219 Maple St · Alva, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$36,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Listed 86 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned SF-R
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: 1,436 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Flooring: Concrete
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Concrete flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in OK, #1,927 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, commute F.
- Alva (town): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #55 of 270 in OK (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $635 of equity ($255 loan paydown + $380 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Woods County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.67%
- DSCR
- 4.32
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,932
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129 2nd St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-2%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $110 | 76 |
| 107 Ash | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-7%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $101 | 62 |
| 730 3rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,610 (+12%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $31 | 60 |
| 1406 Canyon Hills Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+5%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $86 | 56 |
| 418 Mimosa Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-6%) | 12mo | $117,000 | $87 | 55 |
| 1507 Murray Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+3%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $84 | 54 |
| 1315 Young St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+14%) | 11mo | $20,000 | $12 | 40 |
| 717 Locust | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-15%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $98 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $41,715
- Equity at exit
- $12,655
- IRR
- 78.6%
- Equity multiple
- 10.31×
- Total profit
- $96,145
- Equity at exit
- $16,861
Cash invested: $10,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73717
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $684/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $664 | -5% $653 | +0% $643 | +5% $632 | +10% $622 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $552 | -5% $597 | +0% $643 | +5% $688 | +10% $734 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $661 | -0.5pp $652 | base $643 | +0.5pp $633 | +1.0pp $624 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,225
- Closing costs
- $1,107
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $36,900 Active Under Contract 86 DOM
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $36,900 Active Under Contract 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $36,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $36,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $36,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $36,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $36,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $36,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $36,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $36,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $43,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $43,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $43,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $43,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $43,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $43,500
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-04-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-25$51,000 Active
-
2016-12-22soldstatus $93,000
-
2012-04-30soldstatus $79,000
-
2006-08-10soldstatus $40,000
-
2002-09-23soldstatus $13,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,067
- − Property taxes
- −$684
- − Insurance
- −$184
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$1,073
- Taxable income
- $7,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,821
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,894/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alva
- NCES district ID
- 4002880
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,292
- Composite
- 26.74/100
- National rank
- #7141
- State rank
- #55 of 270 in OK
Livability — Alva
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alva, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,800
Population outlook (Woods County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,283 people
- By 2030
- 10,877 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 12,223 · +18.9%
- By 2050
- 13,758 · +33.8%
- By 2075
- 18,535 · +80.2%
- By 2100
- 23,026 · +123.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woods
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 16.9% · R 81.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+65.3 2016: R+66.1 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.03%
- Current HPI
- 248.92
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+222.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $43,500 NWOAR
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — NWOAR
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — NWOAR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $51,000 NWOAR
- 2016-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $684 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…