200 | +5% $-267 | +10% $-335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-354 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-200 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-45 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-79 | -0.5pp $-139 | base $-200 | +0.5pp $-261 | +1.0pp $-325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16027 Hidden Acres Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1699 | $1,849 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4614 Cloudmount Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $2,290 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15907 Red Willow Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1744 | $1,920 | $1.10 | 46d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4407 Hickory Grove Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 16327 Dounreay Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $1,779 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 15802 Echo Canyon Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1709 | $1,699 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4719 Hidden Springs Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2131 | $2,465 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16430 Sheffield Run Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2227 | $2,249 | $1.01 | 9d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 15631 Cascade Point Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $1,926 | $1.01 | 7d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 16662 Royal Mile Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,250 | $2.26 | 20d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 16727 Royal Mile Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $1,561 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16803 Royal Mile Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 46d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 15619 Fern Ridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1958 | $2,335 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 17103 Clay Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $1,479 | $1.39 | 46d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 15868 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,810 | $1.62 | 46d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,780 | $1.70 | 9d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,780 | $1.70 | 7d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,805 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,309 | $1.55 | 12d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 525 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,320 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 2112 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,815 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 5787 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,531 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 5767 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,531 | $1.42 | 46d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,643 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,498 | $1.39 | 19d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,608 | $1.49 | 9d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,633 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,608 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5730 Timber Creek Place Dr Unit 5753 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,632 | $1.51 | 12d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,381 | $1.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $2,621 | $2.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 15831 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $1,970 | $1.56 | 46d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6102 Crakston St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 46d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 15903 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,628 | $1.65 | 1d | 33 | 1.38mi |
| 15909 Yorktown Crossing Pkwy Unit 1033 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,427 | $1.25 | 46d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5703 Afton Ridge Ln Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2203 | $1,896 | $0.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $53 · $636/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $239,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $244,000 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Bear Creek Village OPEN CONCEPT 3-bedroom patio home with GATED COURTYARD entrance & attached 2-car garage! Features HIGH CEILINGS, flexible SPLIT FLOOR PLAN with 2ND LIVING OR DINING area & atrium off the kitchen, fenced yard, current finishes & fixtures - white cabinetry throughout. UPDATED KITCHEN, white cabinets, STAINLESS STEEL dishwasher. FIREPLACE in the living room. DOUBLE VANITIES, walk-in shower & 2nd CLOSET in the primary bedroom. School, post office, Bear Creek Park nearby. LOCATION convenient to Hwy 6 offers commuter access, STUDENTS ATTEND KATY ISD SCHOOLS!
-
2025-12-23$249,000 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Bear Creek Village OPEN CONCEPT 3-bedroom patio home with GATED COURTYARD entrance & attached 2-car garage! Features HIGH CEILINGS, flexible SPLIT FLOOR PLAN with 2ND LIVING OR DINING area & atrium off the kitchen, fenced yard, current finishes & fixtures - white cabinetry throughout. UPDATED KITCHEN, white cabinets, STAINLESS STEEL dishwasher. FIREPLACE in the living room. DOUBLE VANITIES, walk-in shower & 2nd CLOSET in the primary bedroom. School, post office, Bear Creek Park nearby. LOCATION convenient to Hwy 6 offers commuter access, STUDENTS ATTEND KATY ISD SCHOOLS!
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2024-10-10historical $1,725
-
2024-09-10$1,725
-
2023-08-04historical $1,725
-
2023-07-29$1,725
-
2009-05-22soldstatus
-
2009-05-20soldstatus 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
AN ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS ONE STORY PATIO HOME CONVENIENT TO IH-10 AND THE BELTWAY PLUS THE OIL CORRIDOR; HEAVILY UPDATED BY THESE OWNERS. YOU'LL FIND PAVER TILE AND STAINED CONCRETE FLOORING, AN ATTACHED TWO CAR GARAGE, REFINISHED KITCHEN CABINETS, GRANITE TILE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS DW AND REF., THREE BR'S IN A SPLIT PLAN (ONE USED AS AN OFFICE BY THESE OWNERS) A TERRIFIC MASTER BATH WITH TONS OF CLOSET SPACE AND STORAGE. ZONED TO THE BRAND NEW CARDIFF JR. HIGH AND RECOGNIZED BEAR CREEK ELEM.
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2009-04-25historical 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
AN ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS ONE STORY PATIO HOME CONVENIENT TO IH-10 AND THE BELTWAY PLUS THE OIL CORRIDOR; HEAVILY UPDATED BY THESE OWNERS. YOU'LL FIND PAVER TILE AND STAINED CONCRETE FLOORING, AN ATTACHED TWO CAR GARAGE, REFINISHED KITCHEN CABINETS, GRANITE TILE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS DW AND REF., THREE BR'S IN A SPLIT PLAN (ONE USED AS AN OFFICE BY THESE OWNERS) A TERRIFIC MASTER BATH WITH TONS OF CLOSET SPACE AND STORAGE. ZONED TO THE BRAND NEW CARDIFF JR. HIGH AND RECOGNIZED BEAR CREEK ELEM.
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2009-01-28$110,000 496-char remark
Show marketing remark (496 chars)
AN ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS ONE STORY PATIO HOME CONVENIENT TO IH-10 AND THE BELTWAY PLUS THE OIL CORRIDOR; HEAVILY UPDATED BY THESE OWNERS. YOU'LL FIND PAVER TILE AND STAINED CONCRETE FLOORING, AN ATTACHED TWO CAR GARAGE, REFINISHED KITCHEN CABINETS, GRANITE TILE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS DW AND REF., THREE BR'S IN A SPLIT PLAN (ONE USED AS AN OFFICE BY THESE OWNERS) A TERRIFIC MASTER BATH WITH TONS OF CLOSET SPACE AND STORAGE. ZONED TO THE BRAND NEW CARDIFF JR. HIGH AND RECOGNIZED BEAR CREEK ELEM.
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2000-01-20soldstatus
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1998-10-08soldstatus
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1998-10-01soldstatus $71,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,100 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,374 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- +$273/yr (+$23/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$4,100
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,881
- − Management
- −$1,881
- − HOA
- −$636
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$6,519
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $-830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 110,217
- Household income
- $80,575
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3257.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 22% White 22% Black 16% Asian 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 38% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.40%
- Current HPI
- 251.8474
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.89%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+241.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $244,000 HARMLS
- 2025-12-23 Listed $249,000 HARMLS
- 2024-10-10 Rental Removed $1,725 HARMLS
- 2024-09-10 Listed for Rent $1,725 HARMLS
- 2023-08-04 Rental Removed $1,725 HARMLS
- 2023-07-29 Listed for Rent $1,725 HARMLS
- 2009-05-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-05-20 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2009-04-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-01-28 Listed $110,000 HARMLS
- 2000-01-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,100 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…