3 Old Orchard Road Site 15A Plan · Old Orchard Beach, ME
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
Key facts
- Listed 850 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.1% in Old Orchard Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- RSU 23 (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #87 of 112 in ME (top 78%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 850 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 850 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.58%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $46,151
- List price
- $114,995
- Delta
- 149.17%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Old Orchard Rd Unit B30 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 550 (-4%) | 13mo | $32,500 | $59 | 82 |
| 27 Ocean Park Rd #241 | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 637 (+11%) | 21mo | $54,000 | $85 | 53 |
| 27 Ocean Park Rd #279 | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 | 637 (+11%) | 22mo | $55,000 | $86 | 52 |
| 7 Oregon Ave #328 | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 600 (+4%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $25 | 49 |
| 7 Oregon Ave #223 | 0.63mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (+13%) | 12mo | $33,000 | $51 | 38 |
| 179 Saco Ave Unit T20 | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 652 (+14%) | 14mo | $94,000 | $144 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,609
- Equity at exit
- $17,146
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $65,052
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04064
- Home prices YoY
- -11.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,603 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,749
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,995 Active 850 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,995 Active 849 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,995 Active 848 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,995 Active 847 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,995 Active 845 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,995 Active 842 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,995 Active 841 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,995 Active 840 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,995 Active 839 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,995 Active 835 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,995 Active 834 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,995 Active 833 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,995 Active 832 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,995 Active 831 DOM
-
2025-10-07price $114,995 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
-
2025-05-28price $109,995 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
-
2025-04-05price $99,995 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
-
2024-08-15price $119,995 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
-
2024-05-10price $129,995 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
-
2024-02-19$139,995 Active 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $4,073
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$977
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms, a well-maintained exterior, and a good foundation. It has a good potential for value increase with some cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old or worn-out flooring with modern materials can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old or worn-out flooring with modern materials can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 23
- NCES district ID
- 2314784
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▲ 51.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▲ 27.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,630
- Composite
- 66.79/100
- National rank
- #406
- State rank
- #87 of 112 in ME
Livability — Old Orchard Beach
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #9943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Orchard Beach, ME
- County
- York County · 80,026 people
- City population
- 8,632
- Metro
- Portland-South Portland, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,632
- Household income
- $59,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 441.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,961 people
- By 2030
- 212,816 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 214,360 · +2.1%
- By 2050
- 210,350 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 201,686 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 183,392 · -12.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 7% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.32%
- Current HPI
- 489.543
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Portland-South Portland, ME
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-17.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $114,995 Zillow
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $109,995 Zillow
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $99,995 Zillow
- 2024-08-15 Price Changed $119,995 Zillow
- 2024-05-10 Price Changed $129,995 Zillow
- 2024-02-19 Listed $139,995 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…