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802 S 23rd St
B- Composite 66.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

802 S 23rd St · Copperas Cove, TX 76522
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,506 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1971 8,189 sqft lot Est $172k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch! Featuring a spacious den and an additional flex room just off the kitchen—perfect for a playroom, home office, or extra living space—this property offers a versatile layout with great possibilities. The backyard includes a storage shed for added convenience and functionality. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to restore and customize, this home is being sold as-is. As part of an estate, there are no seller’s disclosures available. All furniture and furnishings currently in the home will convey with the sale.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Flex room
  • Spacious den

Tags

SPACIOUS DENFLEX ROOMSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition/shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation; Built year sourced from assessor
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Number of bedrooms not provided
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; One cooling unit
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Breakfast area; Tile flooring; Den fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.4% in Copperas Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#706 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Copperas Cove ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #340 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 608 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,550 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$171,684
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
802 S 23rd St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,506 (0%) 1mo $93,730 $62 97
802 S 13th St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,610 (+7%) 6mo $190,000 $118 71
609 S 11th St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,464 (-3%) 3mo $83,000 $57 68
514 S 11th St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,464 (-3%) 6mo $112,000 $77 67
2115 Urbantke Ln 0.40mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,397 (-7%) 6mo $159,900 $114 57
2215 Terrace 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,451 (-4%) 8mo $209,000 $144 56
2004 Veterans Ave 0.22mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,286 (-15%) 3mo $160,000 $124 56
2110 Terrace Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,377 (-9%) 4mo $165,000 $120 53
2809 Mountain Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,396 (-7%) 0mo $155,000 $111 53
514 Mary St 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,296 (-14%) 9mo $49,000 $38 44
505 Curry Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,338 (-11%) 8mo $77,000 $58 44
605 W Washington Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,366 (-9%) 7mo $200,000 $146 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-6,435
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$64
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76522

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
608
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,855/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $285 +0% $253 +5% $220 +10% $188
Rent -10% $147 -5% $200 +0% $253 +5% $306 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $282 base $253 +0.5pp $223 +1.0pp $193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
806 S 25th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 45d 1 0.06mi
1006 S 21st St Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1445 $1,100 $0.76 45d 1 0.22mi
1005 S 19th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1356 $1,100 $0.81 45d 1 0.23mi
1007 S 29th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,400 $1.19 15d 1 0.30mi
604 S 11th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1119 $1,300 $1.16 45d 1 0.32mi
1005 S 11th St Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1236 $1,090 $0.88 45d 1 0.37mi
1008 S 31st St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,145 $0.85 15d 1 0.38mi
502 S 9th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1479 $1,150 $0.78 45d 1 0.41mi
309 Myra Lou Ave Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,125 $0.89 45d 1 0.42mi
1302 S 23rd St Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 1.5 1453 $1,320 $0.91 45d 1 0.42mi
2104 Brantley Ave Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,495 $1.31 45d 1 0.48mi
504 Highway Ave Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 1500 $700 $0.47 45d 1 0.48mi
903 Curry Ave Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.5 1285 $1,200 $0.93 24d 1 0.49mi
1201 S 9th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1172 $1,100 $0.94 24d 1 0.50mi
1204 S 7th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1202 $1,295 $1.08 45d 1 0.52mi
603 Westview Cir Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 1537 $700 $0.46 45d 1 0.54mi
607 Curry Ave Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1192 $935 $0.78 24d 1 0.56mi
1202 S 3rd St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,175 $1.11 45d 1 0.59mi
509 West Avenue B Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1339 $1,175 $0.88 24d 1 0.63mi
1307 Sherry Ln Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 1775 $1,299 $0.73 45d 1 0.64mi
414 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,600 $1.19 45d 1 0.65mi
412 West Avenue C Unit C Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1343 $1,600 $1.19 22d 1 0.65mi
1002 W Avenue B Unit B Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 2.0 1842 $975 $0.53 45d 1 0.71mi
605 N 11th St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1432 $1,575 $1.10 45d 1 0.79mi
1202 S FM 116 Copperas Cove, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 922 $1,560 $1.69 15d 12 0.89mi
611 N 21st St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,250 $1.11 15d 1 0.90mi
614 N 21st St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1683 $1,300 $0.77 24d 1 0.91mi
914 Chalk St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,200 $1.08 24d 1 1.03mi
809 Shady Ln Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 1.5 1900 $1,600 $0.84 15d 1 1.05mi
806 N 3rd St Unit A Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,150 $1.02 45d 1 1.05mi
1217 Craig St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1341 $1,575 $1.17 45d 1 1.06mi
604 N Main St Apt D Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 45d 1 1.07mi
1122 Rhonda Lee St Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1349 $1,300 $0.96 24d 1 1.09mi
507 Skyline Dr Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1889 $2,200 $1.16 45d 1 1.12mi
105 E Reagan Ave Copperas Cove, TX 2.0 1.0 1758 $675 $0.38 45d 1 1.12mi
3004 Sundown Ln Copperas Cove, TX 4.0 2.0 1608 $1,895 $1.18 24d 1 1.13mi
902 Lynn Ln Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1661 $1,600 $0.96 15d 1 1.23mi
820 Michelle Dr Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1053 $1,095 $1.04 24d 1 1.23mi
906 Tanner Rd Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1725 $1,550 $0.90 15d 1 1.27mi
805 Stockdale Rd Copperas Cove, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $1,700 $1.13 15d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-03-20
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,855 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$250/yr (+$21/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,076
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,855
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,286
− Management
−$1,286
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$309
After-tax cash flow
$2,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Copperas Cove ISD
NCES district ID
4815240
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$51,072
Composite
35.85/100
National rank
#4822
State rank
#340 of 826 in TX

Livability — Copperas Cove

Score
65/100
State rank
#706
US rank
#13158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Copperas Cove, TX
County
Coryell County · 61,053 people
City population
42,118
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,118
Household income
$72,206
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,485 people
By 2030
75,627 · +0.2%
By 2040
74,898 · -0.8%
By 2050
74,221 · -1.7%
By 2075
72,688 · -3.7%
By 2100
66,862 · -11.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 20% Black 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coryell

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.11%
Current HPI
183.9452
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent CTXMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $115,000 CTXMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,855 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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