759 Park Ave · Johnstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Opportunity. This house has solid bones and is just waiting for your finishing touches! Would be a great investment property to generate income, or a great first home!
Key facts
- 3,354 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 100 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.24%
- DSCR
- 4.17
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,159
- List price
- $35,900
- Delta
- -53.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 754 Coleman Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 2,620 (+1%) | 16mo | $44,900 | $17 | 84 |
| 735 Grove Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 2,484 (-4%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $24 | 82 |
| 548 Margaret Ave | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 2,562 (-2%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 409 Wheat St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,391 (-8%) | 19mo | $30,000 | $13 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $32,228
- Equity at exit
- $5,353
- IRR
- 74.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.68×
- Total profit
- $77,153
- Equity at exit
- $3,104
Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15902
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$188
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $911/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $597
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $617 | -5% $607 | +0% $597 | +5% $587 | +10% $576 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $509 | -5% $553 | +0% $597 | +5% $641 | +10% $684 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $606 | base $597 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $578 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,975
- Closing costs
- $1,077
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704 Cypress Ave Unit 706 Johnstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2496 | $950 | $0.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $35,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $35,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $37,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $37,000 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. This house has solid bones and is just waiting for your finishing touches! Would be a great investment property to generate income, or a great first home!
-
2026-03-10$39,900 Active 184-char remark
Show marketing remark (184 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. This house has solid bones and is just waiting for your finishing touches! Would be a great investment property to generate income, or a great first home!
-
2024-03-26soldstatus $9,540,000
-
2011-11-21soldstatus $19,500
-
2006-08-30soldstatus $20,000 83-char remark
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Nice home with fenced lot! 3 Bedrooms, 1 bath - waiting for new owner or landlord!
-
2006-08-02soldstatus $20,000
-
2006-05-01$22,500 83-char remark
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Nice home with fenced lot! 3 Bedrooms, 1 bath - waiting for new owner or landlord!
-
2004-03-22soldstatus $14,000
-
2004-01-15soldstatus $14,000
-
2003-05-24$17,900
-
1990-07-01soldstatus $31,500
-
1984-08-01soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $911 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,011
- − Property taxes
- −$911
- − Insurance
- −$180
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$1,044
- Taxable income
- $7,031
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,687
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Johnstown SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210950
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,890
- Composite
- 13.25/100
- National rank
- #9550
- State rank
- #509 of 539 in PA
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #3168
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, PA
- County
- Cambria County · 30,791 people
- City population
- 30,791
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,462
- Household income
- $44,215
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 266.0
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Hungarian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.86%
- Current HPI
- 108.2198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnstown, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+13.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $37,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $39,900 AHARMLS
- 2024-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $9,540,000 Public Records
- 2011-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
- 2006-08-30 Sold (MLS) $20,000 CSMLS
- 2006-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-01 Listed $22,500 CSMLS
- 2004-03-22 Sold (MLS) $14,000 CSMLS
- 2004-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-24 Listed $17,900 CSMLS
- 1990-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
- 1984-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2026): $911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…