🏷️ Likely Rental
949 Terrace Ave · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$6,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR SPECIAL
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One level; Living area reported as 1,881 (assessor)
- Construction: Siding exterior; Slab foundation; Year built reported from public records
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Lot of about 0.32 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Cooling: see remarks
- Interior features: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $6k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $6k).
- Recommended offer: $6k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 213.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lake Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 248 students, 100% FRL); Provine High School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 774 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $641 of equity ($41 loan paydown + $600 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 22.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 213.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 738.44%
- DSCR
- 33.86
- GRM
- 0.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,943
- List price
- $6,000
- Delta
- -91.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2910 Robinson | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,743 (+1%) | 16mo | $104,999 | $60 | 74 |
| 3328 Santa Rosa St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-1%) | 13mo | $85,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 962 West Ridge Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (-9%) | 23mo | $80,000 | $51 | 51 |
| 1053 Ellis Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-14%) | 13mo | $53,000 | $36 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 42.15×
- Total profit
- $69,132
- Equity at exit
- $5,405
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 91.38×
- Total profit
- $151,845
- Equity at exit
- $11,657
Cash invested: $1,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39209
- Home prices YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 0.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,361 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$31
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$8 /mo · $90/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $1,034
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,500
- Closing costs
- $180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3856 Noble St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,231 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 264 Sewanee Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $995 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4539 Ritchey Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 309 S Denver St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $6,000 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $6,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $6,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $6,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $6,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $6,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $6,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $6,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $6,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $6,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $6,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $6,000 16-char remark
-
2026-04-30$12,599 Active 16-char remark
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2025-09-08$13,900 Active
-
2025-09-03status Active
-
2025-09-01status Pending
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2025-08-26price $14,000
-
2025-08-06status Active
-
2025-07-17status Pending
-
2025-07-14$15,000 Active
-
2025-06-06price $18,900
-
2025-04-28status Active
-
2025-04-22status Pending
-
2025-04-22historical
-
2025-03-25status Active
-
2025-03-21historical
-
2025-03-13price $20,000
-
2025-01-24$24,000 Active
-
2024-04-09soldstatus
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2011-06-29$12,000
-
2011-02-16historical
-
2010-07-22$12,000
-
2006-05-02historical
-
2005-01-12soldstatus
-
2004-11-29soldstatus
-
2004-11-23soldstatus
-
2004-09-01$37,900
-
2001-04-12soldstatus
-
2000-06-09$39,000
-
1990-06-22soldstatus
-
1987-02-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$336
- − Property taxes
- −$90
- − Insurance
- −$30
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$175
- Taxable income
- $13,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,141
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,776
- Household income
- $36,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1627.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 22.28%
- Current HPI
- 312.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-84.6% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $6,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-30 Listed $12,599 MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-08 Listed $13,900 MLSU
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-09-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $14,000 MLSU
- 2025-08-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-07-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-07-14 Listed $15,000 MLSU
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $18,900 MLSU
- 2025-04-28 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-04-22 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-03-25 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-03-21 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $20,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-24 Listed $24,000 MLSU
- 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2011-06-29 Listed $12,000 MLSU
- 2011-02-16 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2010-07-22 Listed $12,000 MLSU
- 2006-05-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-11-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2004-11-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-09-01 Listed $37,900 MLSU
- 2001-04-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-06-09 Listed $39,000 MLSU
- 1990-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $738 · -55.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…