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3 Old Orchard Road Site 15A Plan
B Composite 74.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,995

3 Old Orchard Road Site 15A Plan · Old Orchard Beach, ME 04064
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 574 sqft · Manufactured · 850 Days on market
Good condition $200/sqft · 149% above area ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

Key facts

  • Listed 850 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.1% in Old Orchard Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • RSU 23 (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #87 of 112 in ME (top 78%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 850 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,195 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 850 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.22%
Cash-on-cash
17.58%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$46,151
List price
$114,995
Delta
149.17%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3 Old Orchard Rd Unit B30 0.00mi 1/1.0 550 (-4%) 13mo $32,500 $59 82
27 Ocean Park Rd #241 0.25mi 1/1.0 637 (+11%) 21mo $54,000 $85 53
27 Ocean Park Rd #279 0.25mi 1/1.0 637 (+11%) 22mo $55,000 $86 52
7 Oregon Ave #328 0.63mi 2/1.0 (+1) 600 (+4%) 11mo $15,000 $25 49
7 Oregon Ave #223 0.63mi 1/1.0 650 (+13%) 12mo $33,000 $51 38
179 Saco Ave Unit T20 0.71mi 2/1.0 (+1) 652 (+14%) 14mo $94,000 $144 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$14,609
Equity at exit
$17,146
10-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$65,052
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04064

Home prices YoY
-11.6%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,603 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $114,995
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,749
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,995 Active 850 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,995 Active 849 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,995 Active 848 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,995 Active 847 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,995 Active 845 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,995 Active 842 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,995 Active 841 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,995 Active 840 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,995 Active 839 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,995 Active 835 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,995 Active 834 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,995 Active 833 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,995 Active 832 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,995 Active 831 DOM
  15. 2025-10-07
    price $114,995 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

  16. 2025-05-28
    price $109,995 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

  17. 2025-04-05
    price $99,995 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

  18. 2024-08-15
    price $119,995 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

  19. 2024-05-10
    price $129,995 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

  20. 2024-02-19
    listed $139,995 Active 633-char remark
    Show marketing remark (633 chars)

    Two bedroom park models are HERE! This custom Shore Park by Skyline model includes a queen bed in the main bedroom & a full/twin bunk combination for the second bedroom! Enjoy your propane fireplace right from your covered porch television hookups available above the fireplace! Finished drywall, shiplap and AC/Heat pump systems are just the start of the included upgrades of this beautiful park model! Your site will be finished off with a 6 x 6 deck and entry stairs to match your composite covered deck, stone paver & wood-burning fireplace combination, 6 x 8 shed, plenty of parking and professionally installed sod.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,237
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,539
− Management
−$1,539
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$4,073
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$977
After-tax cash flow
$4,684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms, a well-maintained exterior, and a good foundation. It has a good potential for value increase with some cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old or worn-out flooring with modern materials can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
  • Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Replacing old or worn-out flooring with modern materials can improve the overall look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
RSU 23
NCES district ID
2314784
Math proficiency
78% ▲ 51.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▲ 27.00%
Median HH income
$49,630
Composite
66.79/100
National rank
#406
State rank
#87 of 112 in ME

Livability — Old Orchard Beach

Score
68/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#9943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Old Orchard Beach, ME
County
York County · 80,026 people
City population
8,632
Metro
Portland-South Portland, ME
Population (ZIP)
8,632
Household income
$59,887
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
441.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 7% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.32%
Current HPI
489.543
Rent YoY
▲ 4.93%
Metro
Portland-South Portland, ME
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-17.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $114,995 Zillow
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $109,995 Zillow
  • 2025-04-05 Price Changed $99,995 Zillow
  • 2024-08-15 Price Changed $119,995 Zillow
  • 2024-05-10 Price Changed $129,995 Zillow
  • 2024-02-19 Listed $139,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…